THE VIEW FROM CHAOS MANOR View 148 April 9 - 15, 2001 |
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This is a day book. It's not all that well edited. I try to keep this up daily, but sometimes I can't. I'll keep trying. See also the monthly COMPUTING AT CHAOS MANOR column, 4,000 - 7,000 words, depending. (Older columns here.) For more on what this place is about, please go to the VIEW PAGE. If you are not paying for this place, click here... For Previous Weeks of the View, SEE VIEW HOME PAGE Search: type in string and press return.
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This week: | Monday
April 9, 2001
KUSC is done with it's subscriber drive, thank heaven. On that score, click here... Tooth filling dropped out. Dentist says it's either root canal or extract time. Since there is no lower corresponding with this thing we'll probably pull it, but for now the notion is to see if it hurts... But it's pretty well gone, and probably there's some minor infection in there. But we are off next week for a few days and I don't want to have to deal with a bad tooth and taxes both this week... I have started a new page on how to begin in VISUAL BASIC, mostly being the mail that readers sent after I complained that it wasn't clear to me how I just sat down and did a program in VB. That reminds me that there are a number of resources in this place that tend to be LOST. For instance there are two sets of reports here. The Chaos Manor Reports are summarized on one page, and there's another reports summary of a whole different report series on another page, and there are folders on sciences, and pictures, and space stuff, and the Strategy of Technology, and about five attempts to summarize and describe the resources available here. I desperately need a good site map. Which doesn't mean it will happen, of course...
It is just possible that my Vanishing ToolBar problem with Windows XP was my own fault. I don't think so. But this morning the toolbar was gone again, only this time I was able to click on the little arrow that appeared there and drag it up to it's normal size. Now I would swear I tried that all the other times that the tool bar vanished and it didn't work. I also have some reports from a couple of XP Beta testers that it happened to them, but they couldn't make it repeat. So now I don't know. I downloaded all the Windows XP updates from the Microsoft site, and I still cannot change the color to 256 colors; it simply will not let me do that on either HOME or Professional. Since I have programs that will not run unless I set the system to 256 colors, I will have to continue keeping Windows 98 computers; and if that's the case why bother with XP? Except that on Roberta's machine Windows 98 has blown up again: search/find no longer works, and while all my machines can see hers, her Windows 98 machine sees no other machines on the net. Network drives previously mapped on her machine work, but I can't map new ones, not even by manually typing in the path name.
So: I cured the problem once by reinstalling Windows 98, which was in fact a less painful experience than the above. I think this time I will put Windows 2000 on her machine. The fact that I can't use the network from her machine and must suck stuff up from it rather than push it from her machine to make backups across the net makes it a bit tougher. So I guess I will back up everything and put Windows 2000 on her system and see if that helps. If that doesn't then I will give her a new machine and take this one apart to its constituents. Since I don't have this problem with other machines it is probable that this is NOT MICROSOFT'S FAULT and that I am being unreasonable in my rage; I have many other machines this did not happen to, so it is actually likely that this some kind of very strange hardware problem. Which is why all the above is in a day book and not in my column. In the real world there is generally an explanation for these things, and simply blaming Microsoft isn't very productive. But I still have the problem that XP won't run much of my legacy stuff. Sigh. Do have a look at: Microsoft's new security site at http://www.microsoft.com/technet/security/current.asp As I recall John Adams said that the American Revolution was about preserving the rights of free Englishmen. http://news.bbc.co.uk/hi/english/uk/newsid_1269000/1269043.stm gives an interesting perspective on just what those rights are, now that Parliament is no longer sovereign. Blame it on the black helicopters. Greg Cochran has built a large reputation on the theory that most so-called hereditary disorders are in fact infectious diseases. The theory is simple: take Darwinian evolution seriously. Anything that imposes a heavy reproductive burden ought quickly to be bred out of the species. That includes insanity. So perhaps, he says, it's dangerous to hang around crazy people. Do psychiatrists start off nuts or do they get infected? He was reacting to this:
Virus in DNA 'is cause of mental illness'
BY MARK HENDERSON SCHIZOPHRENIA may often be caused by a virus, according to research that could lead to improvements in the way the mental illness is treated. American and German scientists have discovered the genetic signature of a virus in the brains and spinal fluid of up to 30 per cent of patients with schizophrenia, indicating a strong link to the disease.
