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Monday  January 3, 2011

Excessive number of people with clearances 

Jerry,

Last Monday a correspondent posted an article regarding the number of people who hold clearances. Having been in the intelligence community for over twenty years, I agree it is excessive, too many people are cleared at too high a level on too many projects means there are potential leaks and that too much information is classified. There are many reasons to keep classified information at a minimum, especially in our current world environment.

However, the New York Times article had a comment that just burns me:

“What’s more, if you’re carrying an armload of hammers, every problem looks like a nail. The truth is that military power often isn’t very effective at solving modern problems, like a nuclear North Korea or an Iran that is on the nuclear path. Indeed, in an age of nationalism, our military force is often counterproductive. “

I believe the military really ‘gets’ the world situation better than the politicians ….and is capable of making much smarter decisions about what needs military force and what doesn’t than they do.

The author of the article seems to have a motive to undermine our ability to defend ourselves … ‘beat swords into plowshares’ if you will.

I don’t think I can much stock in what he says here….his motives are suspect, at least in my eyes.

Tracy Walters, CISSP

He who defends everything defends nothing. He who tries to make everything secret makes nothing secret. There are too many secrets, ost of which do not need to be secret.

There must be secrets; but keeping things secret denies your own free flow of information.

=============

Drroyspencer 

Jerry,

1/3/20 update from drroyspencer.com on 2010 temperatures:

(a) Temperatures renormalized to the 1981-2010 30-year average. (b) With renormalization, global anomaly for December 2010 is +0.18C of the 30 year average; however, this shows a notable decrease in temperature as the El Nino transitions to to La Nina (which is clearly established already in the accompanying sea surface temperatures plot). (c) Tropics are about 0.8 C cooler than in January; northern hemisphere is about 0.45 C cooler than January. (d) Data illustrates that 2010 is a statistically insignificant average 0.01 C cooler than 1998, leaving the record with that El Nino year. (The 1998 El Nino had a higher peak anomaly, but was shorter in duration than the one currently ending).

Current temperature is (by eye) at about the median of 2001-2006 values prior to the cooling which preceeded he current El Nino.

Jim

==

Ships trapped in the ice, 

Jerry

Seems we have more signs of “climate change” busting out all over.

Ten ships, 600 crew trapped in frozen Sea of Okhotsk:

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-12099928

“The ice is up to 30cm (12 inches) thick in some places, according to the Russian news agency Itar-Tass.”

And this: Dozens of ships freed from Baltic Sea ice:

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/europe/8550687.stm 

“Dozens of ships that had been trapped in ice in the Baltic Sea off Stockholm, some for several days, have been freed, Swedish maritime authorities have said.”

“Both Sweden and Finland deployed icebreakers to help the stranded vessels.”

“At least 26 ships are awaiting help further north in the Bay of Bothnia.”

I think I’ll dust off my copy of Fallen Angels. Seems like the appropriate thing to do.

Ed

==

Only 9,099 Of Last 10,500 Years Warmer Than 2010

Here's a series of interesting charts:

http://wattsupwiththat.com/2010/
12/28/2010%E2%80%94where-does-
it-fit-in-the-warmest-year-list/ 

Scroll down to Figures 4 and 5.

AGW? Or natural processes? As you have said, Jerry, we need more study before we commit to spending trillions of dollars on "Cap and Tax" schemes.

Regards, Brian Claypool

==

Happy New Year

http://www.drroyspencer.com/ 

Post for 31 December of an e-mail exchange between the author and Andy Dressler on the subject of whether clouds yield positive or negative feedback.

Jim

=========

Alta Morbius, RIP.

<http://www.latimes.com/news/obituaries/
la-me-anne-francis-20110103,0,2031697.story>

---- Roland Dobbins

Goodbye, Miranda. RIP

============

The MOS 6502 and the Best Layout Guy in the World.

<http://research.swtch.com/2011/01/
mos-6502-and-best-layout-guy-in-world.html>

--- Roland Dobbins

===========

Flexible Spending Accounts 

You had noted "And here's your present from Obama Care: You can't use your medical savings account as intended. Happy New Year to the Tree of Liberty.

Another Thing No One in Congress will admit to Doing"

While "Medical Savings Accounts" or MSAs are most often used by young high-earners who want to gamble that they will have good health (but hedge their bet with an MSA!), many small and medium sized businesses offer "Flexible Spending Accounts" that can also be used to pay for out-of-pocket expenses such as co-pays and prescription drugs. Both plans allow you to put in "pre-tax" money. MSA funds could be accrued tax-free until spent for medical care, and were commonly used in conjunction with a low-cost high-deductible "catastrophic" insurance plan. Don't get sick? Keep your money! In contrast, FSAs are a "use it or lose it" benefit, usually offered by small businesses to their employees.

Until ObamaCare, we could use our FSA money to pay for Over-The-Counter drugs and medical devices such as band-aids, topical ointments, pain killers such as aspirin or Tylenol, cold remedies, canes, walkers, knee braces and the like. Our mandatory health benefits meeting this fall was very explicit that after 1/1/11, such items would NO LONGER be covered. So I now have a 3-year supply of benadryl, Tylenol, and bandages, and a magnificent first aid kit. Next year I'll be cutting back on the amount of money I contribute to my FSA, and of course, exposing more money to the tax collector.

Ken

==

Jerry-

"...get a prescription just so you can use your tax-free medical savings account to buy aspirin..."

Nothing new here. That is exactly how I remember the restrictions being when medical savings accounts were first introduced - we participated the second year they were available and personally found them to be more trouble than they were worth in our circumstances (teacher and self-employed, relatively healthy).

Paul H.

==========

SUBJ: The blockwart

Petty power and third-hand authority attract the same creatures as always.

The blockwart.

http://munchkinwrangler.wordpress.com/
2010/12/29/the-snow-gestapo/

John
 

===========

Giant caves recently found in Viet Nam

Something absolutely amazing for your new year.

http://ngm.nationalgeographic.com/2011/01/largest-cave/peter-photography

Brian Claypool

============

Hogan's Velikovsky Essay 

I did some checking, and it appears that Hogan published it in his book Kicking the Sacred Cow, which I own but haven't read (*sigh* So many books!). Velikosky is also discussed, more briefly, in Hogan's Catastrophes, Chaos, and Convolutions. Both appear to be out of print in dead-tree format, but some new and used copies are available from Amazon, and of course Baen keeps them available as e-books. So, anyone who wants to see what Hogan said about Velikovsky should be able to find out there.

Stephen M. St. Onge

Jimmy had a rather unique way of thought, and it's worth being exposed to. In my judgment Velikovsky was off his head, but he did make some serious arguments; and he was right on that there were catastrophes, although I do not believe Venus sprang form the brow of Jupiter...

