THE VIEW FROM CHAOS MANOR View 141 February 19 - 25, 2001 |
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This week: | Monday
February 19, 2001
Still at AAAS. Apparently I am now going to be on the program tomorrow morning at 0800 (Gak!) in a session on science and science fiction. I doubt anyone will still be here. People tend to bug out fast. This afternoon there's manned exploration of space which I will get to. Dinner last night with Max Hunter, one of the pioneers of the US space program. Max, Gen. Dan Graham, and I persuaded then VP Dan Quayle to build the DC/X which flew back at White Sands in the 90's -- and was the last US Space system to be built and fly on time and under budget. There's a lot of mail, including continuing about Allchen's remarks. I am not always a fan of Stephen Jay Gould, but I find his NY Times article on the genome very much worth reading: http://www.nytimes.com/2001/02/19/opinion/19GOUL.html Then there is an interesting (and highly opinionated) essay on federal effect on education at http://www.enterstageright.com/0201edufix.txt The author is more enamored of conspiracy theories than I am, but the points made are still worth considering. But recall Bonapart. "Never ascribe to malice that which is adequately explained by incompetence." But then there is Dafydd ap Hugh's addition to that aphorism: the truly powerful are rarely incompetent. As for me, I'll let others fight it out: see mail.
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This week: | Tuesday, February
20, 2001
Home and all is well. The program this morning went well. I was on with Dr. French Alexander, the preeminent name in gene therapy and sometimes called "Dr. Frankenstein" because of that. He gave an eminently sensible talk and since the theme was science fiction pointed out what Mary Shelley really intended with her novel. Of course there has been a lot of bad science fiction that makes his work look terrible. Now clearly there is reason to be cautious. There is also reason to cure terrible diseases. I'll try to reproduce my AAAS talk, but just now I am digging out from tons of mail and lots of accumulated administrivia... At the manned space meeting yesterday afternoon I met Mr. Cameron, the film director. who wants to set up a meeting to talk about making at least one of my books into a film. It seems he has read them all. I was astonished. And clearly both pleased and a bit proud that the king of the world likes my stuff... And if you want something to think about, try: http://www.thedailycamera.com/news/talbott/20lclin.html Note that I am NOT drawing conclusions here. It's both interesting and a bit more complicated than it appears. It's great to be home. MESSAGE: all you teachers who are having students write me to write their term papers for them (well to do all the research) please don't. I can't even answer that kind of request. I particularly won't answer an illiterately written request for resaerch on complex subjects. Why should I? Then
there is this:
David Boies, known for his battles against Microsoft and the recount
efforts in Florida, is now representing Napster. Find out about the
"Michael Jordan" of the law in this News.com Special Report. February 20, 2001, 4:00 a.m. PT Aargh. And I have come to some conclusions about global warming and CO2 levels that may surprise some readers. Stay tuned.
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This week: |
Wednesday, February
21, 2001
Home and digging out from a week's STUFF. This comes with the subject "Have you ever seen a sonic boom?" The Astronomy Picture of the Day does it again! http://antwrp.gsfc.nasa.gov/apod/ap010221.html way cool! -Paul pdwalker@quagmyre.com Way Cool indeed. The day is being devoured by locusts. A week ago when it was very warm in Los Angeles I decided to test my air conditioner. It didn't work. I scheduled a service maintenance for today. The technician was a bit late, discovered a bad transformer, and supposedly fixed things. Then he turned it on and pronounced that it worked. I later found he had tested the heat capability -- it's a combination A/C and furnace -- and that worked but when I tried the cooling, nothing. So I have to try to get him back or reschedule. Meanwhile the tiny little through the wall A/C in the cable room has become less and less reliable and needs