Rants, FEMA, great pictures, and lots more

Mail 696 Wednesday, October 12, 2011

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Best. Rant. Ever.

Jerry

Below is the best rant ever. A 13-year veteran of Amazon and Google tells his Google colleagues what they “don’t get” in a long, extremely well-written rant. The grammar is even correct:

https://plus.google.com/112678702228711889851/posts/eVeouesvaVX

A central section:

“So one day Jeff Bezos issued a mandate. He’s doing that all the time, of course, and people scramble like ants being pounded with a rubber mallet whenever it happens. But on one occasion — back around 2002 I think, plus or minus a year — he issued a mandate that was so out there, so huge and eye-bulgingly ponderous, that it made all of his other mandates look like unsolicited peer bonuses.

“His Big Mandate went something along these lines:

“1) All teams will henceforth expose their data and functionality through service interfaces.

“2) Teams must communicate with each other through these interfaces.

“3) There will be no other form of interprocess communication allowed: no direct linking, no direct reads of another team’s data store, no shared-memory model, no back-doors whatsoever. The only communication allowed is via service interface calls over the network.

“4) It doesn’t matter what technology they use. HTTP, Corba, Pubsub, custom protocols — doesn’t matter. Bezos doesn’t care.

“5) All service interfaces, without exception, must be designed from the ground up to be externalizable. That is to say, the team must plan and design to be able to expose the interface to developers in the outside world. No exceptions.

“6) Anyone who doesn’t do this will be fired.

“7) Thank you; have a nice day!

“Ha, ha! You 150-odd ex-Amazon folks here will of course realize immediately that #7 was a little joke I threw in, because Bezos most definitely does not give a shit about your day.

“#6, however, was quite real, so people went to work. Bezos assigned a couple of Chief Bulldogs to oversee the effort and ensure forward progress, headed up by Uber-Chief Bear Bulldog Rick Dalzell. Rick is an ex-Army Ranger, West Point Academy graduate, ex-boxer, ex-Chief Torturer slash CIO at Wal*Mart, and is a big genial scary man who used the word "hardened interface" a lot. Rick was a walking, talking hardened interface himself, so needless to say, everyone made LOTS of forward progress and made sure Rick knew about it.

“Over the next couple of years, Amazon transformed internally into a service-oriented architecture. They learned a tremendous amount while effecting this transformation. There was lots of existing documentation and lore about SOAs, but at Amazon’s vast scale it was about as useful as telling Indiana Jones to look both ways before crossing the street. Amazon’s dev staff made a lot of discoveries along the way. A teeny tiny sampling of these discoveries included:”

A very interesting rant indeed. I found it at The Reg, here: http://www.theregister.co.uk/2011/10/13/google_does_not_get_platforms/

Ed

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Where did it go?

Hello Jerry,

"For a start they want the bailout money back. It didn’t go to them. To whom did it go? There was a lot of money floating out there –"

Interesting question; I’m surprised that NONE of the ‘mainstream media’ have asked it.

Not!

Example: Solyndra (Obama’s friends and supporters) got a half billion dollars to set up a solar power plant, create a bunch of jobs, and save the planet from the dreaded ‘Climate Change’.

A year or so later, Solyndra is bankrupt, there hasn’t been a watt of solar power delivered to the grid, the former Solyndra employees are again unemployed (but their 2 year unemployment clock has been reset), and the climate is, reportedly, still changing. The half billion has evaporated and not only does the collective media not know where it went, they, along with the Obamunists that they front for, are singularly uninterested in finding out.

Solyndra is not unique. In fact, the moral equivalents of Solyndra are downright common, to the cumulative tune of a couple of trillion dollars. And, on the evidence, the term ‘audit’, at least as it applies to tracking and documenting government expenditures, is so rare that it is scarcely worth including in a dictionary. After all, if we are unconcerned with the whereabouts of penny that escapes our pocket in the parking lot, why should we be all atwitter over the fate of 2e14 of them?