=============

Some New Year's Stories

What the people of Britain desire: a bonfire of rules, laws, and regulations: <http://tinyurl.com/38dc7nd

Dumbing down of university grades in the UK: <http://tinyurl.com/39252m4

Chinese students studying in the UK resent this immensely: <http://tinyurl.com/2v4zn8p

Northern Ireland experiences continued water shutoffs: <http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northern-ireland-12103027

-- Harry Erwin, PhD "Those who would give up essential Liberty, to purchase a little temporary Safety, deserve neither Liberty nor Safety." (Benjamin Franklin, 1755)

=========

Natural gas off Gaza coast

Hi Dr. Pournelle,

you wrote: "Technically there ought to be some (natural gas) off the coast of Gaza, which would finance a lot of recovery for Gaza;"

Well, not "ought to be" but "is". Concession belongs to BP, gas was found in 1999, as far as I remember. Sits next to Israeli Yam Tetis (Mari-B) gas field. Of course, one and only possible customer is Israel, and since start of second intifada in 2000 BP shelved all plans to develop the site. Current discoveries in Israeli waters (Tamar and Leviathan gas fields) are in the North, off Haifa - so, it seems, there ought to be gas in Lebanese waters as well.

Best regards and happy New Year! Alexander Krol

One would think that Gaza was the best and most needful customer.

============

Too many billionaires

"...family fortunes that have become so large that they endanger the republic"

I don't know. If you look at who is really steering the money into politics, there are darn few individual multi-billionaires on the list.

http://www.opensecrets.org/orgs/list.php?order=A 

(It's also worth noting that you have to get down to number 78 before you see three elephants lined up.)

I don't lose one minute of sleep thinking about how Richard Branson, Bill Gates, the Walton family, or any other billionaire is going to come in and start telling me what to do, how to live, or force me to spend my money on anything I'd rather not. The lowliest local zoning official in my town has more power over my life than Bill Gates does. If wealth alone could create unlimited political power, no anti-trust law would ever have gotten off first base.

We had immensely rich people in this country many years ago. They founded universities, foundations, libraries, and countless beneficial institutions, long before income taxes and forced wealth redistribution. I used to work at Stanford myself. It's ironic that many professors rail against capitalism from institutions built on the bones of robber barons.

Bill Gates, even if he never gave a nickel to charity, would still done far more good for the economy of this nation and the world than whatever bit of personal wealth he's managed to accumulate.

In my opinion, the wealth gap is an artificial boogeyman designed to justify even more forced wealth redistribution than there already is. I've seen countless historical examples of governments destroying nations and enslaving people. The only place I've ever seen nations run by corporate tyrannies is in science fiction.

Tom Brosz

In the last days of the Roman Republic the only candidates who had a chance of winning high office were those who could borrow enormous amounts from the equivalents of billionaires, or form triumvirates with the enormously wealthy and powerful; and the wealthy could and did hire their own Legions and firefighters. This did not make for stability. Now Soros has the equivalent of a Legion in Media; and so does Rupert Murdoch. I point these things out. I have no strong conclusions nor yet remedies I recommend. I invite contemplation.

There are similarities and differences between the end of the Roman Republic and the evger more likely end of ours.

=============

Nasty, brutish and not that short.

<http://www.economist.com/node/17722650>

--- Roland Dobbins

=============

Welcome to the new 'Homeland'.

<http://www.foxnews.com/politics/
2010/12/31/napolitano-visit-aimed-
beefing-afghan-border-security-customs/>

-- Roland Dobbins

Most software today is very much like an Egyptian pyramid, with millions of bricks piled on top of each other, with no structural integrity, but just done by brute force and thousands of slaves.

-- Alan Kay

============

Round-up ready sugar beets. 

Jerry, one thing that you neglected to consider in your sugar beet post is that the choice isn't between Roundup (glyphosate) and no chemicals. The choice is between Roundup and several other herbicides applied at several different times during the growing season.

It seems to me that glyphosate can be purchased in the grocery store for personal use while the other chemicals are far less available. The point I'm getting at is that these other chemicals are likely more of a problem than the ubiquitous Roundup product.

Wade from sugar beet country.

============d

 

 

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Tuesday,  January 4, 2010

I am in Las Vegas

=============

 

For a PDF copy of A Step Farther Out:

 

 

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Wednesday, January 5, 2010

 

===========

Two moons on 27th August 2010

This is a fragment of the truth. Mars did get as close as 35 million miles on August 27, _2003_, and if you looked at Mars through a telescope, it could have looked as large as the full Moon does with the naked eye. On August 27, 2010, Mars is 200 million miles from Earth. If the evening is clear you can see Mars near Venus shortly after sunset. Venus is bright and easy to find. Mars is easier with binoculars.

William

Thanks. Hadn't realized there was any confusion on that.

============

10-year-old girl becomes youngest ever supernova discoverer 

Jerry,

Evidently we don’t have to give up on all our kids:

Original URL: http://www.theregister.co.uk/2011/01/04/supernova_discovery/ 

10-year-old girl becomes youngest ever supernova discoverer

Chuffed Canadian nipper spots farflung exploding sun

By Lester Haines <http://forms.theregister.co.uk/
mail_author/?story_url=/2011/01/04/supernova_discovery/
 

Posted in Space <http://www.theregister.co.uk/science/space/>  , 4th January 2011 14:02 GMT <http://www.theregister.co.uk/2011/01/04/

A 10-year-old Canadian girl has been crowned "the youngest person to discover a supernova" after spying the exploding star on amateur observatory images.

Kathryn Aurora Gray spotted the magnitude 17 supernova on Sunday in an image of galaxy UGC 3378 in the constellation of Camelopardalis. The photo had been forwarded to her amateur astronomer father Paul by the Abbey Ridge Observatory <http://www.davelane.ca/aro/> [1] in Nova Scotia.

The find, dubbed SN2010lt <http://www.davelane.ca/aro/sn/sn2010lt.html> [2], came while comparing the image captured on 31 December with earlier grabs of the same patch of sky. Paul Gray told Canada's Star: "Kathryn pointed to the screen and said: 'Is this one?' I said 'Yup, that looks pretty good'."

Supernova SN2010lt

Dad then helped the young stargazer to verify <http://www.rasc.ca/artman/uploads/sn2010lt-pressrelease.pdf> [3] her discovery by "taking the steps to rule out asteroids and checking the list of current known supernovas", as the BBC puts it <http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-12110747> [4].

Speaking at her home in Birdton, New Brunswick, a chuffed Ms Gray said: "I'm really excited. It feels really good."

Deborah Thompson of the Royal Astronomical Society of Canada enthused: "It's fantastic that someone so young would be passionate about astronomy. What an incredible discovery. We're all very excited."

Tracy Walters, CISSP

============

You can do handwriting recognition on the iPad with the BoxWave capacitive stylus & the WritePad application.

