Judgment Days 681/2011-06-28-1

View Week 681 Tuesday, June 28, 2011

Yesterday was Supreme Court Monday, and we heard the wisdom from on high in Washington. We also heard from the International Criminal Court in The Hague, which issued warrants for the arrest and life imprisonment of Qaddaffi and his sons. Of course the life imprisonment could only come after a conviction, but given that the Court is a nightmare bureaucracy whose members are elected by another nightmare bureaucracy, anyone who falls into its hands is unlikely ever to emerge again.

The United States signed the conventions creating this Kafkaesque institution, but later withdrew, as did Israel, so it is possible that the US might yet be able to arrange transport to exile for the Libyan dictator and his family if that ever becomes preferable to spending millions a week breaking things and killing people in an attempt to protect the people of Libya from Qadaffi’s minions who are said to be breaking things and killing people. Note that while the US no longer recognizes any obligations to the Court, the Libya case was referred to the Court for investigation by an act of the UN Security Council. Presumably the US had a veto which was not exercised. Curiouser and curiouser.

Of course all depends on one’s objectives. If the objective is to slow down and perhaps halt the various operations by all parties breaking things and killing people in Libya, the cheapest and possibly the quickest way would be to use silver bullets. Khadaffi must be discouraged by now, and is probably willing to discuss giving up, provided that he gets to retire and stay rich and that his kids get the same deal. How rich is a matter for negotiations: his notion of rich is probably a lot higher than ours. Still, one can see how this might be negotiated.

If the objective is justice for the Libyan people – who, after all, would probably riot if Gaddafi were to get out of this alive, rich, and safe – then it’s another matter. Justice for dictators and tyrants seems to be agreed on: life imprisonment in a European style prison. There aren’t too many alternatives. There’s no death penalty, and after all, if you get convicted of being a ruthless tyrant and you can’t be taken out in the yard and shot, then what’s left? Besides, International Prison Guards have to eat, too. So there’s some pressure on to snag Qadafi and his boys and drag them off to wherever it is that tax money – inevitably a lot of it American tax money – has paid built to be the 21st Century equivalent of Spandau. Spandau was where we kept the Nazi war criminals that we didn’t hang, and in a fit of absence of mind we tore it down in 1987 after its last – and for more than a decade only – prisoner, Rudolf Hess, died. Still, we can study the Spandau example for hints on how to operate a new International prison system. There are hundreds of pages of regulations, with more added weekly after the prison population got down to seven, and some were added during the decades when Hess was the only prisoner. We can learn from a document like that. I presume that it was destroyed but only after three copies were made and filed.

Of course if the objective is simply to get the Libyan War over with, another possibility would be to hand the problem over to the Seals, Delta Force, and their British equivalents SAS and SBS. Give them a budget and instructions (such as ‘make him dead, and be ready to swear blind that you had no part in doing it’), and be ready to hold a press conference in a few weeks. Don’t add the Agency to the mix unless you’re prepared to wait a while.

Meanwhile, the Supreme Court has upheld Free Speech by decreeing that California can’t stop the sales of Grand Theft Auto and other games that allow teenagers to steal cars, kill police, and generally wreak virtual mayhem on a bunch of electrons. The Justices lined up in improbable mixes on this one, and Justices Thomas and Breyer dissented entirely. I have only third hand accounts of who said what about which, but I do wonder what if anything was said about the right of the States to impose some – any – cultural standards. I would have thought that preservation of existing culture was sort of the purpose of a State, and that this was the one thing the States didn’t think they were giving up when they formed the Union. Now we explicitly rejected one culture, slavery, with the 13th Amendment, and in the 14th gave Congress the authority to enforce laws and regulations to wipe out some other cultural institutions; but the notion that the States have the right to exist and to preserve their own essences was never given over so far as I know. I don’t see why California can’t forbid the sales of Grant Theft Auto or whatever other video game the legislature, in its great wisdom, chooses to censor; just as Arizona should be free to make playing the game compulsory in the public schools. But that’s another story for another time.

And finally, as noted in the Wall Street Journal’s editorial “Another Political Speech Victory”, the court continues to hack away at the campaign finance “reform” laws which mostly have the effect of protecting incumbents.

Mail June 27 -2

SUBJ: Should We Expect Moties?

 

http://apod.nasa.gov/apod/ap110626.html

 

Cecil Rose

 

 

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The Great Daylight Fireball of 1972.

 

<http://i.imgur.com/qsNwG.jpg>

 

<http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Great_Daylight_1972_Fireball>

 

Roland Dobbins

It is my understanding that events of this magnitude take place fairly often, several a year, but are seldom observed. They take place at high altitude and over water and there’s no one there to see them. Like the tree falling in the forest…

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Earth’s temperature.