Bob Ludwick=

As I have said, were I the right age I might be tempted to join a protest group. Boring from the inside, so to speak. Of course many of those sitting about are useless, but there are some misguided idealists who might yet be saved. They know something is wrong, they thought they’d get a real change, and here we are with the same old ruling class. No open society. All back patting and favor exchanges. This was what they were waiting for? Ah well, we told them so…

From the "Unbiased media" department

The Big Three networks covered the ENRON story heavily. They are ignoring the Solyndra scandal and the cool half a billion dollars tax payers are losing on it. Naw – this can’t be. The media is not biased. They tell me they aren’t.

Reality Check: ABC, CBS and NBC Bury News of Taxpayer Money Squandered on Obama-Linked Solar Energy Company http://newsbusters.org/blogs/rich-noyes/2011/10/11/reality-check-abc-cbs-and-nbc-bury-news-taxpayer-money-squandered-obama-#ixzz1aVQjfGrl

Do YOU believe the media?

{^_^}

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World Depression Two and the Great Revolt

Dear Dr. Pournelle:

First note:

http://readersupportednews.org/news-section2/320-80/7814-focus-recession-officially-over

The "Great Recession" is officially over – for now at least. By definition, a recession is when certain economic indicators decline for a set period of time. That decline, in those (but not other) indicators is over for now; but recovery has yet to arrive.

By definition, a "depression" is the trough between a recession and a recovery. Since the recession is (officially) over, and the recovery is nowhere in sight, that means that the depression is (officially) on, as of now.

You may recall that, about eight decades ago, there was another depression, called the "Great Depression". It had been preceded by a war, at the time called the "Great War". However that conflict was followed by an even greater war, called "World War Two"; so the "Great War" was retroactively renamed "World War One".

Given this precedent, I propose that we retroactively relabel the "Great Depression" as "World Depression One"; so that we may call our present economic slump "World Depression Two".

World Depression 1 was ended by World War 2; but we cannot end World Depression 2 with a "World War 3", for that would not improve the economy or anything else. But perhaps, instead of a "World War 3", we will see a "Great Revolt". It has already started in the Arab world, and it may be spreading to Wall Street.

I mention this possibility, not as any fan of revolts – too risky – but as an even lesser fan of world wars.

Sincerely,

Nathaniel Hellerstein

Syndicalism. The Myth of the General Strike. Etc.

A Great Revolt will not be likely to solve anything: what usually happens is that there appears someone acceptable to the ruling class who is a friend of the people, and you get a temporary dictatorship to end the disorder. When the mob goes in search of bread it is joined by those who simply want to burn the bakeries. When enough people spend time demonstrating, you get a sea change. As Lara Logan discovered in Cairo. The people, in distress, seldom cast up any person or institution you would much care for. Simon Bolivar’s last observations included “He who seeks to plant democracy in my homeland plows the sea,” and his last words are said to have been “There have been three great fools in history. Jesus Christ, Don Quixote, and me.” It may well be that Julius Caesar would have reformed the dying Roman Republic; there is some evidence that once his debts were paid and his life was secure, he would in fact have restored many of the old institutions, and like his uncle Marius stood down. We’ll never know.

But a Great Revolt will not restore the Republic. And we have no George Washington that I can see.

Liberty, as a principle, has no application to any state of things anterior to the time when mankind have become capable of being improved by free and equal discussion. Until then there is nothing for them but implicit obedience to an Akbar or a Charlemagne, if they are so fortunate as to find one. But as soon as mankind has attained the capacity of being guided to their own improvement by conviction or persuasion (a period long since reached in all nations with whom we need here concern ourselves), compulsion, the direct form or in that of pains and penalties for noncompliance, is no longer admissible as a means to their own good, and justifiable only for the security of others. John Stuart Mill

The ancients understood that good government is a gift from the gods. James Burnham understood this and tried to warn us in Suicide of the West. Perhaps we will learn. Perhaps we will not.