<http://www.boxwave.com/products/
capacitivestylus/apple-ipad-capacitive-stylus_3779.htm
 

<http://www.phatware.com/index.php?q=product/details/writepad>

----- Roland Dobbins

That I need to try when I get back from CES

===========

Subject: Washington Post -- "Prizes Work"

In case you haven't seen this:

<http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/
article/2010/12/31/AR2010123104063.html

Happy New Year!

Stephen -- Stephen Fleming

Maybe the word is finally getting out...

================

The Golden Age of Pulp Fiction

Now THIS is the way to market fiction-

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4kb4-Qm-oKI 

Imagine one of these for, oh, say "KNOWN SPACE" or the "MOTE" stories in an omnibus eBook edition. Maybe "Janisssaries", even?.

Petronius

Great but alas I do not believe I can produce anyuthing like that.

=============

Note this:

 "Sea International moved its operation from Samoa to a highly automated cannery plant in Lyons, Ga. That resulted in roughly 2,000 jobs lost in Samoa and a gain of 200 jobs in Georgia."

Walter Williams: Minimum Wage, Maximum Folly http://www.theatlasphere.com/columns/
printer_101130-williams-minimum-wage.php  Nov 30, 2010

How about this: The law of gravity is applicable to the behavior of falling objects on the U.S. mainland but not applicable on our Pacific Ocean territories Samoa and Northern Mariana Islands. You say, "Williams, that's lunacy! Laws are applicable everywhere; that's why they call it a law."

You're right, but does the same reasoning apply to the law of demand that holds: The higher the price of something, the less people will take of it; and the lower its price, the more people will take of it? The law of demand applies to wages, interest and rent because, after all, they are the prices of something.

In 2007, the Democrat-led Congress and White House enacted legislation raising the minimum wage law, in steps, from $5.15 an hour to $7.25. With some modification, the increases applied to our Pacific Ocean territories. Republicans and others opposed to the increases were labeled as hostile toward workers. According to most opinion polls taken in 2006, more than 80 percent of Americans favored Congress' intention to raise the minimum wage. Most Americans see the minimum wage as a good thing, and without it, rapacious employers wouldn't pay workers much of anything.<snip>

Frank

==============

This makes very good sense to me.

Laurie Essig: Why Would Anyone Go to an Elite College? http://chronicle.com/blogs/brainstorm/why-would-anyone-go-to-an-elite-college/29324 
 

December 1, 2010, 2:04 pm

Are fancy-schmancy schools like the one where I teach worth it? A new discussion at The New York Times says NO! According to the Times,

The key to success in college and beyond has more to do with what students do with their time during college than where they choose to attend. A long-term study of 6,335 college graduates published by the National Bureau of Economic Research found that graduating from a college where entering students have higher SAT scores--one marker of elite colleges--didn't pay off in higher post-graduation income. Researchers found that students who applied to several elite schools but didn't attend them--either because of rejection or by their own choice--are more likely to earn high incomes later than students who actually attended elite schools.

So if clawing and pushing your way into an elite school doesn't pay off, why do we do it? What causes the hysteria that makes schools like Middlebury so sought after that we reject 80 percent of the more than 7,000 students who apply? Are the people who come here just not rational economic actors? Does that mythical homo economicus, who makes choices about the best bang for his or buck, just not bother with the likes of us and instead we are left with homo ineconomicus, a completely irrational economic actor? I think the answer is about capital, but not of the economic kind

Frank

===============

Peter Wood: Were Samoans Promiscuous? http://chronicle.com/blogs/
innovations/were-samoans-promiscuous/27941 

December 3, 2010, 3:57 pm

The mutiny on the HMS Bounty in 1789 was prompted in part by the recent experience of the crew who had spent five months ashore in Tahiti--where they found the women alluring and available. In Typee, Herman Melville's fictionalized account of his captivity in the Marquesan Islands, Tommo, the protagonist, is enticed by a native maiden, Fayaway. By the early decades of the 19th century, American whalers and other South Sea voyagers had brought home enough tales of South Seas eroticism to establish once and for all the reputation of the inhabitants--especially the young girls--as exceptionally lascivious.

Was it a myth? Hardly. The documentary record starts with Captain Cook who, when he found the Marquesans, had to deal with swarms of your girls climbing aboard to invite members of his crew to have sex. When missionaries arrived in the region they were appalled by what they saw as extreme sexual license.

By the time anthropology gathered itself into an academic discipline, the customs that had inflamed the Western imagination were mostly gone, but some questions remained. For one thing, the societies in which children and adolescents were so sexually precocious and where adults didn't seem to mind all appeared to be in eastern Polynesia. Reports from the Western Pacific included the usual missionary disapproval of things like polygamy among the chiefs and erotic dancing, but nothing like the sexual freedom of the Tahitians or the Marquesans.

The discrepancy caught the eye of Franz Boas, the German-born scholar who had organized anthropology as an academic discipline in the United States. Boas had personally trained most of the important American anthropologists of the first quarter of the 20th century and was still going strong when he assigned one of his graduate students the task of finding out whether the sexual freedoms of eastern Polynesia had in fact extended to the western Pacific but had gone unreported. His emissary was a young married woman named Margaret Mead, and her destination was rural Samoa. The rest is history.

Well, not just history. Rather, the sort of history that takes the form of acrimony, tirades, and vehement assertion on all sides. This is, in contemporary parlance, "contested" history. The 23-year-old Margaret Mead claimed to have found what her mentor had been looking for: evidence that western Polynesians were, like their eastern cousins, pretty relaxed about the sexual behavior of teenagers. Her report eventually took the form of a popular book, Coming of Age in Samoa, in which Mead drew even larger conclusions. She held that the Samoan ease with sexuality made the adolescent years of Samoans free of the kinds of psychological turmoil familiar to Americans of the period; and she forcefully advanced the idea that cultural patterning, not natural development, was the deep source of the difficulty of adolescence among Americans.

I am of course repeating a story than everyone, more or less, knows; and we know the next chapter as well, in which in 1983, several years after Mead's death, Australian anthropologist Derek Freeman published the first of several books debunking Mead's Samoan ethnography. The central part of Freeman's argument is that Samoans in the 1920s and in a long tradition before that placed a high value on premarital female chastity, symbolized in a ceremonial complex that celebrated the virginity of the taupou, a designated daughter (usually the eldest) of an important chief. The taupou headed an association of unmarried women, was exempt from women's labor, dressed distinctively, organized village entertainments, and was destined to be married to a chief as part of her father's efforts to build political alliances.

For Mead, the taupou complex was the exception that proved the rule. The taupou took up the burden of virginity while all the other boys and girls were engaging pretty freely in sexual exploits. In Mead's view, Samoan teenagers generally employed only slight subterfuge in an atmosphere of general tolerance. For Freeman, the taupou was the most vigorous expression of a cultural ideal that pervaded Samoan life. Samoan boys definitely sought to evade the sexual taboos, but if caught in an attempted seduction or rape, they faced severe reprisals.