 

 

Interesting article and comments:

 

http://wattsupwiththat.com/2011/01/02/
do-solar-scientists-still-think-that-
recent-warming-is-too-large-to-explain-by-solar-activity/

 

I can’t help thinking that it may get cold around here …

 

Love the new format.

 

Andrew McCann.

 

I continue to insist that I just don’t know. I know something about temperature measurements, and models, and combining multiple observations, but I have no idea how to combine all the various temperature measurements to get an average temperature of the Earth, and I do know that what we see in most “annual averages” is a slow steady rise since 1800, which squares with almanacs and general observations. I keep looking for a good introduction to temperature measurement and averaging models, but I haven’t found one I can recommend.

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Elderly woman asked to remove adult diaper during TSA search

 

http://www.newsherald.com/news/mother-94767-search-adult.html

 

    A woman has filed a complaint with federal authorities over how her elderly mother was treated at Northwest Florida Regional Airport last weekend.

    Jean Weber of Destin filed a complaint with the Department of Homeland Security after her 95-year-old mother was detained and extensively searched last Saturday while trying to board a plane to fly to Michigan to be with family members during the final stages of her battle with leukemia.

    Her mother, who was in a wheelchair, was asked to remove an adult diaper in order to complete a pat-down search.

 

I know I feel a lot safer now.

 

John

 

Think of the courage required to Do One’s Duty Despite Harassment, and thus to Serve and Protect and Guard Men from Harm. We can only sit in admiration with folded hands…

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On people videotaping police

 

http://www.theagitator.com/2011/06/24/
petty-thuggishness-in-rochester/

 

Dear Dr. Pournelle:

 

Radley Balko is a journalist who’s been covering this sort of thing for awhile now. Given your recent interest I thought I’d send you a link to his website. I hope you feel better soon.

 

Regards,

Tim Scott=

 

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‘Apart from appreciation and investment, it might be an alien concept for laymen outside the Chinese system that one of the most essential functions of art works is corruption.’

 

<http://www.opendemocracy.net/openeconomy/
antony-ou/chinese-art-of-elegant-bribery
>

 

Roland Dobbins

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The Lordkin and the Burning City.

 

Jerry,

 

This article is astonishing.

 

http://webcache.googleusercontent.com/
search?q=cache:lHzJ2PFQcMEJ:peo
riachronicle.com/+http://peoriachronicle
.com/&cd=1&hl=en&ct=clnk&gl=us&
source=www.google.com

 

The lack of response by police is even more reprehensible than the aggression of the mob.

 

KelTec has introduced a new bullpup design, pump action, 12 gauge shotgun with twin magazine tubes that you can select from. Imagine being able to switch from slugs to double ought buck at the flick of a lever. I’m going to get me one of these. It will be a great companion for my HK-91, Dessert Eagle .50, and Barrett 0.50. I think it is getting time to clean out the hippodrome again.

 

Jim Crawford

It may come to that, but I am not eager for it. Long ago I noted that many in the survival movement could hardly wait for the collapse of civilization. I kept pointing out that the goal was to keep it; that it was all very well to be ready for a collapse, and to have the organization and training and abilities to survive that collapse, but the best way to survive a nuclear war is not to have one; I chose to work on Assured Survival as a national strategy, and ballistic missile defenses, even as my friend Mel Tappan established a base in Oregon. I do believe that civilized households ought to be armed; but I am not eager to have live action practice with survival guns.

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biowarfare

 

Dear Jerry,

 

The basic problem confronting germ warfare, chemical warfare and dirty nukes is dispersion. (Aha! a physics issue) It is very difficult to get wide dispersion, especially in cities, and it is probable that a terrorist attack in a large city would only affect a couple of blocks.

 

There is also the problem of control. The Dept of Defense was happy to get rid of biological and chemical weapons because experience had shown that their direction of spread could not be predicted.

 

Bioweapons, of course, have the potential for wider spread because of infection. But, a bioweapons manufacturer has a difficult virulence/infection problem. High-virulence microbes like Ebola do not spread very far because their victims do not live long enough to infect many people.

 

The best examples of “biowarfare” are the Black Death in Europe and the spread of Eurasian diseases in the New World. The Black Death killed about 30% of the European population it affected. Moreover, in the New World, although some people have claimed that 90% of the population died off, the true figure is probably less than 50% and might have been as low as 30%.

 

You remember that smallpox, a highly effective pathogen of world-wide spread, was in fact eliminated.

 

In short, bio-, chemi- and dirty nuclear weapons are greatly overrated as terrorist tools. Plenty of highly local destruction and terror, but not Katrina-level effects.