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Fed governor defends CRA as not the seed problem of the housing bubble

http://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/duke20090224a.htm

I took the time to carefully read the damn thing. Institutional denial is understandable, but reading someone’s execution of that denial is a little unsettling.

Phil

Horrifying. Educational horror.

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Fugate FEMA

Craig Fugate might be trying to "manage down" the expectations of FEMA, but that’s not the same thing as encouraging meaningful disaster-preparation activity by local organizations.

Like you always say, the thing about the Dark Ages was not that we forgot how to do things, but that we forgot that certain things had ever *been* *done*.

Mike T. Powers

And we are definitely in a dark age. We do not know that once there were no illiterates who had been through more than five grades of school. Essentially none. I once asked my mother, a rural Florida first grade teacher in the 1920’s, how many of her pupils left first grade who had not learned how to read. She said there were one or two every couple of years, “but the didn’t learn anything else, either.” Which describes the situation. The notion that a child of dull normal or above intelligence would leave first grade unable to read was simply unthinkable. Now – well, now we cheer if half the kids in first grade can actually read at “first grade level”; and of course grade level reading is silly to begin with. If you can read you can read. You may not know the meaning of many words, but you can read them. But we have forgotten that this was ever true.

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The Snows of Enceladus.

<http://www.centauri-dreams.org/?p=20126>

Roland Dobbins

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“I think that these things were captured by the kraken and taken to the midden and the cephalopod would take them apart.”

<http://www.geosociety.org/news/pr/11-65.htm>

Roland Dobbins

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Cyclist vs. Hartebeest.

<http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S2oymHHyV1M>

Roland Dobbins

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Dead or Alive

What then was the legality for the "Wanted, Dead Or Alive" posters for the gangsters, bank robbers, and murderers fro the 1930’s on back?

Roger Miller

Outside the movies how many official posters have you seen that actually said that? Of course it would true of an escaped prisoner known to be armed.

In general it wasn’t legal and for that matter outside Hollywood didn’t much happen that people were proclaimed outlaw to be killed on sight.

Jerry Pournelle

Chaos Manor

Of course, you are right! And the "experts say" TV and media do not affect us.

What then? Everybody bitches on how things are. and we can only blame ourselves. Is there a way of fixing all this? R’s or D’s won’t or any other flavor you want.

As was said, we are a ‘Constitutional Republic’, we are supposed to be under the rule of law, not an individual or regime.

But then, when we are no longer a moral people, under moral leadership, the law is twisted or outright broken at whim. Are we no longer a moral people?

Roger Miller

We do not even proclaim ourselves moral. We are now a diverse, non-judgmental, politically correct people are we not?

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: Opera and al-Alwaki

Regarding the comment on the synchronization of TTD:

The question was whether the transportation of a synchronized TTD from Switzerland to Italy, passing through a non-uniform gravitational field, might have upset that synchronization by a nanosecond or so. What would happen if two sets of clocks, A and B, were synchronized: one at CERN and the other at Gran Sasso. Then one of each pair is transported to the other site over the same route, but in opposite directions. It is not necessary that the A and B clocks agree with each other, because only the delta between the two sites is needed. Or is the effect not symmetric?

I do note a remarkable difference between the way the hard scientists at CERN are treating their methods, their data, and their reasoning versus the way that climate scientists treat theirs.

Regarding the comparison of the assassination of al Alwaki to the sniper shooting a Confederate soldier:

It was considered poor form, unless carried out in the midst of battle. However, the proper comparison ought to be with a Union sniper taking out a politician agitating for secession of, say, Kentucky or Maryland. (There was a secession movement in New Jersey, too!) Or on the other side: a Confederate agent assassinating the editor of an abolitionist newspaper. As I understand it, the jihadis in question were agitators, not fighters. One ran a web site. The other encouraged others to acts of free enterprise terrorism. Not very nice, but they were not carrying arms, nor themselves engaged in the conspiracies they encouraged. This puts it in a gray area, I think. No tears lost for the dynamic duo, but remember that Boromir thought he could use the One Ring solely for Good.