It is thought that the virus, from a family known as HERV-W,
may be present in the environment. More commonly it is found in a
patient’s DNA and is thought somehow to be “switched on” in some
of those who contract the disease.Researchers hope the discovery will
lead to the creation of a drug that could kill the virus or prevent the
viral element in DNA from becoming active.
In the study scientists at Johns Hopkins University in
Baltimore, Maryland, and at the University of Heidelberg examined
cerebrospinal fluid
For more on this see mail.
Has every magazine I subscribe to gone mad? I recently renewed subscriptions to a number of publications, mostly science and archeology and such like, and to avoid having to deal with them again for a while I sent in money for fairly long terms. It's my theory that if I get a good story idea from one of those it has justified my paying for it, and even if I get them and throw them out I am money ahead. But just about every one of them sends me mail that looks like BILLS again. When I open these -- just what I didn't want, more darned paper to deal with at bill paying time -- lo! they have sent me "special offers" to renew for even longer and such like. I very nearly cancelled my subscriptions in rage. Why can't they leave me alone? And why can't the Post Office make money by charging these people what it really costs to deliver their unwanted messages? Junk mail is bad enough but now the people I thought I wanted to listen to have started sending me junk mail. Does anyone respond to this stuff? And for that matter does anyone buy any of these offered services that the spammers keep offering me? Can I hire a New Jersey Waste Management company to deal with spammers? Can we take up a collection to hire gangsters to deal with spammers? The government clearly can't do it; it has been bribed to leave the spammers alone. Now who can we hire to make them go away?
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This week: | Tuesday, April
10, 2001 Doing my taxes, paying my bills, and trying to stay ahead... Niven over for a hike. Progress on BURNING CITY. Microsoft people tell me that some of my reports have been useful and some of the problems will be fixed. This morning the tool bar was gone again on XP but I was able to drag it back so I am beginning to believe the previous instances were my own fault for not being dexterous enough. And now back to work...
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This week: |
Wednesday, April
11, 2001
Today I do taxes and work on BURNING TOWER. Opera opening tonight. Anybody thinking about a new machine may want to give a bit of time to see how this plays out: http://www.theregister.co.uk/content/3/18206.html Indeed. And then we have from Noel Nyman: Users united against the Office paperclip may enjoy this site, http://www.officeclippy.com/ Who says Microsoft has no sense of humor? And Roland notes http://www.zdnet.com/zdnn/stories/news/0,4586,5080924,00.html with the subject "Trying to fail, of course."
And then we have Which beats my "How many kilotons of apology did you want?"
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This week: |
Thursday,
April 12, 2001 Opening night of Don Pasquale last night. Cast party afterwards.
In the discussion of schizophrenia as an inheritable disease, it was pretty thoroughly established that schizophrenia was unknown in some primitive peoples until contact with western civilization; after which it appeared and became more prevalent. The question arises, have there been insanties that came and vanished? Of course there are not many diseases that have vanished, smallpox being the most notable of those that are, for the moment and until released upon us in some experiment or another, temporarily locked away. But one correspondent suggested religious hallucinatory experiences as a vanishing form of insanity. Without quite knowing the details he suggested that there had been such in Portugal around 1911, but such things don't seem to be happening now. This prompted a reply from me and on reflection I will insert it here. Understand, I have no quarrel with the proposition that some, and perhaps most, religious visions are what psychiatrists would call hallucinations. The real question is, have all of them been? If not, then there are some implications that can't be ignored. Note also that it is unlikely that there will ever be absolute proof one way or another, and this may itself not be irrelevant. The story of the events in Fatima (in 1917, not 1911) are given at http://www.fatima.org/story1.html by what appears (from the language and use of capital letters) to be a conservative Catholic organization. My notes below are from memories more than 50 years old:
Well one man’s hallucination is another’s revelation. As to Fatima (in Portugal during a particularly anti-religious government phase determined to secularize Portuguese society) there was some kind of manifestation but no two observers seem to agree on what other than that something odd happened. A number did say their clothes, soaked earlier in a rainstorm, were dry after it. There were three revelations to a peasant girl there: that Russia would threaten the peace of the world, second that through prayer and the Church Russia would be made harmless, and a third one that she revealed only to the Pope; that one has been passed from Pope to Pope but never revealed to the public for reasons I do not know. The girl was still alive a couple of years ago, and she has told no one else. She never looked for publicity. How she had any inkling that Russia would be a major factor in 20th Century history isn't clear. Like most such events this is one that strengthens existing faith but doesn't do much for those without it.