 

Yours,

 

Bob

I do not discuss technical details of biological warfare with some exceptions when speaking of preparedness; but I can tell you that a good high school biology class could in fact come up with a, if not Katrina, then 9-11 level event involving multiple outbreaks and claiming disproportionate casualties among First Responders and some emergency room workers. If I can work that out, then others can. It is not a trivial matter.

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View Week 681 June 27 2011 – 3

View Week 681 June 27, 2011 – 3]

 

I set up a bunch of mail only to be told that it will not publish. The problem seems to be related to very long links, but I am not sure. I don’t understand cascading style sheets but then I don’t think Word and WordPress have full understanding either. I will continue to grind on this. Some of that mail may be lost, and I apologize, but I have put in the whole day on this, and I’m running out of energy. The good news is that I did have the energy and the interest to grind on this all day.

Of course one solution is to start with a new document and publish each one for each mail. That will cut down on the amount of mail I can publish because the mechanical work of putting it up takes time.

Mail is important and getting it right is important. I’ll keep working on it. Thanks for your patience.

One problem is that the only message I get is that “this cannot be published.” I will try to learn more about why that has happened. It only happened once so maybe I was just unlucky. In any event this will all work out, and I did get a bunch of mail up. We’ll continue…

 

 

Mail Week 681 June 27, 2011

Mail June 27, 2011 – 1

 

New design

 

I like the new design layout… but is there any chance you could continue using the old parch5.jpg background image – seems like it’s been around long enough to be a tradition.

Chuck

 

It can be done, but the consensus around here is that it comes out weird colors depending on what you are looking at it with. I always saw it as parchment, but many saw an odd pink, and it changed from time to time. I like the grey for readability, and it’s probably time to give that a try. JEP

 

 

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None of the suggested formats come anywhere close to the standards set by Chaos Manor and Mail for the last 15 years. DO NOT use any of them as an example when setting up your new formats. Please come as close as possible to what you have been doing since I have been subscribing to Chaos Manor.

 

Chuck Anderson

 

Thanks for the kind words. We are trying. I really am trying to come as close as possible to what we have been doing, in part because I sure don’t want to learn something new. I do reserve the right to try various things, but I promise to get rid of them when they are ugly, as some probably will be. It’s an adventure game…

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The old format worked just fine for me, but I’m sure that I’ll get used to the new one and it will be fine too.

 

An unidentified reader provided the following:

 

“Instead, just post reader mail as it comes in along with your own comment – each in a separate post. I would think this would be simpler for you, too, by eliminating the compilation step.”

 

Please don’t do that. I know that many blogs allow reader comments to appear instantly. It is not necessarily a desirable ‘feature’. I like the idea that letters from your readers, mine or anyone else’s, appear because YOU read them and you, personally (It is YOUR blog, after all.), thought that they were worth passing along. If you feel that my letters, any or all, or those of your other readers that you choose not to publish, for WHATEVER reason, are better suited to the ash bin of history than to your blog, fine.

 

After all, I think that is what attracts many to your site: your personal involvement.

 

Also his suggestion that you comment on ALL of your reader mail seems mighty liberal with your time. Who was it that starved to death answering reader mail? We don’t need you as another example.

 

Anyway, thanks for your efforts.

 

Bob Ludwick

 

The only way to comment here is to send me mail. I get far more mail than I can publish. Some is quite good enough for publication, but it is part of a flood on the same subject. Some is flattering but doesn’t show any new perspectives. Some just doesn’t strike me as appealing to the readers. I select what I think is interesting, and the result is that I think this is one of the most interesting mail sections on the Web. We have a wide variety of readers with great perception and often great expertise.

While I try to read all the reader mail, I am sometimes a long way behind on that. I do have other things I have to get done. I wish I could comment on all the mail I select, but I often can’t. We does the best we can…

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Site Redesign

 

Jerry,

 

As a longtime reader, I can get along with everything I saw on the new page, except that the new page puts Saturday below Sunday. Personally, I can’t stand “blog order” – we read from the top down, and chronological order should run from the top down, not from the bottom up.

 

If the new software is not capable of placing the entries in logical order, the next best thing would be to recreate the “Monday – Tuesday – Wednesday” etc. links that were at the top of the old page, so readers could click a link and read Saturday first, then return to the top and click to read Sunday, instead of having to scroll futilely about the page to read in chronological order.

 

Best wishes for a speedy recovery.

 

Respectfully,

Tom Brendel

 

We’re looking at this but I am not sure what to do. The calendar over there on the right is live, and it will let you go to a particular day; that may be the best we can do. For the moment we’re going to stay with what we have, but that doesn’t me we can’t revise once we see just how this works. For the moment I’m trying to get used to using what I have. Thanks.

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re: contempt of cop

 

It may interest you and your readers to know that in IL it is a class 1 felony punishable by 4-15 years in prison and $25,000 to record a police officer in performance of his duties.