replacing, so I have to find someone who can and will do that. It won't need much. The smallest possible unit will do, with the only trickiness being that it has to pass through a wall and not a window and I don't feel like being a carpenter; I would rather pay to have someone else do it. This unit cools fine when it will turn on, but over the past few months its thermostat has been flakier and flakier and now I can't make the compressor go on at all. The fan works just fine. But there is no obvious way to get at anything to fix, and if it's going to be taken out to be repaired it may as well be replaced and have done with it. It only cools the cable room which has the servers in it, so almost any air conditioner will do as long as it works... I need all that done now while it's not critical so that when it does get hot -- there's spring in the air out there now, with roses sprouting new growth and the mocking birds chasing each other around -- I will have at least the computer room cooler working. I can live with a hot office but the computers can't... And the nice young lady who comes around to wash the dog at intervals was scheduled today, and I still need to take a hike, and my wife's ancient machine she uses for communications needs replacing. ANYONE OUT THERE know how to transfer PGP from one machine to another? She uses PGP to take orders for her reading program, as well as for subscriptions to this site. And now I need to request some papers from the AAAS for an article Roberta is writing on education, and I have to write up my AAAS report. And take a hike with the dog on this beautiful spring day. It has been suggested that I send my new thoughts on global warming to subscribers a couple of weeks before I put up the new web page report. I like that notion. I'll try to ses up some other benefits for subscribers as well. I do appreciate the subscriptions: without them I wouldn't feel obligated to do so much here, and this place would slowly spiral to near silence. But I ought to do a bit more directly for subscribers. So long as it's understood that's not a firm promise. John Bartley says this is an Outlook Spam Filter. I have not looked at it yet: http://www.gaznet.au.com/spam/download.htm But it apparently works this way: Jerry, Regarding this link that you just put up on your page, as he asks on the site, please contribute your junk senders.txt file to him for the Greater Good. I don't know about yours, but my junk senders.txt is 47K, since I've been adding to it steadily for years now. He takes everyone's contributions and filters them into a master file monthly for all to download and enjoy. Thanks. http://www.gaznet.au.com/spam/download.htm
Once again the Internet has become a place to test how many grown people can be made to stare at a screen on which nothing is happening. Amazon has now loaded their system with so many "goodies" that it takes forever to look up a book by author, find it, and order it. Either they will fix that or they will die. Signing in is a painful process. Why? But eventually the job got done. Painful, possibly due to net congestion. I am about to start a renewed battle for faster net access...
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This week: |
Thursday,
February 22, 2001
Niven was over for a hike. The LAST MORSE is on TV tonight. The LAST one. Blast. This is worth your time: Jerry, Here's one seriously funny 404 error page. http://www.scintilla.utwente.nl/asdfhjkl Kit Case I am working on my AAAS reports. I used to do those at the show. I guess I really am slowing down. I have begun building my junk email list; I will probably share that with subscribers shortly. It really does seem to whack off a lot of it. Alas, the one I downloaded didn't get the half of it -- I must be on every sucker list in the country. But I am slowly building the list, and Outlook does seem to be pretty fast even using it. Which is neat. And from Jay Luther: http://www.theregister.co.uk/content/2/17107.html IBM is giving up on hard disk copy protection. Sometimes we win one. But not on copy protection for ATAPI drives, such as CD burners. I don't want CPRM on my CD burners and DVD-RAM drives, and I'm sure you don't either. Let's keep hammering on them. -- Robert Bruce Thompson thompson@ttgnet.com http://www.ttgnet.com/rbt/thisweek.html Oh, I intend to.