So which is it? The Mead vs. Freeman controversy doesn't look like it has much room for an in-between answer. Either Samoan teenagers of that time were free and easy with their sexuality or they were hemmed in by a social system that strongly repressed pre-marital sexual activity.

Anthropology as a science ought to be able to answer such a straightforward question. It says something about anthropology that the issue is still controversial 27 years after Freeman declared that Mead was provably wrong. The latest salvo comes from Paul Shankman, professor of anthropology at the University of Colorado at Boulder, and longtime Samoan field researcher. Last year, Shankman published The Trashing of Margaret Mead: Anatomy of an Anthropological Controversy. It might have been given the alternative title, "Trashing Derek Freeman: The Realization of an Anthropological Revenge Fantasy." Shankman and Freeman crossed swords back in the 1980s, with Shankman defending Mead's conclusions and Freeman belittling Shankman's contributions as "a disgrace to the profession of anthropology." <snip>

=============d

 

 

 

 

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Thursday, January 6, 2010

Anthropology Group Drops "Science" References, Deepening a Rift http://www.nytimes.com/
2010/12/10/science/10anthropology.html 

Anthropology a Science? Statement Deepens a Rift By NICHOLAS WADE

Anthropologists have been thrown into turmoil about the nature and future of their profession after a decision by the American Anthropological Association at its recent annual meeting to strip the word "science" from a statement of its long-range plan.

The decision has reopened a long-simmering tension between researchers in science-based anthropological disciplines-- including archaeologists, physical anthropologists and some cultural anthropologists--and members of the profession who study race, ethnicity and gender and see themselves as advocates for native peoples or human rights.

During the last 10 years the two factions have been through a phase of bitter tribal warfare after the more politically active group attacked work on the Yanomamo people of Venezuela and Brazil by Napoleon Chagnon, a science-oriented anthropologist, and James Neel, a medical geneticist who died in 2000. With the wounds of this conflict still fresh, many science-based anthropologists were dismayed to learn last month that the long-range plan of the association would no longer be to advance anthropology as a science but rather to focus on "public understanding."

Until now, the association's long-range plan was "to advance anthropology as the science that studies humankind in all its aspects." The executive board revised this last month to say, "The purposes of the association shall be to advance public understanding of humankind in all its aspects." This is followed by a list of anthropological subdisciplines that includes political research.

The word "science" has been excised from two other places in the revised statement.

The association's president, Virginia Dominguez of the University of Illinois, said in an e-mail that the word had been dropped because the board sought to include anthropologists who do not locate their work within the sciences, as well as those who do. She said the new statement could be modified if the board received any good suggestions for doing so.<snip>

At least they are open about it. I think of some others that are not.

==

Much of anthropology has become a dead zone for research. This is the result of a strange alliance between the political left and the political right. The left stresses the need for "relevance" and generally scorns basic research that has no immediate implications. The right likewise dislikes basic research and prefers to target funding with a view to short-term payoffs.

Ironically, the short-term payoffs are largely illusory. A lot seems to be going on, and yet nothing is really going on.

Peter

==

Anthropology Group Addresses Furor Over Deleting "Science" http://www.nytimes.com/2010/12/14/
science/14anthropology.html 

By NICHOLAS WADE

The battle of the anthropologists--those who hew closely to scientific tradition versus those who take a more humanistic approach--flared again Monday, as the organization that represents both sides tried to patch things up.

The American Anthropological Association had caused a stir by dropping the word "science" from its long-range plan, angering the evidence-based anthropologists who worry about their field's growing too soft. All three mentions of the word "science" were excised, and two were replaced by the phrase "the public understanding of humankind."

On Monday, the association issued a statement of clarification, saying it recognizes "the crucial place of the scientific method in much anthropological research."

Damon Dozier, the association's director of public affairs, said: "We've heard loud and clear from our members that they have concerns about the long-range plan. We'll look at the words again."

The association is an umbrella group that includes several disciplines ranging from physical anthropology--like the study of fossilized human skulls--to more interpretive subjects, like research on race and sex. There has been a longstanding cultural gap within the association between the evidence-based researchers, who include some social anthropologists, and those more interested in advocating for the rights of women or native peoples. The new long-range plan, approved last month, inflamed these differences.

In Monday's statement, the association defined anthropology as "a holistic and expansive discipline that covers the full breadth of human history and culture." Anthropology draws on the methods of both the humanities and the sciences, it added.<snip>

===============

Untangling the Myths About Attention Disorder http://www.nytimes.com/2010/12/14/health/14klass.html 

By PERRI KLASS, M.D.

As recently as 2002, an international group of leading neuroscientists found it necessary to publish a statement arguing passionately that attention deficit hyperactivity disorder was a real condition.

In the face of "overwhelming" scientific evidence, they complained, A.D.H.D. was regularly portrayed in the media as "myth, fraud or benign condition" -- an artifact of too-strict teachers, perhaps, or too much television.

In recent years, it has been rarer to hear serious doubt that the disorder really exists, and the evidence explaining its neurocircuitry and genetics has become more convincing and more complex.

Even so, I've lately read a number of articles and essays that use attention (or its lack) as a marker and a metaphor for something larger in society -- for the multitasking, the electronic distractions, the sense that the nature of concentration may be changing, that people feel nibbled at, overscheduled, distracted, irritable.

But A.D.H.D. is not a metaphor. It is not the restlessness and rambunctiousness that happen when grade-schoolers are deprived of recess, or the distraction of socially minded teenagers in the smartphone era. Nor is it the reason your colleagues check their e-mail in meetings and even (spare me!) conversations.

"Attention is a really complex cognitive phenomenon that has a lot of pieces in it," said Dr. David K. Urion of Harvard, who directs the learning disabilities and behavioral neurology program at Boston Children's Hospital. "What we're specifically talking about in kids with attention deficit is a problem compared to age- and gender-based peers in selective attention -- what do you glom onto and what do you ignore?"<snip>

I think it evident that some ADHD is overdiagnosis and some is iatrogenic; as to the rest, why did we not see it for a hundred years? That is, it did not exist when I was a graduate student. It is now real. Has it been with us all along and not noticed? Or is there a cultural genesis?

====================d

 

 

 

 

 

 

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Friday,  January 7, 2010

Short Shrift this morning...

RE: Supernova discovered by the 10 year old.

Hi Jerry.

One of the co-discoverers of the supernova discovered by the 10-year old (SN 2010lt) is a friend of mine, and the owner of the observatory that took the images. It's a private mostly-automated observatory that he built himself. The telescope resides in his backyard, and has been used in professional work. Quite impressive:

http://www.davelane.ca/aro/ 

Having recently reread Lucifer's Hammer, it reminds me of the observatory that Tim Hamner built (but with a lot less money!)

