Chaos Manor Home Page > View Home Page > Current Mail Page > Chaos Manor Reviews Home Page THE VIEW FROM CHAOS MANOR View 678 June 6 - 12, 2011 |
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This week: | Monday,
6th of June, 2011 D-DAY This the anniversary of the most complicated single event in the history of the world. Allied forces opened the Second Front by invading Europe rather than negotiating a peace with Germany to leave the Nazi's and the USSR to fight it out. There followed the Cold War (or the resumption of the Seventy Years War after the temporary lull after Hitler invaded the USSR). Roosevelt chose victory at any cost, and most would agree that was the correct course despite the concessions given to the USSR. In any event the Sixth of June was an amazing day. Today's LA Times has a column by Michael Hiltzik entitled "A moral approach to curing Medicare." It is revealing. The second page continuation is entitled in bold letters "No need to stick elderly with Medicare costs," which pretty well summarized the moral position: it is not moral to stick the elderly with the costs of their own health care.
It is everywhere assumed that people do not have the responsibility to pay their own health care expenses. John Adams said that in America we consider each man to be the best judge of his own interest. That is explicitly denied in this view. While there is no discussion of the limits of public liability for individual health care, it appears to be limitless: that is, if anyone can afford a procedure, then everyone should have it: but we can temper that with advisory boards whose recommendations can be voted up or down by Congress. Since it is impossible for the general treasury to pay limitless medical bills, that would appear to be rationing. If the level of public liability is kept low enough, and individuals are allowed to buy their own health care after Medicare runs out, then the Obama plan would work, in that after the Independent Board recommended care payments have been exceeded, individuals are on their own and responsible for their own expenses. Of course in the real world it doesn't work quite that way, so long as the emergency rooms are required to take in anyone who shows up, but perhaps that's another story. We already have a form of that in Medicare with enrollees permitted to buy additional insurances (such as optics and dentistry); add to that policies that don't begin to pay until all Medicare is exhausted, and you begin to approach a system that combines individual responsibility with a safety net. Tweak that to increase co-payments for stuff covered by Medicare and you begin to "stick" the health care consumer with some of the costs, giving the consumer an incentive to save some of that money. A safety net with individual responsibilities seems like the goal we ought to be seeking. The real moral question is, who is obligated to pay for medical expenses, and how did they acquire that obligation? I am very grateful that I didn't have to pauperize myself to pay for my radiation therapy. I will point out that for many years I paid my full HMO dues to Kaiser, and only went on public assistance (Medicare Advantage) when I turned 65: on that day my dues went from about $400 a month to $1500 a month; or I could let others pay for me. The reason for the increase wasn't that I acquired a dread disease on my birthday or anything like that: it was that the government essentially reduced the pool to zero by offering Medicare. Obviously it works. I am one of those people who is quite happy with his health care coverage, and if there were some way to clone Kaiser and offer that service to everyone in the nation, I'd probably be enthusiastic (although I expect there would be issues of freedom and compulsion, opt in and opt out questions, and other such things: the details are never so simple as you like). I would also fear that greatly because any attempt to greatly expand or even duplicate a complex working organization is fraught with peril. But that's another discussion. As I said: the real moral question is, why are you obligated to pay for my medical expenses, and do I have any obligations to pay for some of them myself? And how are these obligations to be apportioned? But those moral questions don't seem often to be discussed. Or even at all. I recommend Michael Hiltzik's column, not because I agree with it, but as an explication of the liberal view. As to why I say the liberal view
He does raise issues that need discussing. He also tells us what the NY election was about, and what future elections will be about. The moral issue is who is obligated to pay; but it will be debated in terms of sticking the elderly with Medicare costs. ============== Weiner, the Man Who Would Be Mayor, has confessed to sending photographs of him in his underwear to girls he met in game station chat room. He will not resign. He says he never had any physical contact with any of the girls. His initial response to the charge that he sent inappropriate pictures to young women was to deny it, explaining that his site had been hacked. He was adamant in this defense until other inappropriate pictures, spanning several years to before he was married, began to surface. At his press conference he admitted to making up the coverup stories. He will not resign. He is a leading liberal intellectual. He admitted to the activity of sending out underwear photographs to young women for years, but slowed down that activity after he married a former Hillary Clinton campaign worker. My imagination is stirred to wicked daydreams of House sessions, "The Chair recognizes Mr. (long pause) Weiner"... ============= This went up on Mail last night, but it continues to amaze me...
Words fail me. ============ Borrow the money to save Greece from whom?
http://cnsnews.com/news/article/
Gulp. Stagflation, anyone? ============
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This week: | Tuesday,
June 7, 2011
It's dawn and I'm dressed and off to the LA Athletic Club for a technology breakfast hosted by the Canadian Consulate. After that it's E3. I seem to be back on the technology circuit courtesy of BYTE. More tonight. ========== 2145: Home, exhausted. I'll write things up for BYTE and Chaos Manor Reviews. I can remember when I used to spend a day at shows and file 4500 words that night, but that doesn't seem to happen any longer. E3 is huge, exhausting, and mostly about games, not technology, although there are developments that have technology implications. More in the report. The Weiner implosion continues. I don't think he has violated any actual House rules. He has the safest seat (for Democrats) in the East, so unless someone runs against him in a Democratic primary he will continue to be elected -- he has the seat for life, and it's his career, and probably the only thing he knows how to do. He clearly has no feeling that what he did was anything more than unpleasant, so he won't resign unless forced to, Perhaps Bill Clinton will tell him he was unethical? Anyway, we'll see: he won't leave unless forced to do so by Democratic Party bigwigs. I'd hoped to get some mail up tonight, but I am not really up to making intelligent comments without a bit of sleep. Good Night. But first some news:
Dropped calls, some static: but we're due for a Big One.