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This week: |
Friday,
February 23, 2001 Roland sent this along. I have not had time to read the legalese, but it looks serious: and that the Dept. of Justice is on the wrong side in a case involving a shameful and sneaky addition to law. Of course the decisions to intervene would have been taken in the Reno DOJ: Subject: U.S. Government files amicus curiae on behalf of the recording industry in the DeCSS case. http://cryptome.org/mpaa-v-2600-usa.htm We have many lawyer subscribers here; comments appreciated. And now this: Jerry, More fun online. http://www.vanguard.edu/rharris/warning.htm Kit Case I think I understand Microsoft's Allchin now. And it's a bit frightening. With the new copy protection they are trying to build into Microsoft products ("40% of our software products are pirated!") they will lose even more customers as people look for any way out of that box. Linux is a way out. So let us use the law to make people use Microsoft products. I do not think Judge Penfield Jackson knew what he was doing. The "monopoly" case against Microsoft in that one was not made. But the effect was to wake the sleeping giant, put Microsoft into the lobbying and government business BIG TIME, and cause Microsoft to go to the kind of strategy that creates TRUE MONOPOLIES, namely, government enforced cartels. And that must be stopped. I think it may be time to take Linux seriously as a desktop OS. That is not going to be easy, but Microsoft needs REAL competition with software that has real market share and can run on the systems we have now. Our computers are big and powerful now, and at AAAS I came to the conclusion that Moore's First Law has about 50 years to run, while there are ways to circumvent Moore's Second Law (this will be in my reports). That argues enough computer power to make anything run fast. The cycles and memory will be out there. Perhaps it is time to START OVER with OS. Heck, I'd like to see Niklaus Wirth's Oberon and Modula 2 come back. I would even be interested in an OS that was written in and ran ADA as its assembly language. We are no longer constrained by memory and and cycles limits. I think it is time to break free from not only Microsoft but unintelligible code like C (which means we break free of LINUX and the other UNIX type systems too). As long as the Microsoft monopoly was purely business based it was possible to compete against the company. It would not be easy, but there were no legal barriers to entry. It is when a company gets in bed with the government that real monopolies become possible -- and that is what Allchin seemed to be proposing, and that is dangerous. David McCord Wright, whose economics text I used when I found myself forced to teach freshman economics, used to say that Marx was partially right: the tendency of capitalist systems is toward fewer and fewer larger and larger companies, until monopoly happens. The West defeated that by breaking up cartels and having the government be the enemy of monopoly. Now he was only echoing Adam Smith, who said that whenever two capitalists get together their first subject of conversation is how to get the government to restrict entry so that they will be the only competitors. It is government restrictions and barriers to entry that make monopolies work. This can be as innocuous as the Americans with Disabilities Act and other reporting acts that require big overhead to comply with government regulations: startups rarely have the extra capital to pay the people who take care of "compliance" with various regulations, while the big outfits have such staffs as a cost of doing business. But government can bo direct, too; and Microsoft has figured that out. A few years ago this was a geekfest company content to say "we hire the best, and our method of competition is to go hire everyone else's best people. We out geek you. And thus we win." But the Penfield Jackson decision changed it all. Now Microsoft is going for "well if controlling government is the way to win, then we spend the money to control government. We have to in order to protect ourselves, so we are justified in using government to help us recoup the losses we took in having to get into the government and public image business. So there." Of course this turns off the geeks who have kept Microsoft going. And that is another story and one we will watch: but do note that the incentive to make lots of money is powerful, and even geeks can hear that siren song...
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This week: | Saturday,
February 24, 2001 Opera opening last night. Handel, Julius Caesar. Long. The three best countertenors in the world were excellent, as was the rest of the cast. Roberta loves baroque opera and really loved this, which, like Halley's Comet, doesn't come around very often. As for me, I liked every part of it. The first three times it was done. And the concluding repetition of each part. I could have done without repetitions 4 - 21 of each, alas. In the words of the emperor, "too many notes" -- i.e., 4 hours is a bit much. Having said that I recall I very much enjoyed the 5 hours of Troyen a few years ago, so it's not sheer length; I suspect I am not attuned to the musical subtleties of baroque opera. I have sent a mailing to subscribers. If you subscribe and DO NOT GET a mailing in a few hours, please send me a note with "DID NOT GET" in the subject line; tell me when you subscribed, and under what name, and if you have changed your mailing address send me the old and the new, plainly labeled as to