This is on par with rape.

 

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2011/06/08/chicago-district-attorney-recording-bad-cops_n_872921.html

http://www.heartland.org/full/29892/In_Illinois_Its_a_Felony_to_Film_Police.html

R

 

There is a trend in this direction. After the Rodney King incident it will not happen in Los Angeles; and I would think that the 14th Amendment give Congress ample power to defend the rights of citizens to monitor and report the actions of the local police. That is, after all, what Civil Rights is all about. Interesting that Illinois thinks that is not needed.

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Solar Windows

 

http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/c/a/2011/06/25/BUHP1K2FGD.DTL&type=tech

 

San Mateo based company.

 

The product reduces the amount of direct sunlight entering windows and converts it to electricity instead.

 

This product won the GE ecoimagination challenge.

 

John Harlow, President BravePoint

 

That appears to make sense. There is no point in wasting solar energy just to do that: the question is whether it is economical to try to make use of it. Thanks. Intruiging.

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Space Solar Power

 

Hello Jerry,

 

“I do know that when we did the Boeing study one of the tests was transmission of power through atmosphere using Goldstone as the transmitter to a rectenna; the efficiency of the operation, that is, the ratio of usable power out of the rectenna to the input power at Goldstone was about 90%.”

Actually, the recent spate of YouTube videos on the subject say that the rectenna produced an output of around 82.5% of the INCIDENT RF energy.

 

The Goldstone transmitter for the Venus tests produced around 450 kilowatts of rf. The the input power from the grid that was required to produce the rf was not reported. The best klystrons available today produce around 700 kw at an efficiency of 44% (current state of the art). The ones available in 1975 were considerably less efficient. Even granting 40% efficiency, the Goldstone transmitter tests required at least 1.2 megawatts of power from the grid to produce the 30 kilowatts from the rectenna.

 

Some (maybe most) of the newer proposals do away with the thousands of huge klystrons in orbit and replace them with large numbers of lower power solid state modules driving elements of a phased array. Here is a paper listing several alternatives (interestingly, the paper proceeds as if the down link were buildable).:

 

http://www.scribd.com/doc/54333065/2/History-of-Wireless-Power-Transmission

 

It includes information on the Goldstone tests, by the way.

 

One of the tables in the paper lists rudimentary specs for the downlink antenna. The number of transmit modules range from 97 million (NASA/DOE with 185 w/module) to 3.5 billion (Old JAXA proposal, with 1 w/module). The NASA/DOE proposal with a downlink at 2.45 GHz, a 1 km transmit antenna, and a 1 km receive rectenna is not believable; the ‘cold equations’ of aperture vs beamwidth don’t allow it. A 1 km diameter transmit antenna @ 2.45 GHz WILL NOT produce a 1 km diameter beam at a distance of 22,500 miles.

 

All of this sort of begs the issue: Antennas are not infinitely scalable, any more than are telescopes. At least not buildable ones. It is a little like using the specs for Hubble (8′ diameter, resolution .05 arc seconds) as ‘proof of principle’ for a telescope with a diameter of 50 million feet so that we could resolve 1 mile surface features on planets orbiting Alpha Centauri. In theory, that would work; in practice, we aren’t building a 50 million ft diameter telescope any time soon. Neither are we building, stabilizing, and maintaining a geosynchronous phased array antenna a couple of kilometers in diameter with a billion (more or less) driven elements any time soon.

 

Bob Ludwick

 

Thank you. I haven’t looked at the data in decades. I can only say that a team of us, all experienced, with a span of expertise we thought more than adequate, concluded after a lot of hard work that SSPS was economical once the capital costs – considerable capital costs – were paid. General Graham had a similar experience with his team of High Frontier staff and volunteers. So did Lawrence Livermore. I think that conclusion is still viable. Space Solar power isn’t easy – that’s one thing we have learned about space and with a vengeance, nothing is easy – but not easy doesn’t have to mean physically or economically impossible. I do not believe the dream is dead.

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Benign incompetence or competent malevolence

 

Hello Jerry,

 

“One may draw any conclusion one likes.”

 

True, but the sign being waved by the SEIU half of the Obama/SEIU mutual admiration society, combined by the observed behavior of the Obamunist half over the last two and a half years, should surely influence one’s conclusion a bit, I would think.

 

I suppose that the conclusion would also depend upon whether one thinks that stamping out a capitalist representative republic and replacing it with a socialist/Marxist/communist/fascist tyranny is benign or malevolent. (I know, socialism/Marxism et al are not identical, but one or more of them would be appropriate descriptions of ALL of the Obamunist actions since they took command–literally–of our country.)

 

Bob Ludwick

 

One does not need to impute malice to the normal operations of the Iron Law.

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