MikeF

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The biggest evacuation by boat ever

This is a video about the biggest boatlift evacuation ever, larger even than

Dunkirk. It took only 9 hours to evacuate Lower Manhattan by boat. Boats came

out of nowhere to help the people stranded by 911.

http://blogs.reuters.com/katharine-herrup/2011/09/09/boatlifters-the-unknown-story-of-911/

All those heroes just did what needed to be done. God bless each and every

one of them, twice.

{O.O}

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An Important Point You Made Needs Iteration

You made a stupendous point today; I believe we need to take the philosophical approach used in Hagakure to this point. You see, points often make a point beyond the context one makes the point. Yamamoto Tsunetomo made simple, elegant use of one similar situation:

<.>

There is something to be learned from a rainstorm. When meeting with a sudden shower, you try not to pet wet and run quickly along the road. But doing such things as passing under the eaves of houses, you still get wet. When you are resolved from the beginning,you will not be perplexed, though you still get the same soaking. This understanding extends to all things.

</>

Yamamoto Tsunetomo, Hagakure

You wrote:

<.>

And when you inject more and more money into the higher education market, then the costs will go up. We keep running that experiment in the hopes that this time it will come out different. And here we are. It costs an increasing amount to go to college, it’s increasingly easier to get loans, and the costs keep going up.

</>

https://jerrypournelle.com/chaosmanor/?p=2487

Over the years, I spoke with many close to me and I often hear certain phrases e.g. "I am not sure throwing more money at the problem is the answer". Throwing more money at the problem would only increase the problem. We know you to say "stop feeding the beast" when we apply this understanding to government. More money, more problems; this understanding extends to all things. It is well that you pointed this out.

If we can find a way to allow people to apply this to general questions in public policy, we might observe some positive changes. Should we give big banks more money? No, somehow it will make them more expensive and that is bad. It could be that simple.

—–

Most Respectfully,

Joshua Jordan, KSC

The future of the nation depends on being able to educate the top 10% of the population and to civilize the rest. We are not doing a very good job of either task.

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Stakeholders chart

The stakeholders chart that one of your readers submitted is quite possibly the funniest….and probably most accurate….things I’ve seen about development in a long time.

I’ve sent this to colleagues, clients and associates….I suspect the email lines will be quite busy for a few days due to it.

http://mthruf.files.wordpress.com/2011/08/workplace-subjectivity-chart1.jpg

Thanks!

Tracy Walters CISSP

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crime of the century

I wish all of our "crimes" were only as bad as this one.

http://www.thesmokinggun.com/documents/sex/senior-citizen-car-sex-098713

I think the officers could have done them a bigger favor by assisting them to a motel and leaving a note reminding them where their car was.

Sean

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Occupy the Debate

View 696 Tuesday, October 11, 2011

The Travelling Republican Debate show continues tonight with Charlie Rose, who generally considers himself the smartest person in the room and often is. It will be interesting to see him in action with the Republican candidates, at least two of whom are smarter than he is.

It is said that the debate is intended to emphasize economics and that Rose will also try to embarrass the Republican candidates with questions and jibes about the Occupy Wall Street movements.

It may be interesting to see what the candidates have to say about the Occupy Wall Street movements, although probably not, because they aren’t likely to take them seriously. After all, this was called into existence by Adbusters, a rather strange organization, supported by ACORN and community organizers, and suddenly supported by the regular political operatives of organized labor. There seems to be little common ground among the demonstrators other than a general discontent with the way things are going, and a disdain for the Tea Party. I would presume that most of the demonstrators are Obama supporters — or more likely, disappointed Obama supporters. The disappointment has gone to disdain with some. He was supposed to have brought us hope and change, and an end to this corporate state and domination of the nation by the 1% and some kind of transfer of power to the 99%, and a general return to prosperity and something like participatory democracy, and that didn’t happen. He promised the most open administration in history, and the most ethical, and that hasn’t happened either. There don’t seem to be any more people actually listening as there were before Obama’s inauguration. The hope and change didn’t happen but since the Republicans are the party of big corporations and big banks, where do you go from here?