Cheers,

Mike Casey

=============

On the Republic vs Empire theme, you might enjoy the George Friedman essay (the introduction to his new book): The Next Decade: Where We've Been... And Where We're Going http://www.investorsinsight.com/blogs/
john_mauldins_outside_the_box/archive/
2011/01/06/the-next-decade-where-we-ve-been-
and-where-we-re-going.aspx

L

============

Subj: Collected Works of John Adams online - including Defence of the Constitutions

Ever since reading Russell Kirk's chapter on John Adams in _The Conservative Mind_, I've been meaning to read Adams' _Defence of the Constitutions of Government of the United States of America_.

The _Defence_ is Adams' analysis of Western History, composed and published initially in an attempt to influence the Constitutional Convention in Philadelphia, which he could not attend in person because he was serving as Ambassador to the Court of Saint James.

Adams' _Collected Works_ are now online:

http://oll.libertyfund.org/index.php?
option=com_staticxt&staticfile=show.php&title=2098 
 

Rod Montgomery==monty@starfief.com

=Thanks!

=============

Subj: Ivy League Schools: It's the Connections

I attended two ILSs: Harvard for college and Princeton for grad school.

Neither one of them gave me what I needed, which was a swift kick in the extreme lower back. They should have flunked me out of Harvard, but didn't; why, I don't know, though I suspect simple indifference on the part of the professors who should have awarded me Fs but gave me "gentlemen's Cs" instead. I did eventually flunk out of Princeton, which I richly deserved.

Maybe they do better for their students now. Or maybe not.

But Esther Dyson (in her book, _Release 2.0_, I think: I'm too lazy to look it up) nailed the value of a Harvard education perfectly: an Ivy League school is a place where you can form connections -- contacts, maybe even friendships -- with people who will be powerful, one way or another, in the future, and thereby potentially useful to you in advancing your career. Dyson had to explain this to her father, Freeman Dyson, when he complained that she was spending so much time socializing rather than studying.

I was so socially inept that I had no clue about this until long after I left, so I completely missed the opportunity.

Rod Montgomery==monty@starfief.com

==

Subj: Payoff for going to Elite Colleges: Power, not necessarily Wealth

Lessig's piece has a figure-of-merit fallacy: he's using Wealth as a measure of success, but there are many other desirable payoffs, particularly Power. Middle-level bureaucrats, especially lawyers and Congressional staffers, political operatives and think-tankers often have far more raw Power than Wealth. Sometimes they eventually "cash in" on their contacts, but not always.

Rod Montgomery==monty@starfief.com

And at some point raw wealth is less important than access to power. It's the Bell Curve in action now...

============

Outies

I succeeded in downloading OUTIES from Barnes & Noble onto my IPad without having to buy a Nook. Works well. They'll be taking market share from Amazon.

Your daughter's writing style is definitely different from Niven's & yours. So far it is interesting.

I must say that I'm amazed by her reference to BuReloc refugees who were fleeing rising oceans. Didn't you teach your daughter to check the math? There simply isn't enough ice to raise sea levels high enough to make the AGW scenario of rising sea levels a reality even if it does melt.

Sent from my iPad

She and I do not agree on many things. It is her novel, and it is science fiction...

===========

E-books from the library

Hi Jerry,

You may remember that a few months ago I mentioned the desirability of being able to borrow e-books from libraries or fee-based lending libraries (such as those my aunts patronized decades ago).

Well, to my surprise and pleasure, the local Toledo-Lucas County Public Library now provides exactly that. Each of their e-books, like a printed copy, can only be loaned out to one patron at a time (it's automatically removed from your device after 21 days) and unavailable titles can be "held" for future notification as they become available.

I just acquired a Galaxy Tab (I'll use it in Palm Springs in a couple of week to promote my tennis website) and I've already borrowed a couple of titles -- one of which I read this afternoon in the outpatient surgery waiting room. I haven't used or seen other readers but mine seems to display as I imagine e-ink would. The font size in the OverDrive Media Console is too large for my taste but otherwise it's fine.

An another subject, I just replaced my trusty D-Link router with an Airport Express as I'd read in David Pogue's NY Times column that I could play music from my computer through my home stereo system -- and, with the help of Airfoil software -- it turns out to be possible and not terribly complicated.

-- Cheers, Alan Messer

I am not entirely sure that is welcome news for authors...

============

New Press

Is it really new at all? Remember the old movies and how they portrayed the press. A bunch of guys (yes all guys) with hats who ran to the scene, talked to people, took pictures and ran to get the story in. Then in the 80’s if flipped, the reporter sat around and some insider took the story to them. Maybe the hot reporter or reporterette went out so he/she could have a car chase, get shot at or have their apartment broken into, but the reporter became the story, not the story itself.

Maybe we are back to the old Hustle days of the press where everyone ran to get the story so they could get it out first. Now it’s the story once again and a reporters value is speed, accuracy and skill, not personal style. Maybe it’s not new at all.

But that’s ok. Even if the kids get the story first, I’ll trust you, Leo and John to give me a context that can only come from experience.

Jeff

Indiana

==============

Better Model, Less Warming.

<http://www.cato-at-liberty.org/the-current-wisdom-better-model-less-warming/>

----- Roland Dobbins

=========

'DHS serves only one clear purpose: to provide unimaginable bonanzas for favored congressional districts around the United States, most of which face no statistically significant security threat at all.'

<http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2011/01/02/unconventional_wisdom?page=0,2>

-- Roland Dobbins

========

A profound thought...

“The problem with Internet quotations is that many are not genuine.” - Abraham Lincoln

===========

"It does seem the golden age of serial murderers is probably past."

<http://www.slate.com/id/2280097/pagenum/all/>

--- Roland Dobbins

=================d

 

 

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Saturday, January 8, 2010

Returning from Las Vegas today. Will post a pile tomorrow.

 

 

 

 

 

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Sunday,  January 9, 2010     

==========

Amazon preps Kindleware for Android, Windows tablets

By Cade Metz in San Francisco <http://forms.theregister.co.uk/mail_author/?
story_url=/2011/01/04/kindle_for_windows_and_android_tablets/

Posted in Applications <http://www.theregister.co.uk/software/apps/>  , 4th January 2011 19:27 GMT <http://www.theregister.co.uk/2011/01/04/

Amazon is prepping Kindleware for Android and Windows tablets.

On Tuesday, the etailer announced that its tailoring free Kindle apps for new Android- and Windows-based tablets "coming in 2011." The apps will allow tablet users to download and read ebooks from Amazon's Kindle bookstore – even if they don't own a physical Kindle ereader.

Full Story:

http://www.theregister.co.uk/2011/01/04/
kindle_for_windows_and_android_tablets/ 

==============

You can do handwriting recognition on the iPad with the BoxWave capacitive stylus & the WritePad application.