But by their nature miracles aren’t widespread and aren’t predictable, and are outside science and nature. Which isn’t to say that many events thought to be miraculous don’t have a simple scientific explanation; a lot and perhaps nearly all do. The question is whether there has ever been at least one actual miracle, defined as an actual intervention upsetting physical laws by divine will. Clearly the Resurrection would be such an event: it would be no good trying to make it happen again no mater what science one employed. This is of course why there is so much effort devoted to showing it never happened, or if it did it was a trick played by a Jewish faction. Paul put his finger on that one: if Christ be not risen then is all our faith in vain. Paul had an experience that psychiatrists could explain (ad apparently that bothered Paul even in his time). Whether all those he talked to were liars or delusional is the key question. He concluded they were not. Clearly. No doubt many “Extraordinary delusions and the madness of crowds” were simple manifestations of physical or chemical phenomena not known to the people of the time. It is now commonly concluded that the Salem visions were due to rye ergot, which has been the cause of other hallucinatory experiences; it's quite similar to LSD and occurs naturally. Other such events may be simple myth, such as the blind man who saw in Canterbury after the intervention of St. Thomas – although Henry’s investigators sure tried to prove that the man, blinded by judicial order for theft, wasn’t really blind and that it was all a fake. They eventually reported to Henry that they had no explanation, and this was one of the events that led up to Henry having himself flogged in Canterbury as an act of Penance. Henry Plantagenet wasn’t one to relish such matters, and he sure tried to prove that the miracles of Thomas A Becket were fakes…. But religious manifestations attested by reliable witnesses have been pretty rare over the centuries, and I don’t think there has been much of a trend. Lourdes and Fatima are the recent ones we recall, and Guadalupe before that; hardly any great number since colonial times… And Roland says he got this as his fortune cookie this morning: I thought you might find this amusing. ----- "You are old," said the youth, "and your programs don't run, And there isn't one language you like; Yet of useful suggestions for help you have none -- Have you thought about taking a hike?" "Since I never write programs," his father replied, "Every language looks equally bad; Yet the people keep paying to read all my books And don't realize that they've been had. ----- To which I have no comment... WARNING: DO NOT USE REGCLEAN on W 2000 The Asian press is already saying that the US lost face, backed down, etc., and one Japanese paper is calling for revaluation of US strategic intentions. Interesting. I quote one fellow science fiction author: Part of the problem, though, is the reaction in _Asia_. Asian countries are seeing it, almost universally, as a diplomatic defeat, a huge one. That the _US_ "blinked." Some of the editorials in Tokyo are already using it as a rationale for "reevaluating their relationship with China and the US." Yes, we got the hostages back. Yes, we didn't "really" apologize, certainly not "daoquan" ("taking blame for unacceptable actions".) But unless we do something publicly to prove we are still the world's only superpower, and _publicly_ and _soon_, we are looking at a number of countries that we _don't_ want "reevaluating their strategic relationships" doing so. That will be bad.