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This week: |
Wednesday,
June 8, 2009
Not really surprising. I know what I was able to do with stuff I could accumulate on a Tennessee farm during World War II, and what I could make with it. Is the next step Vril for everyone? ============== The burning question of the week: is sending pictures of one's private parts over the Internet a disqualification for holding public office? Or will it perhaps one day be a requirement? After all, in these enlightened times, much that was forbidden becomes compulsory. But is this not a matter of freedom? Doesn't a Member of Congress have the right to send pictures of his Member to people he has never met? The age of enlightenment. ========
An Astute observation. Martha Stewart went to jail for denying in an unsworn statement to a Federal investigator that she did something that was in fact legal to do. Member of Congress Anthony Weiner lied to everyone in the country. That is clearly something worth contemplating. I don't agree with the Stewart case: I think that so long as one is not under oath, one may legally lie about darned near anything, particularly to police and investigators; if they want you to swear to the truth of a statement, let them take it down in writing and get you to sign it. I still think that. But if the Stewart case is a precedent, then perhaps it does have implications for those holding public offices. Including the investigators... ============== I got this in mail yesterday. It's shocking:
Do we really want to spend Federal money on this sort of thing? Even if there is some fraud involved (and I have seen no evidence that there is)? Who is here so base as would be a bondsman? But in fact much of the next generation is in bondage. The entire middle class is being converted to bondsmen. You see above what happens from that. Salve, Sclave =============== Holey Moley! Vincent Bugliosi has, after 2,000 years, discovered that Christianity is clearly refuted by the Bible, and it's all simple and obvious and unambiguous, and how did all those stupid people miss it for all these thousands of years? Incidentally much of his proof seems to be taken from some of Asimov's dicta (but I have heard no credit given to Isaac, who wasn't himself all that original). It is astonishing how many people seem to think they are the first to have thought of something that has been debated for millennia. Ah well. He expects to sell a lot of books.
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This week: |
Thursday,
June 9, 2011 We are off for a couple of days to San Diego where I will either have to go to an Internet cafe or put up with dialup, so do not expect much. I am working on a couple of essays, and some observations about E3. ======== I note that the evening news is filled with dire warnings about the coming climate crashes, spiked with horror stories about fires and the heat wave. I remind you that on average the Earth didn't warm up this year: it was a cold winter. I also remind you that we don't really have measuring techniques to measure Earth temperatures to any tenth of a degree. And having said all that, the weather has been a bit bizarre: whether the additional CO2 has much to do with it is yet to be proved. And the recession is not over (indeed given population growth and other trends it's easier to argue that this is depression), the Green Jobs aren't materializing, and the only way to economic recovery and new prosperity is to lower energy costs and cut way back on regulations: we need a new German Economic Miracle. In the United States. Can that happen? Yes, if the government would let it happen. Note that the ruling class is not bad off. The unionized public workers are doing well and paying their tribute to the politicos who keep them in their aristocratic positions. Stories of government actions that -- well, that we could do without given the deficits, and we might be better off without even if we were still rich -- abound, but no departments are eliminated, We can take that chance that pauperizing ourselves in the Name of Green will be sustainable; but one suspects that such can't go on forever. It is not sustainable: and when that collapses the results are unpredictable. This is a long depression: some people have been out of work for longer than in the Great Depression, and unemployment continues, with many having given up. Entitlements are up so taxes can't be cut much and the deficits will continue to grow. And President Obama has given some kind of pledge to Greece, where they retire at age 55 and riot if their pensions are cut. Where will we get the money to help bail out Greece? And where did we get the obligation? ========== And on that subject, contemplate this
============= I am told that the story about the Department of Education SWAT Team raid in Stockton is no longer to be seen. I can only say that I saw the story, and the link was live yesterday. I have not heard anything about it on local radio, and I would have thought there should be something. I haven't time to chase this further. It was a live link. I saw the story. Don't know anything else. Apparently DOE asked the local cops to act in a case of suspected loan fraud. As to why they used a 6 AM breakin no one quite knows. ============ 1630: We're down at the beach in San Diego or Sandigeo if you've read The Burning City and Burning Tower, and if you haven't, why haven't you? They're pretty good books. Alas we are on dialup here, which means that I can't just stick in links because I am not connected to the Internet. That also means that I will have to answer mail without being connected, and I am discovering just how hard that is to do. Most mail is linked to something. I am beginning to wonder how we ever existed without constant and high speed internet connections. I know I must have, but it's hard to remember. Fortunately I brought some books to review, and an iPhone that connects (slowly) to the Internet and lets me Google stuff like "education swat" to discover that the Department of Education is vociferously denying that the pre-dawn search by SWAT teams executing a Department of Education warrant was not for an overdue student loan. They won't say what it was for, according to the source I found. Doubtless I will have mail with better information. And doubtless it is useless