If a lot of this sounds like the Tea Party, it’s hardly a coincidence. The Tea Party people decided to try reforming the Republican Party and weaning it away from corporate welfare and “Big Government Conservatism" (whatever that it; it sure isn’t conservative). They seem to be doing some of that. It needs to continue. Establishment Republicans won’t save this country.

A good part of the country is unhappy with the concentration of wealth and power that has taken place over the past decades. That includes me. Marx predicted that capitalism contained the seeds of its own destruction, and the concentration of power under capitalism is inevitable. The economist David McCord Wright believed that one principle reason why Marxism didn’t get so far in the United States is that we had the anti-trust acts and prevented the overwhelming concentrations of power that would otherwise have resulted. I would certainly support a return to breaking up power concentrations, not by confiscation but by anti-trust actions. Instead of the Big Five banks I’d be much happier with the Not-So-Big Fifty, or Forty. I’d do the same with many of the other industries. But that’s another essay. My point is that capitalists always cooperate each other to influence government – see Adam Smith as a beginning – to restrict entry into their particular part of the market. That’s not necessarily a Republican trick. Look at Obama and the auto industry, the stimulus actions, or almost anywhere else you look as first Republicans and then Democrats thrashed about trying to recover from the collapse of the housing market bubble – a bubble created by government in efforts begun by Democrats but continued by post-Gingrich Republicans, which enriched Wall Street. No wonder so many Occupy Wall Street people are unhappy. They have every right to be, and it takes a great deal more education than they are likely to have got in their terribly expensive years in our new modern colleges to figure out what went wrong or how to get out of it.

For a start they want the bailout money back. It didn’t go to them. To whom did it go? There was a lot of money floating out there –

Anyway, look for that. Look for Charlie Rose to be easy on Romney and hard on Perry. See how he treats Cain. And now that Palin has pretty well removed herself as a possible knight riding to the rescue, things will get more serious as the Republicans begin to realize that their candidate probably is on that stage; it’s a bit late for anyone else to come to their rescue.

It should all start in an hour or so. I’ll have some comments after it’s over.

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There were no surprises in the Republican debate at Dartmouth this evening. The candidates have finally learned not to treat each other as enemies, and to stop bashing each other; the lesson hasn’t been perfectly learned, but they’re doing better. Bachman managed to control her near-surface hysteria, sufficiently so that I’d advise her to run for Speaker of the House. She’d be a good one. Cain looked Presidential, as did Romney and Perry. Newt Gingrich as always was the smartest man in the room, and managed to get the point across: there wasn’t anyone on the platform who wouldn’t do a better job than Mr. Obama. In the old days when Postmaster General was a high precedence Cabinet position that served as the post for Presidential Advisor – think Benjamin Franklin as Washington’s Postmaster General, or Farley as Roosevelt’s – I’d think the country well served if Newt had that post. We don’t have anything quite like it now, a cabinet level position without direct management responsibility, not confined to “national security” but expected to be involved in that. We need Newt Gingrich in a position close to the President, someone to be listened to and free to range through all the actions of government without the responsibility of actual management.