which is which. Assume I just spend 4 hours at baroque opera and am a bit stupefied so make it clear... There is no substance in this mailing, which is a list test. By Monday I will have modified the badmail list to include all mail bounced from this test. If you DID GET the test mailing, you need do nothing, although it can serve as a renewal reminded if needed... Tim Powers will be over this afternoon. Looking forward to talking about his latest book as well as catching up. And I am grinding out the AAAS reports. I really am. I am building my Junk Mail Senders list as a text file. I'll eventually zip it and put it where it can be found. It gets BIG FAST. Wow. But it does seem to be doing the job. Notice to Subscribers: IF YOU DID NOT get a test mailing recently, PLEASE CHECK BADMAIL page. I have received a surprising number of rejections to this test mailing, some from people with whom I have had recent correspondence. If you're on that badmail page, it is from this recent test mailing, and there is something wrong here. In some cases I may have two addresses, one original and one from a renewal, in which case please tell me which one I can DELETE. I really would like to make this list current... Thanks! I have put up some pictures of the model of INSS MacArthur. Good article on multiple monitors: http://support.microsoft.com/support/kb/articles/Q238/8/86.ASP And something very interesting but I don't have a URL: New York Times, 1.2.20 DNA Shows Malaria Helped Topple Rome By JOHN NOBLE WILFORD An analysis of the bones of a child buried in a Roman cemetery more than 1,500 years ago has yielded what British and American researchers say is the earliest genetic evidence of malaria infection to be identified so far. Traces of malaria had never before been identified definitively in such long-buried skeletons. The research encouraged some archaeologists to predict a wider and more productive alliance between biomolecular science and traditional excavation archaeology. Which is fascinating. They now think Attilla may have turned back from sacking the city because of fear of plague. Jerry, Here is the URL from the NYT story on Rome by John Noble Wilford http://www.nytimes.com/2001/02/20/science/20ROME.html Regards, Charles Adams quantum@neonramp.com Indeed. Thanks. And -- >From Independent 20 ii 01 http://www.independent.co.uk/news/UK/This_Britain/2001-02/flag200201.shtml ------------------------------ British protester charged with racist abuse for dragging US flag on ground By Severin Carrell 20 February 2001 An anti-nuclear protester has been charged with racial abuse against the American people after she allegedly dragged a United States flag along the ground during a demonstration against the Star Wars missile defence system. In an unprecedented case, the Crown Prosecution Service has accused Lindis Percy of being motivated by racist hatred of the American people when she "trailed" the US flag on the road at the US military eavesdropping base at Menwith Hill in North Yorkshire. At a pre-trial hearing atHarrogate magistrates' court yesterday, the prosecution claimed this offence, which carries a 2,500 fine, To which I can only say, GOOD GRIEF, they have gone mad over there!
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This week: | Sunday,
February 25, 2001 I hate consumer electronics. I particularly hate Sony. [Later: let me ammend that. But I am not as fond of Sony as I have been in the past.] I have a Sony Trinitron Kv-20VM20 Television/VCR. The remote controller has gone wonky. I want to buy a new one. Try going to the Sony web site and finding that. Their search engine turns up thousands of useless items on remote controller, nothing on the model number -- it is as if they never made one of those -- and no way to figure out if I am drawing dead. It's possible there is a new controller that would work for my TV/VCR for sale -- but I have no way of knowing that. This is insanity. I suppose I will have to go down to the store and ask. The local Good Guys seems overstocked with people who don't speak English well and whose notion of salesmanship is to stand around talking to each other until one can be bothered to actually listen to a question, only to have no answer. [The answer is 1-800-REMOTES and I will do that.] I thought Fry's and computer stores were bad. Hah. They are marvels of competence compared to the consumer electronics stores. I even bought a new VCR hoping that I would be able to tape a couple of shows I won't be home to watch. So far the only way I have been able to record is to set the TV so that I see the program, and record from there. There is supposed to be a way to let the TV stay off, or be on a different channel from what the VCR is recording, but there is not. Not with the Adelphia digital signal anyway. The VCR has to be set to Channel 2, and the Cable box to the channel you want. Then it will record. Any other combination -- a different channel number on the VCR -- records nothing but static. Of course the people at Good Guys assured me this would not be the case, that this would work with the new Adelphia system. If so I can't make it happen. Now I could understand perhaps that a commercial VCR box could not decode channel 207 or one of the other premium channels; but what I wanted was on 28, which comes on the cable as 6, the last Inspector Morse episode. With three TV's and VCR's including the new one I wasn't able to do it. Timers aren't working right, signals aren't coming right, and nothing works. I make no doubt I'll be able to buy the darned tape (and for less than a VCR