for me to speculate on this subject until I am connected again. I said back in the 1980's that by the year 2000 everyone in the Free World would be able to get the answer to any question. I didn't specify how quickly: I was basing that mostly on my ARPANET connection experience in which there were several thousand eager experts networked and one of them would be sure to know who to ask if it were something they didn't know. I thought of that but much faster. Of course I didn't really forsee the Internet but I did point out that this was likely the end of communism as we knew it, taking as my reasoning that the free exchange of ideas within a society would be enough to bring down totalitarian thinking. But now that we have it, and I know I can get answers in hours, it's not good enough! I want them in minutes, and preferably seconds. And here I am at 56000 bps or whatever the modem speed of a Thinkpad internal modem is connected to Earthlink. It's a sobering experience, I tell you... Of course I won't be able to send this until I do a bunch of other stuff and reconnect the modem. ==========
It took a while to download, but what I read is: It turns out those were FEDERAL troops who broke in the door over some kind of Department of Education warrant for his estranged wife. He has committed no crime and has not record. A knock on the door would have worked, but in these times, that is not enough. So the broke in his door, handcuffed him in his underwear, kept him confined for hours; and of course they will plead immunity from law suits. This squad is clearly superfluous. We can't afford those people, and we would be better off without them. There ought to be a prohibition against paying anyone in that department written as an earmark into the next appropriation bill. It needs to be worded properly so it is not a Bill of Attainder, but perhaps they can eliminate a lot of people -- those who think that's the right way to serve a warrant. I see no reason for the Department of Education Office of the Inspector General to have any armed police to begin with. Why in the world do they need their own cops? This is mission creep with a vengeance. A good outfit to eliminate: the entire Office of the Inspector General. A new one can be hired if it turns out it's needed. But sending in the Educrats to arrest people? Ye gods. ================ 2315: I just discovered that Outlook will not send mail through my primary account so all the mail I thought I answered piled up in my outbox. Apparently my primary ISP doesn't accept email through dialup, probably because I have got a port number wrong or something. It will straighten out and no great harm done. Good night...
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This week: |
Friday,
June 10, 2011 Well, I discovered something I should have known, which is that I can force Outlook to send mail through my EarthLink account. Of course the mail gets to the recipient with my EarthLink return address, and that essentially assures that any 'reply' to that will go into the spam bucket. I get mail at my primary account and the spam killers let a lot more get past to be dealt with by my rules; with mail to my EarthLink address, I use the EarthLink spam filter so much of it never gets sent to me at all. That's as well: between midnight and 8 AM last night, 19 megabytes of mail got sent to me. Much of it is press releases and the like, which I do not want to filter out automatically as spam, and at high speed Internet connections it hardly matters; but it sure took a long time to get through at dialup speeds. Ah well. Thanks to all who wrote me about this.
Which is the proper remedy for those who frequently go places without good high speed Internet access. Even 1 mbps would be an enormous improvement over dialup, and with that my 20 mb of spam and press releases would be over and done with in less than a minute. I'll look into it. I know my son Richard uses something of the sort with his MacBook Air and it works fine for him. Which is enough complaining about dialup. I knew it would not be fun. I was a bit surprised at just how dependent I have become on high speed Internet and how routinely I use it to substitute for unreliable memory. I foresaw that this would change the way we think and do business way back before it happened -- in The Mote in God's Eye the pocket computers have changed a number of habits -- but it's still a bit of a surprise when I go back to the days before we were instantly connected. ================= I wonder how many need to be reminded that the next Presidential Election is in November of 2012, not this Fall? I say this because apparently the general feeling is that if you're not already running full time for President, you're out of the race, which is why Newt Gingrich's staff resigned: Newt wanted to be a part time candidate for the summer. I don't know how reliable that report is. A long time ago I was involved in political campaigns, having been a Republican County Chairman during a presidential campaign, a strategy advisor during a campaign for California governor, and such like. I managed political campaigns for Mayor of LA and Congressman from North Hollywood (Barry Goldwater, Jr.). We won both of those. It's a lot of stress. It's almost impossible to understand the intensity and pressures in political campaigns unless you've been in them: but they mostly don't last a year and more! Now they're saying that Presidential candidates have to be full time for a year and a half. Of course being President carries even more stress. Reagan managed that, but it took its toll. The problem with democracy is that the qualities required to get the top job are generally not those required to do it. Sometimes this works splendidly, as with Reagan. And in the past it wasn't so certain: General Eisenhower learned how to manage coalitions and play political games as well as manage complex events. And sometimes it doesn't work so well. It's our system and we're stuck with it. ============
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This week: | Saturday,
June 11, 2011 We're in San Diego for the weekend. Back home Monday.
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This week: | Sunday,
June 12, 2011 .We're in San Diego for the weekend. Back home Monday.
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