FREE TRADE
A general Discussion.
From Steve Stirling:
During the 1980's, the US effectively decided
(despite some rhetoric to the contrary) to let the chips fall where they
might in economic terms, regardless of the consequences to individuals,
families or communities.
Market forces were let rip; and many people and
communities suffered heavily. If you were a 45-year-old steelworker, it
was not the best of times. "Sorry, nothing personal, there just isn't
any role for you in the new global economy. Here's a pink slip; go drink
yourself to death." As the saying went, it was no longer the strong
who ate the weak; it was the fast who ate the slow. If you had roots, you
were a plant to be harvested.
On the other hand, the current enviable state of the
US economy -- where companies are so short of people that some are
frantically sending recruiters into welfare centers and prison halfway
houses -- is due to precisely that ruthlessness. America let creative
destruction rule; the contrast with, say, France is vivid. The French find
themselves either trying to sweep back the ocean with a broom -- thinking
they can create jobs by legislating a shorter work-week -- or playing
whining, reluctant, painful catch-up.
Add to this that the Cold War obscured certain
facts.
First, that capitalism is a revolutionary form of
economic organization; the only revolutionary form. It's the thing that
the alchemists sought in vain, the Universal Solvent that cannot be
contained.
Look at Eastern Europe as it emerged from Communism
-- what was the overwhelming impression? That it was so old fashioned,
both physically and in terms of ideas. Cloth-capped proletarians, grimy
mill-towns, countries where books and intellectuals were still taken
seriously and there were mass audiences for ballet. Not to mention the
role of the Catholic Church in Poland... and the Church there has found,
to its dismay, that hedonism and materialism are much harder to fight than
Communism.
Communism was a set of competing ideas. Materialism
doesn't fight religion; it just oozes around it and then dissolves it like
a bath of warm acidic jell-o. It doesn't disprove the competing axioms.
Instead, it just makes them irrelevant to the substance of people's lives.
Second, that the market has an inherent tendency to
colonize the rest of society -- substituting the rationality of
cost-benefit and rate-of-return for all other methods of human
interaction. Commodification, to use a horrible neologism.
In the short run, there are pauses and
stopping-places; the Victorian morality that Gertrude Himmelfarb is fond
of represented one, with a competitive market economy outside the
household and a patriarchal hierarchy inside it.
But that's like the guy who jumps off the World
Trade Center and says "all right so far" as he falls past the
36th floor.
Possessive individualism will always seep through
and over and around any cultural barrier set up to stop it; and the market
will always intrude into new institutions or crannies or crevices. It's
one of those "If A, then B; consequently, C" situations. The
structure of the Victorian family, for example, dissolves as the servants
go elsewhere, the women stop being dependent, and the paterfamilias finds
himself just one more individual facing others in a constant bargain.
And as recent events in Asia show -- where
"enduring Asian values" turned out to be merely "temporary
pre-industrial customs" -- there's essentially only one way to do
modernity. The exchange brokers turn out to be stronger than the
governments; if you try to use force on them, they don't fight... they
just shrug, hit a key, and take their toys elsewhere. Meanwhile your
currency collapses, and eventually you end up as North Korea, useful as a
horrible example.
You can have any national policy you like, as long
as they like it. The Prime Minister of Malaysia is still in denial, unable
to come to terms with the fact that he wasn't the strong, sovereign power
he thought, but instead merely the hired debt-collector of the World Bank
and the garden-boy of the bond traders.
Technological change is part of the same process,
and magnifies it, of course.
Take this Web we're using. What does it do? It
reshapes the world towards the ideal of the Market; a frictionless
surface, where identical interchangeable units of capital and labor
interact according to universal laws.
It abolishes locality -- it makes everywhere a
suburb of everywhere else. It replaces actual physical communities with
"communities" made up of anonymous individuals associating
solely through individual choice, individuals who can move anywhere they
want at the speed of light.
Someone may be sitting in a small Mormon town in
Utah, but with the Internet, they're culturally in the Big City. They need
no longer rely on interacting with their neighbors; their neighbors can no
longer control the terms of interaction with the wider world. Their
neighbors can't even know if they just downloaded "Vampire Lesbians
of Sodom", much less control it. The ability to be invisible that was
traditionally associated with life in places like New York is now
available to anyone.
Traditional community and local culture requires
control, the ability to discipline members and restrict their choices; it
operates on the assumption that people are physically stuck somewhere.
Increasingly, this is not so.
And increasingly, the anonymity and anywhere-ness is
moving into the physical realm as well. Already you need never set foot in
a local bookstore. Soon you won't even have to buy your groceries locally.
Anywhere will be everywhere with a vengeance.
Look at the way e-commerce and shopping agents are
moving business towards the hitherto unobtainable model of pure
competition, for example.
Where will it all end? Nobody knows, of course. It
will make for interesting times.
Yours, Steve Stirling
I can't find anything to disagree
with, and there are aspects to all this new society that I like; but permit
me to worry a bit about unintended consequences. I am not certain that the
purpose of life is to make and consume more and cheaper goods, or that a
social order organized that way can survive. Schumpeter had the same doubts,
of course.
When I am a little less under the
weather I will try to argue this more rationally.
-- I don't think the question is whether such a
social order is desireable in the abstract, but whether any alternative is
possible. That is to say, can any alternative setup stand the test of
economic and ideological competition?
That's a moot point, of course, since none of us can
predict the future, but my guess would be "no", going by the
recent evidence.
Generally speaking, people will chose ease over
effort, goods over lack of goods, and pleasure over pain; not to mention
anything that flatters their vanity over anything that challenges it. Not
everyone, of course, but most.
This market principle increasingly applies to ideas
as well as to goods. More "rigorous" ideologies can't compete in
the free marketplace -- to take an example within religious circles, look
at the virtual collapse of predestinarian Calvinism within the
Baptist-evangelical churches in this century. Virtually all of them have a
thoroughly optimistic Arminian theology now, and all the churches of the
West either have moved or are moving in that direction.
Getting back to the secular field, we see the
worldwide triumph of the "American" ideology -- individualism,
consumerism, hedonism. People want to consume; and they want to feel
comfortable about doing so.
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