Now that the only thing at stake is the airplane, which we would never trust to be clean of bugs and sabotage materials anyway, we have a few more choices. The problem is that most of them make us look like spiteful bullies. Were I Bush I would simply repeat the letter we sent China, attached to notice that their barbarous actions have merited our opposition to their Olympic bid, a State Department Warning that China is no longer considered a safe place to travel and that includes Olympic athletes, and a notice that unless the airplane is returned we will remove China from the Most Favored Nations status. Or would I? Certainly an Empire would act that way. An Empire would be very much concerned about demonstrating that it is the only super power. That is what Empires do. A Republic might simply be glad our troops are home, and think again about the purposes served in risking more. But the citizens of a Republic might think very hard about buying goods made in China, and let their retail outlets know they of that concern. Yet again: is the long term interest of the US served best by triggering an economic collapse in China -- fairly easy to do at not all that high cost to us -- and thus removing the Favor of Heaven from the current regime and forcing them to yet more repressive measures -- or by some other action? Under which course are the people of China better off? Chinese Communism isn't the chiliastic Russian variety. They don't really want to set up puppet regimes around the world, and they aren't really a universal movement. The regime is communist because it happened to be that, but it is more Chinese than communist. Does that matter? I have no idea. During the 70 Years War Possony always held that we needed China to help neutralize the USSR, which in his judgment was the real enemy. Now that the Seventy Years War is over, what need have we of either China? Not that Taiwan is a "China" in any recognizable sense other than the desire of the ontocracy on the mainland. We can seek to right the wrongs of the world, including those in Asia. That requires surveillance aircraft, and a military overseas presence, and a force capable of projecting force and power far beyond North America. It means remaining in NATO and being more and more subject to the "European Union" bureaucracy and its courts which seek to have a presence everywhere. Or we can say that we are the friends of liberty everywhere, but the guardians only of our own, and conduct a China policy based on our own interests, and ignore the Asian press and it's preoccupation with 'face". Whether our own interest is best served by exporting more and more manufacturing jobs is at least worth discussion while we are thinking along these lines. It will be a long time before China can take a drink from a US stream without our let and leave. Subject: new specs for the PC http://www.zdnet.com/filters/printerfriendly/0,6061,2701649-10,00.html Interesting specs. Including this one. The system does not allow end-user access to expansion bus cards. This means users will no longer routinely open their PCs to add peripherals. Tom This was part of the WinHEC conference. Thanks for the reminder. I find some of them silly. It may be desirable to have a BIOS option to hide all the BIOS self-tests, but I sure don't want that to be mandatory. There are other things I find less than compelling... Then there are the outfits that you allow to send you press releases, and that get fancier and fancier. You don't want attachments and won't open them so the next thing I know they are sending HUGE things with complex links and all kinds of moving junk; they take forever to download, you don't dare open them, and if you try to reply to say get me off this flipping list they gag your machine. Executive Software, the outfit that makes Diskeeper, is the latest offender. Why do people DO this? Do they really think anyone wants their fancy advertisements? And then there are the conferences that want you to register, and have interminable web pages to wade through before you can. It's enough to make you want to -- but no that would be in bad taste.
And Roland sends this with the note that apparently if you have two computers networked with a crossover Ethernet cable you are subject to a treaty: http://www.law.com/cgi-bin/gx.cgi/AppLogic+FTContentServer?pagename=law/View&;c= Article&;cid=ZZZD3WRL5LC&;live=true&;cst=1&;pc=0&;pa= 0&;s=News&;ExpIgnore=true&;showsummary=0 I had to break this imbecilic URL, of course. From the opera, or rather after it, Roberta discovers the new angels at the Pavilion: And hiking today, overlooking the new palaces of Studio City. The Spanish style to the right was built by Goldie Hawn, but she and Kurt Russell had just moved in when the earthquake damaged it badly. They moved back to Malibu and have not returned. As you can see, Sasha is his old self. And Roland sends this, more on the security problem: http://dailynews.yahoo.com/h/zd/20010412/tc/802_11_and_swiss_cheese_1.html And regarding the mail: Clark Myers informs me that Ladin is mentioned 6 times in the New Britannica. I leave the rest as an exercise to the reader...
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This week: |
Friday,
April 13, 2000 Good Friday Friday the 13 falls on a Friday this month... I suppose that is meaningless unless you are of an age to remember Pogo. If you have not read the Byte coverage of CeBit, you should.
It's one of the better things has done. And Roland sends this with the note "You were right." http://www.theregister.co.uk/content/3/18267.html Alas. I would rather have been wrong about this.