and tapes) and I'll do that, but this is infuriating. The Cable Guy hooked the Cable Signal Box at the top of the stream, then has both rf and audio/video (3 RCA jack cables) connecting to the VCR and thence to the TV. That works to play videos, and I can record but only if the VCR channel is 3 and the cable box is set to what I want. I am wondering if the VCR ought to be upstream? Probably not. The Cable Box User's Guide shows a button called the TV/VCR bypass which is ONLY on the remote for the Cable Box; perhaps this will do it? It says "a cable-ready TV is required for this function" but of course it does not define "cable-ready" TV; and is that the same when you have a digital cable signal? So I suppose I will be taking this thing back to the Good Guys with all the papers and getting my money back (well my Amex charge cancelled) since it certainly does not work as they said it would. I'll make one more try, but my guess is that it will not in fact record anything that hasn't been decoded by the Cable Box. Of course the Cable Box is a Motorola DCT 2000 and the User Guide is only a little better than useless. It begins with the usual lawyerese warnings that you should not tear out an eyeball and put it into the box, and you might be electrocuted by using this and Motorola is not responsible for anything ever. After pages of that it tells me that my DCT 2000 "includes one or more of the following features" and has a list. No way to tell whether the features exist or not. So much for clarity. And in fact the remote that I have, which comes from Adelphia, not from Motorola, does NOT have the TV/VCR bypass button. State of the Art digital consumer terminal. Bah. Its so state of the art they don't know what features it has, only that it may include some. It tells me to be sure to read my electronic program guide instruction manual, only there is no such thing. This is and a Xeroxed sheet telling what channels are available are IT for instructions. And it sure doesn't tell me if I can record one channel while watching another. With old analog TV I certainly could, but if there's a way to do it with this one I have not found it. I am now convinced it can't be done, which means the Good Guys lied to me about the unit I bought just for that purpose. And, I suspect, Adelphia knows all about this. You can record off the TV but ONLY the translated signal; there is no way to watch one channel and record another, and I bet that breaks Adelphia's heart. Now it may be that I am unduly harsh here, and the problem is mine. the box was wired up by the Cable Guy and my installation of the new VCR was identical to his; I'll now take it all apart so I can return the new unit since my old one would do anything this one will do. And I'll wait. Eventually someone will sell a VCR that will let me record without the TV being on, or record one channel while watching another. Eventually. Or, perhaps, I'll learn it was all my fault for not understanding it, but I don't think so. Incidentally, I can't get the DVD player to work with this setup either. How wonderful. They have it feeding into the VCR with RCA connectors, but that doesn't ever get to the TV set. I hate consumer electronics. Back to my AAAS report including Nano-Technology. There are a few more addresses on badmail, and I have corrected about a dozen sent to me. To repeat a notice: Notice to Subscribers: IF YOU DID NOT get a test mailing recently, PLEASE CHECK BADMAIL page. I have received a surprising number of rejections to this test mailing, some from people with whom I have had recent correspondence. If you're on that badmail page, it is from this recent test mailing, and there is something wrong here. In some cases I may have two addresses, one original and one from a renewal, in which case please tell me which one I can DELETE. I really would like to make this list current... Thanks!
I see my squirrel and the birds are fighting over the bird seed. It's raining and they have to share. I suppose they will manage... OK it is clear: Good Guys steered me wrong. The VCR box they sold me does NOT decode digital signal meaning that the Motorola Cable Box has to decode it and does one and only one channel at a time, meaning that it is impossible to record from one channel while listening to another. So I will take this thing back. Eventually there will be a new generation of VCR but not this one. The one I used to have will do what the new one will do so I will put that one back in the stream. I still do not know how to make the DVD player work but I will not for the moment worry about it since I generally watch DVD's on a computer monitor screen anyway. But the bottom line is that if you go digital cable, you have given up the ability to record anything you are not watching. Period. And that condition will remain until there are "digital ready" TV's and VCR's, and they do NOT HAVE THOSE AT GOOD GUYS, despite their telling me they did. I will take this one back: stay tuned for results on that. As to Morse I have ordered the Last Episode from Amazon. Now back to work on the AAAS report which is already about 2500 words long. This will be for www.BYTE.com and I will then do another on nanotechnology which will go first to subscribers. There is more gold in that mine after those two, and we will see what I do with it. This was a pretty rich session this year. And of course Internet World is coming up fast. No rest for the wicked... I have learned a lot about DVD, Digital signal cable, and such like. See next week's mail and view.
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