<http://www.boxwave.com/products/
capacitivestylus/apple-ipad-capacitive-stylus_3779.htm

<http://www.phatware.com/
index.php?q=product/details/writepad>

---- Roland Dobbins

=====================

Attrition: Too Dumb To Fight,

Jerry

A fourth of potential American military recruits who tried to join failed the written exam:

http://www.strategypage.com/htmw/htatrit/articles/20110108.aspx 

“The main reason for this is that fact that most of the uneducated high school grads are . . . from urban schools. Those schools are failure factories . . . While the army can do something about the overweight applicants (by giving out diet plans and holding physical training exercises for the willing), there is not much they can do cheaply, and quickly, for those who learned little in high school. Moreover, the fact that a quarter of your "educated labor force" really isn't ready to handle technology (and more learning) means two things. One, employers are either going to be short of the people they need, and, two, some employers will be forced to spend more on educating new hires. This isn't easy, because many of those uneducated high school grads are not keen on more "education," having experienced so much failure with it already.” <snip>

The article lays the blame on poor education, but “la Griffe du Lion” has earlier used proxy test results to suggest that the average IQ of young people in urban settings is more than a standard deviation below the norm ( http://www.lagriffedulion.f2s.com/city.htm ). Maybe we are seeing the results of a society that is so wealthy that people of low abilities are able to indulge in unfettered procreation. Cyril Kornbluth saw it coming, of course – in 1951 (!).

For now, though: “As a result of all this, the recruits who do get in are a very select and motivated group. Thus the average soldier today is smarter, and in much better physical shape, than civilians of the same age and gender. But by being this selective, it requires more money and effort to find the people needed. During World War II, the percentage of acceptable recruits was more than double what it is today. Young men and women were in better physical shape, fewer got into trouble with drugs or crime, and military educational standards were not as high because there were more non-technical jobs available.”

The purpose of the US education system is to insure employment of bad teachers. It is well known that the efficiency of the system as measured by student performance will be about doubled by firing the 10% worst teachers and apportioning their students out among the rest; that is overwhelmingly to be preferred to "smaller classroom size", teacher pay raises, or anything else that might be tried. Of course this won't be tried because the purpose of the whole system is to see to it that the bad teachers are not fired and are allowed to go through ruining lives until they get large pensions.

The second purpose of the system is to insure full employment for professors of education, many of whom have never done any actual teaching, but whose imprimatur is needed to get the "merit pay" advances you can get from "workshops" and various courses in education. Some education colleges actually prepare teachers to teach, but many somple punch tickets; a lot of bad teachers who ought to be fired get "merit" pay for having accumulated credits from education professors. My suspicion is that firing about half the professors of education would greatly improve the efficiency of the system but I don't have any studies or numbers to prove that; but I would bet money that firing the worst 10% would instantly improve the colleges of education just as firing the worst 10% of classroom teachers would instantly improve the schools.

The purpose of the schools is to extract money from taxpayers and pay it in ways that insure that professors of education and bad teachers get paid. It is not to create citizens, or to teach anything; it is not to train future Legionnaires. If we are to have Legions, the first thing we need to do is cut all ties between the Armed Forces school systems for service dependents from the rest of the education system and run it in a rational manner as it has been done in the past. Alas the trend is in the other direction, with more and more of the poison that ruined the US public school system spreading everywhere else.

Schools no longer prepare students to be citizens or to learn the skills to be employed, even in the Legions. They have new purposes now, and they serve them well.

==

The Legions 

Dear Dr. Pournelle,

I thought you would be interested in this column by Richard Cohen. I find it interesting that someone on the opposite side of the political spectrum from you -- but of the Vietnam generation -- mirrors your concerns.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/
2011/01/04/how_little_the_us_knows_of_war_108425.html 

" I sometimes think I am the only person around who has been in the military. This is because most people I know are college-educated professionals, many of them writers. But if I throw in politicians and even the White House staff, nothing much changes. Lots of people know the expression "lock 'n load" but very few know how to do it.

This distant Army enables us to fight wars about which the general public is largely indifferent. Had there been a draft, the war in Iraq might never have been fought - or would have produced the civil protests of the Vietnam War era. The Iraq debacle was made possible by a professional military and by going into debt. George W. Bush didn't need your body or, in the short run, your money. Southerners would fight, and foreigners would buy the bonds. For understandable reasons, no great songs have come out of the war in Iraq.

... The Great Afghanistan Reassessment has come and gone and, outside of certain circles, no one much paid attention. In this respect, the United States <http://realclearworld.com/topic/around_the_world/
united_states/?utm_source=rcw&utm_
medium=link&utm_campaign=rcwautolink>  has become like Rome or the British Empire, able to fight nonessential wars with a professional military in places like Iraq. Ultimately, this will drain us financially and, in a sense, spiritually as well. "War is too important to be left to the generals," the wise saying goes. Too horrible, too."

------ Welcome to Marius' Rome. Of course, it doesn't have to end the same way. History doesn't seem to ever repeat itself exactly. But it is a matter of concern. The solutions I see are either to A) reinstate the draft and not fight unpopular wars or B) dramatically downsize the armed forces, check out of the global alliances we have built, and again become, in the words of a wise man, 'friends of liberty everywhere but guardians only of our own'.

A problem with that second solution is that the entire existing international order is based upon American military primacy. Our withdrawal would cause the collapse of that system. The last time the system collapsed, it resulted in two world wars. Possibly a more gradual solution is called for.

Respectfully,

Brian P.

=================

Fire and Ice, and Math, oh my!

Dear Doctor P,

In MAIL for January 7, 2011, Alan Messer commented on CUTIES -

"Didn't you teach your daughter to check the math? There simply isn't enough ice to raise sea levels high enough to make the AGW scenario of rising sea levels a reality even if it does melt. "

Yes, it's important to get the math right, whether the ice melts or not.

The numbers-

Sixty-one per cent of the fresh water on earth is in the Antarctic icecap, which is the largest ice mass on this planet.

Antarctica is about fourteen million square kilometers of land area, and is ninety-eight per cent covered with ice. To compare, the contiguous lower forty-eight states of these United States cover about nine and a half million square kilometers. .

The volume of the Antarctic ice cap is about thirty million cubic kilometers, estimated to be equivalent to seventy meters of water in the world's oceans.

While it might well take the Inferno's own blast furnaces to melt even a minor fraction of it, there is enough ice, in Antarctica to raise sea levels enough to cause problems for the currently dominant species of the planet.

If it were to all melt.

If.

After all, CUTIES is Science Fiction, and SF is supposed to explore unlikely and uncomfortable ideas, right?

On the gripping hand, I think it speaks volumes as to the type of thinking you encouraged in those closest to you that they can disagree with you. That can't be easy!

Petronius

PS

In fact, the Antarctic ice seems to be growing, See this interesting site - ICE AGE - NOW

http://www.iceagenow.com/
Antarctic_Ice_Cap_Growing_Thicker.htm

It has been a long time since the Antarctic ice cap melted, and it is not likely to happen again for another long time. Of course floating ice does not affect sea level.