I was recently featured in an interview in an article in the Orange County Register. Reading it led me to www.antiwar.com which I had not previously heard of for some reason. It's run by libertarian Justin Ramondo, who sometimes writes for paleoconservative magazines. There is a lot of topical news I haven't read. I found a link to an article about Bastiat, whose book I used to use in political science classes as one of the clearer statements of the libertarian position. There was a link to an intriguing title on hacking Chinese sites, but to get to that I would be required to register for whatever outfit was publishing the article: worse, "back" did nothing, and the only way to escape from that link was to close the browser. I am not sure how that is done; I certainly try not to put irreversible links on this site. Anyway I did not read that one, but the title looked interesting. The old truism is that war is the lifeblood of the state. War builds and expands government, and those who want government to grow usually find a way to get into a war, or to prepare for one. This is expensive and employs a lot of people : the actual military forces are pretty cheap compared to the rest of the expenses in a military buildup, and of course war is a wasteful and inefficient system for creating demand and lots of it. This isn't to say that no wars are justified. I believe the Seventy Years War was real and important and we might have lost it, finding ourselves alone in a world of Finlandized states mixed with outright puppets. The Russians were on the Rhine before; they would be there or beyond now if we hadn't acted. Wittfogel showed long ago that Oriental Despotisms are essentially eternal unless pushed over from outside; they seldom if ever fall of their own weight. And The Strategy of Technology was an attempt, I think successful, to show how we might make that push and win that war without bloodshed and without turning ourselves into a mirror image of the enemy. I don't apologize for being a cold warrior. I do have my reservations about the New World Order, which I am sure comes as no surprise to any regular reader. I think we lose far more than we gain when we insert ourselves into the territorial disputes of Europe, or in Asia for that matter; or into civil wars in Europe or Asia. I think the best US policy was long ago said by Adams, "We are the friends of liberty everywhere, but we are the guardians only of our own." Guarding our own during the Seventy Years War required expeditionary armies to Germany and Japan and Viet Nam and Korea; but that time is past. United Europe has an economy as large as ours, and I see nothing good for me in continuing US membership in the entangling alliance known as NATO. Let Europe look to European security. Israel and England always were special cases, but I am not certain that our help has always been the best thing that could happen to either; that reliance on the US as a big brother hasn't led them to unwise decisions and actions they might otherwise not have taken. We have made promises to both, and each has a right to expect us to keep our word. Whether we should go farther than that is another matter. I don't know. In any event, I am not endorsing www.antiwar.com but I do note it is an interesting place to visit, and presents a view that those who prefer a Republic to an Empire may find, at least in part, congenial. And libertarians will love it. Anyplace that knows who Bastiat was can't be all bad... I found an older FPRI Report which I'll have up fairly soon; it looks at US foreign policy. And Roland says "Microsoft pushes security through obscurity:" http://www.securityfocus.com/frames/?content=/templates/article.html%3Fid%3D191
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This week: | Saturday,
April 14, 2001
Beware the Ides of April And yes I know when the Ides are. I am doing my taxes. I blooming hate being an unpaid accountant for the government, but I don't suspect that I am alone in this matter. There's a lot of mail today, some quite controversial. Onward. I am reliably informed that the EP-3 crew completed their destruction checklist before the plane landed, so the Chinese have gained little from this incident. It is clearly true that if the US is to "remain a Pacific power" and "remind the world that we are the only remaining super power" then we must maintain our presence over there, and surveillance flights must I suppose continue. I am glad we have the capability for doing that. The larger question is what is the role of the United States in the New World? If the business of the United States is business why are we doing this? And I for one would rather cement relationships with Japan if I have to spend a lot of time and energy on Pacific matters. But I will also quickly say I am no longer much of a foreign policy expert when it comes to tactics. And yet I wonder: Rome began with a mission to "defend the helpless and make humble the proud." A noble mission. It led to the Punic Wars (a phase we have already passed in the US), the Gallic Wars (a phase we passed without any domestic destruction here; the Gauls never threatened Washington although their equivalent did occupy the Philippines) and the Civil Wars and Spartacus. We haven't had that yet. Perhaps we don't have to. But is being and acting like a superpower what we want? It's certainly closer to Empire than Republic, and there is a logic to Empire: it leads to rigid control, an attempt to hammer diverse peoples into submitting to laws brought from outside, and an abandonment of the principles of the Declaration which say that governments derive their just powers from the consent of the governed. Most of us now live under laws to which we did not consent and would not consent now. A superpower will continue that trend. It has to. And there we are... Apparently the "secret" of Fatima has been revealed and published. See mail.
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This week: | Sunday,
April 15, 2001
Easter Sunday I am nearly finished with my taxes. I am reminded that in an Empire, the time as well as the wealth of Imperial Subjects belongs to the state. To Whom it May Concern, My name is Conor Scholes and I will be performing a senior recital in which I wish to include Wagner's Les deux Grenadiers. Unfortunately, I have been unable to locate the music for this piece. Do you know of anywhere that I can locate this music or of anyone who knows where the music can be purchased. Your help is greatly appreciated. Thank you for you time. Please do not reply to the address this is sent from, but to the one at the bottom of this message, which is scholesc@hotmail.com. Conor Scholes scholesc@hotmail.com Not sure why I got this. A google search on Die Beiden Grenadieren gets a lot of hits, the first one being http://www.jerrypournelle.com/archives2/archives2view/view129.html where I got it wrong, thinking Schiller had written the words, but in fact it was Heinrich Heine. The composer was Schumann. There is also this: SONY
Masterworks - [ New! Translate
this page ] I suppose there is a French translation. A quick look: Apparently this is a different work, and by Wagner at that: Les
deux grenadiers - [ New!
Translate
this page ]
Which took me to http://perso.club-internet.fr/ameliefr/DeuxGrenadiers.html which is a very interesting page design. But still no music, so perhaps a reader will know of a recording? I haven't taken the time to see if this is Heine's poem or someone else's. A long time ago Van Loon said that if you want to understand Napoleon you must get a good artist to sing you the Heine/Schumann work. And now this: The Telegraph [London] ISSUE 2108 Saturday 3 March 2001 Sexy high heels are worth the agony, say women By Celia Hall ONE woman in five teeters around in uncomfortable high heels to please boyfriends, husbands or bosses, a survey says. All women link fashionable footwear with sexuality, status and power, even when they reach their Seventies. The random survey of women registered with an Oxfordshire family doctor practice appears to show that women prefer to put up with pain and risk serious long-term foot problems rather than wear less sexy shoes. Only one woman in three said she really liked wearing heels, but one in 10 said she would wear uncomfortable shoes if they looked good. More than 80 per cent said they would not be prepared to change their preferred shoe styles to improve a foot problem. Well, I certainly appreciate the effect... From Trent Telenko: I think you will find this of interest. The debate in Britain over the 'euro-force' has been joined. The bottom line is that Blair is giving up the 'special relationship' with the USA and the Tories are as pathetic in opposition as the California Republican Party. http://www.scotlandonsunday.com/text_only.cfm?id=SS01013011 ----------------- Choosing Britain's Allies SUNDAY ESSAY A SIMPLE glance at history will reveal the importance of alliances between countries. They can prevent wars, or they can lead to wars. But although of great import, alliances are basically set by kindergarten rules. With minor modification, they run as follows: Choose an ally whose broad culture and general behaviour is most nearly in line with your own - you will be more comfortable in the long run: this obviously implies considerable knowledge of his previous behaviour coupled with a favourable track record. Choose an ally who is both sufficiently distant to allow you a fair degree of freedom to do as you please internally, but is sufficiently close to help you when you need him. ... SNIP ... Admiral Sir John Woodward was senior task group commander during the Falklands War in 1982
Admiral Sir 'Sandy' Woodward, commander of the Falklands war task force Sunday, 15th April 2001 Scotland on Sunday
Indeed. Indeed. And then this: Chinese F-8 fighter planes, like the one that crashed with an American reconnaissance aircraft on April 1, carry Israeli-made Python 3 missiles, a photograph of the plane in question has revealed. The photograph, taken in January and clearly depicting the air-to-air missiles manufactured by Israel's Rafael Armament Development Authority, appeared on films released recently by U.S. Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld, and distributed Sunday by the Associated Press. Which may set the cat among the pigeons... And from Ed Hume: A Wagner source site including where to find music, etc.:
http://home.c2i.net/monsalvat/wagnerfaq.htm
>From the holdings of Kentucky Christian College
http://campus.kcc.edu/library/musiclist1.htm 184 Jose Carreraas sings Schubert, Liszt, and Wagner Les deux grenadiers And Roland reminds us that there is no place to hide: http://www.sunday-times.co.uk/news/pages/sti/2001/04/15/magazine1.html -- Good Night.
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