=============

Birds and fish are dying all over the world:

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/
article-1344913/Animal-death-mystery-
Two-MILLION-dead-fish-wash-Maryland-bay.html 

Lots of local explanations, but why so many, so suddenly, and in such disparate places – all at once?

OK. We’re leading up to 2012. The Mayans knew it all along, right? The next Ice Age starts next year, right? I guess we should be mining more coal and spreading it on the glaciers . . .

Or maybe the aliens gave up on the Screwfly Solution and are trying something else to clear out the ecosystem?

Ed

==============

: Moon has liquid core just like Earth reveal sensors left on lunar surface by astronauts 40 YEARS ago, 

Jerry

Sensors left on lunar surface by astronauts 40 years ago now reveal that the Moon has liquid core just like Earth:

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-1344980 

Fundamental science. Fundamental discovery. Amazing.

Ed

==

'Signals from seismic sensors left on the lunar surface by Apollo astronauts in 1971 have revealed that the Moon has a liquid core similar to Earth's.'

<http://www.dailymail.co.uk/
sciencetech/article-1344980/
Moon-liquid-core-just-like-Earth-reveal-
sensors-left-lunar-surface-astronauts-
40-YEARS-ago.html>

-- Roland Dobbins 

Most software today is very much like an Egyptian pyramid, with millions of bricks piled on top of each other, with no structural integrity, but just done by brute force and thousands of slaves.

-- Alan Kay

==

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/
article-1344980/Moon-liquid-core-just-like-
Earth-reveal-sensors-left-lunar-surface-
astronauts-40-YEARS-ago.html 

The title is a little misleading -- this is not new data, but a new analysis of the old data using modern seismographic analysis techniques.

Jim

Amazing if true. I remain -- not precisely skeptical, but looking for confirmations.

============

ADHD

ADHD, as expressed in that New York TImes article, is an artifact of our need to label and categorize. There is a broad spectrum of ways that people create and then attempt to perceive and support their realities. Couple that with the broad spectrum of the ways that people attempt to relate to each other, and you begin to sense the scope of the chaos that is humanity.

I tend towards fairly linear IF- THEN - ELSE thought, coupled with fleeting intuitions. My wife, OTOH, is able to sense things in people that I cannot, no matter how hard I try. She has clued me in to the different learning styles of people, and how kinesthetic learners NEED to fidget and move to learn. Life has a tendency to explore different strategies, and while the IF- THEN - ELSE strategy may be successful in our society and times, I wonder if in other situations folks with different styles might come to the forefront.

Taking it a step further, we posit that dolphins and whales are significantly intelligent, but have limited access to tool making or use. If we were transported into such bodies, would our mental process be superior to that of an animal that evolved to cope with such an environment? Perhaps those with ADHD might actually have an advantage in such situations. We do well to minimize our hubris and recognize our good fortune.

different subject- Lucifer's Hammer. I'm enjoying the re-read of this after having it sitting on the shelf for a number of years. One thing I have noticed this time around is a "feel" of similar plot development to "Atlas Shrugged," something I did not recognize on the first reading. Specifically the Senator's ranch seems similar (as of about page 150) to the retreat in Atlas, the climb to the peak or ridge felt like something that Galt (or Roark) would be doing, and the upcoming tribulations have a similar almost Russian heaviness. Was the writing somehow influenced by Rand's style?

Jerry Chase

I do not see the similarity between the books, myself. One is a disaster science fiction novel, the other is build on social premises.

============

SUBJECT: Rapid change in the publishing industry.

Hi Jerry.

Kristine Kathryn Rusch in her weekly on-line column comments upon the huge spike in ebooks bought during the holidays, plus problems at Borders:

http://kriswrites.com/2011/01/05/the-
business-rusch-rapid-change-changing-times-part-twelve/ 

Cheers,

Mike Casey

As she says, many of us have seen this coming, but the rate is astonishing.

===========

Prizes in the US Code

Jerry,

Considering the discussion of prizes offered by the US, here is one of the sections on prizes

Regards, Charles Adams, Bellevue, NE

42 USC 259f-1:

§ 2459f-1. Prize authority

(a) In general The Administration may carry out a program to competitively award cash prizes to stimulate innovation in basic and applied research, technology development, and prototype demonstration that have the potential for application to the performance of the space and aeronautical activities of the Administration. The Administration may carry out a program to award prizes only in conformity with this section.

(b) Topics In selecting topics for prize competitions, the Administrator shall consult widely both within and outside the Federal Government, and may empanel advisory committees. The Administrator shall give consideration to prize goals such as the demonstration of the ability to provide energy to the lunar surface from space-based solar power systems, demonstration of innovative near-Earth object survey and deflection strategies, and innovative approaches to improving the safety and efficiency of aviation systems.....

(i) Funding

(1) Prizes under this section may consist of Federal appropriated funds and funds provided by the private sector for such cash prizes. The Administrator may accept funds from other Federal agencies for such cash prizes. The Administrator may not give any special consideration to any private sector entity in return for a donation.

(2) Notwithstanding any other provision of law, funds appropriated for prize awards under this section shall remain available until expended, and may be transferred, reprogrammed, or expended for other purposes only after the expiration of 10 fiscal years after the fiscal year for which the funds were originally appropriated. No provision in this section permits obligation or payment of funds in violation of the Anti-Deficiency Act (31 U.S.C. 1341).

(3) No prize may be announced under subsection (d) of this section until all the funds needed to pay out the announced amount of the prize have been appropriated or committed in writing by a private source. The Administrator may increase the amount of a prize after an initial announcement is made under subsection (d) of this section if-

(A) notice of the increase is provided in the same manner as the initial notice of the prize; and

(B) the funds needed to pay out the announced amount of the increase have been appropriated or committed in writing by a private source.

(4) No prize competition under this section may offer a prize in an amount greater than $50,000,000 unless 30 days have elapsed after written notice has been transmitted to the Committee on Science of the House of Representatives and the Committee on Commerce, Science, and Transportation of the Senate.

(5) No prize competition under this section may result in the award of more than $1,000,000 in cash prizes without the approval of the Administrator.

==============

'They say it is in thrall to a belief that temperatures will rise in the long term, and so has neglected its focus on accurate short and medium term forecasts.'

In other words, the forecast wasn't made public because it directly contradicted all the hysteria about so-called 'global warming':

<http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/
article-1343863/Met-Office-knew-
Decembers-big-freeze-coming-hushed-up.html>

--- Roland Dobbins

==

 

http://wattsupwiththat.com/2011/01/02/
do-solar-scientists-still-think-that-recent-
warming-is-too-large-to-explain-by-solar-activity/ 

"Money" graphic. Taken at face value, if the trends continue, it going to get about a degree (Celsius) cooler FAST -- like about one year fast. <http://wattsupwiththat.files.wordpress.com
/2010/12/lagged-solar-cycle-length-and-temp-
stephen-strum-frontier-weather-inc.png

I would bet money we do not get a degree of warming in the next year or even five years, unless there is a radical revision in how averages are computed or how the data are massaged. Alas, I would not bet against that happening.

==========

Autism and MMR Vaccine Study an 'Elaborate Fraud,' Charges BMJ

Jerry

The British Medical Journal says the Autism and MMR Vaccine Study was an 'Elaborate Fraud:'

http://www.medscape.com/viewarticle/
735354?sssdmh=dm1.658496&src=nl_newsalert 

Sometimes it seems like people just want to believe something.

Ed

==

"Retracted autism study an 'elaborate fraud,' British journal finds":

http://www.cnn.com/2011/HEALTH/
01/05/autism.vaccines/index.html?hpt=T1&iref=BN1 

Excerpt:

"It's always hard to explain fraud and where it affects people to lie in science," Godlee said. "But it does seem a financial motive was underlying this, both in terms of payments by lawyers and through legal aid grants that he received but also through financial schemes that he hoped would benefit him through diagnostic and other tests for autism and MMR-related issues."

=========

Food Problem 

Jerry,

I hope you are enjoying Vegas now. To get to the point, my wife and I kept our eyes on food prices for a while. We am not alone. Something interesting is going on with food prices: http://www.bloomberg.com/news
/2011-01-05/
global-food-prices-climb-to-record-on-
cereal-sugar-costs-un-agency-says.html 

Of particular concern to me are the increasing prices, which are at record level. These record breaking prices are happening in a completely different context than the last crisis that occurred in June 2008. It is a crisis because, in some parts of the world, these increases cause people to not get food. Now the article offers this information concerning the present context:

>New York-traded crude was last at $88.44 a barrel, compared with $140 at the end of June 2008. Bulk urea pellets, used in fertilizer as a source of nitrogen, were at $320 a ton in the last week of December, >against $460 in June 2008.

So we still have room to increase the prices beyond the current record levels. The prices of pellets and oil correlate positively with the price of food. As there is more room for a spike on these commodities, there is more room for a spike in the prices of food. Oil will continue to increase in my estimation. I would not be surprised if we saw 150-200 USD per barrel oil in the not-too-distant future--however that remains speculation at this point. Did you notice most OPEC countries want it around 100 USD per barrel?

-------- BDAB, Joshua Jordan, KSC Percussa Resurgo

==

Preparedness

Jerry,

Have you thought of an essay on what every America should do for his/her personal/family preparedness?

My lead item is a military caliber rifle and two units of fire. That and water.

Have you ever looked at the http://beprepared.com/article.asp?ai=903&  online food storage calculator? It analyzes how many days of food storage you have and it’s nutritional content. It also makes to easy to order more from them. J

I don't really have time to revive Survive Magazine (Col Brown's companion to Soldier of Fortune of which I was a columnist and contributing editor). I gather there is an on line community doing much of this.

==========

Further to Tom Brosz's recent letter

Tom Brosz wrote "The only place I've ever seen nations run by corporate tyrannies is in science fiction".

Well, the British East India Company ran India and the Dutch East India Company ran the East Indies for a long time. Also, companies were heavily involved in colonialism in Africa, North Borneo and the Pacific (Robert Louis Stevenson mentioned the German "long handled firm", I think he called it, that tried to penetrate Samoa in his day). And, technically, the Teutonic Order of Knights that operated and ruled lands in Eastern Europe was a corporation too, just as the City of London was when it transformed a city in Ulster from Derry to Londonderry. At least some of those were tyrannies - I think the Congo Free State was structured as a corporation, and that was definitely tyrannous.

Yours sincerely,

P.M.Lawrence

===========

: Photos of TSA t work

Jerry,

The photos and videos on this anonymous blog of TSA patdowns are incredible, and probably illegal to take. What possible justification can the TSA have for gloved pat-downs of two year old children and 90-year old grannies in wheelchairs?

One page of this anonymous blog is sufficient:

Your daily dose of security theater.

http://thedailypatdown.com/ 

Henry Barth Ireland

============

China J20 strike fighter 

Jerry,

Take a peek at China's new J20 strike fighter, now entering ground checkouts prior to first flight.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chengdu_J-20 

Sexy bird, almost a hybrid of an F-22 and the plane in the old movie firefox. Inlets look almost identical to the F-35 inlets, nose like the F-22 and F-35, as big as the old F-111, probable internal weapons carriage, and non-stealthy exhausts like the F-35, sounds like a stealthy deep penetration fighter.

Good thing we have a fleet of predators ready to hunt these things down especially since the F-22 production line can't be restarted and the F-35 isn't a very good air superiority platform. Maybe we can lease back some new-build F-15s from Korea or Singapore if things get tough.

Sean

Aircraft carrier and this, just before the US SECDEF goes to China. Shocking! A leak? Really? Taxied around in broad daylight...

===========

'Some estimates put the number of empty homes at as many as 64 million, with up to 20 new cities being built every year in the country's vast swathes of free land.'

<http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/
article-1339536/Ghost-towns-China-
Satellite-images-cities-lying-completely-deserted.html>

-- Roland Dobbins

=============

FBI Releases Hate Crime Report

IMPORTANT POINT BEFORE YOU READ THIS:

The FBI consideres Hispanics to be "white" when they commit hate crimes. That is their offenses are thrown in with ours and ethnic whites look like they commit a lot of hate crimes when they don't. But when hate crimes get committed against them, they are regarded as Hispanic. So, they are only counted when they are victims and not when they victimize others. Keep this in mind when forming important opinions about this issue. There is some serious distortion of the records going on here. Also bear in mind that these figures are for a country of over 320,000,000 population. 7,789 "offenses" represent roughly one per every 411,000 citizens--hardly a national crisis. As crimes go (robbery, drug killings, rape, bankster fraud, gang shootings) this is barely at a nuisance level


[LW]

FBI Releases 2009 Hate Crime Statistics
http://www.fbi.gov/news/pressrel/
press-releases/2009hatecrimestats_112210 

==============d

 

 

 

 

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IF YOU SEND MAIL it may be published; if you want it private SAY SO AT THE TOP of the mail. I try to respect confidences, but there is only me, and this is Chaos Manor. If you want a mail address other than the one from which you sent the mail to appear, PUT THAT AT THE END OF THE LETTER as a signature. In general, put the name you want at the end of the letter: if you put no address there none will be posted, but I do want some kind of name, or explicitly to say (name withheld).

Note that if you don't put a name in the bottom of the letter I have to get one from the header. This takes time I don't have, and may end up with a name and address you didn't want on the letter. Do us both a favor: sign your letters to me with the name and address (or no address) as you want them posted. Also, repeat the subject as the first line of the mail. That also saves me time.

I try to answer mail, but mostly I can't get to all of it. I read it all, although not always the instant it comes in. I do have books to write too...  I am reminded of H. P. Lovecraft who slowly starved to death while answering fan mail. 

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