I’m not familiar with the Bloomberg Channel, which is apparently popular with financial institutions and offices; indeed I don’t think I have ever watched it before, and I had trouble finding it among the many channels we get. I found it an hour before the debates began and watched for a while. Their political analysts were almost all both arrogant and incompetent. If Charlie Rose spends much time hanging around with them it’s no wonder that he’s sure he’s always the smartest man in the room. Of the three interrogators, one was the Washington Post harridan who considered it her job to argue with the candidates and become part of the debate, one was Charlie Rose who wasn’t much different from any of the other moderators in such debates, and one was a Bloomberg analyst who appeared more competent than anyone else I saw at Bloomberg. The fact the she was a personable young lady with a reasonable media voice and demeanor didn’t hurt. Some of the Bloomberg pundits had voices and demeanor totally unsuitable for public appearances coupled with an apparent inability to understand what they were talking about.  Those were my impressions; I could be wrong because my exposure to them was limited; I can say I won’t be going back to Bloomberg for much else.

The debate won’t have changed many opinions. Rick Perry came off better this time, but so did all the others: less strident, less ready to tear each other apart, more inclined to talk about what they intend to do rather than recite resumes.

The big three remain: Romney, Perry, and Cain. The others didn’t come off badly at all. I could live with any of them as President.

 

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Yesterday was 10/10/2011 as well as Columbus Day. Ten-ten is the anniversary of the 1912 founding of the Republic of China as well as anniversary of the uprising in 1911 that led to the fall of the centuries old dynasty and millennia old empire.

During the Cold War ten-ten, or double-ten, was an important day. The Republic of China was recognized by the United States, and the Republic threw large receptions/parties attended by much of the diplomatic corps – those who sympathized with Nationalist China as opposed to Red China. Senator Tom Dodd’s Committee of One Million Against the Recognition of Red China generally threw another reception. The US recognized diplomatic corps of the Baltic Republics (which were physically occupied by the USSR and claimed to be part of Russia until the breakup of the USSR) would attend. As Southern California Chairman of Captive Nations I was always very busy on Ten-Ten. Even after the US recognition of the People’s Republic (and the diplomatic exile of the Republic) there were ceremonies on Ten-Ten for years, but the music stopped as time went on. I think my last Ten-Ten party was in about 1996 at Universal City. It was organized by Chinese Americans and I was invited because I had been considered a good friend of China in the old days. My friend Supervisor Mike Antonovitch was there. I hear from him once in a while, but I think I haven’t had a Ten-Ten invitation since.

With the end of the Cold War the US commitments to the Far East have been reexamined and new priorities and policies instituted. Over time the Republic of China, now known as Chinese Taiwan and not recognized as a sovereign entity, has become a stable parliamentary democracy. The People’s Republic of China remains what it is.

At one time the policy of the US was that we agree that China is one country, and that it includes Formosa (Taiwan).

For my last essay on the subject (1999) see http://www.jerrypournelle.com/reports/jerryp/taiwan.html, which also includes an FPRI report on the subject. Things have changed a lot since 1999 but the essays are informative about history.

 

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A mixed bag of mail

Mail 695 Sunday, October 09, 2011  clip_image002

innovate v legislate from 1989!

Here’s a little article on US competiveness from 1989 by a strange fellow named Jerry Pournelle in Infoworld 1989.

http://books.google.com/books?id=IToEAAAAMBAJ&lpg=PT47&ots=UccgJWdMYK&dq=%22What%20man%20has%20done%2C%20man%20can%20aspire%20to%20do.%22&pg=PT47#v=onepage&q=%22What%20man%20has%20done,%20man%20can%20aspire%20to%20do.%22&f=false

I was still in college, reading this and the other trades in the library…computer at the time was Mac Plus w/ external 20 GB SCSI drive.

I guess we’ve all been strolling down memory lane due to Steve Jobs passing.

It’s all been amazing.

Jay R. Larsen

Still reads pretty good…

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Penumbras and emanations.

<http://www.nytimes.com/2011/10/09/world/middleeast/secret-us-memo-made-legal-case-to-kill-a-citizen.html?&pagewanted=all>

Roland Dobbins

This doesn’t really need comment. The Constitution is not a suicide pact; but arbitrary power is a dangerous thing.

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Letter from England

So Romney’s Mormonism is attracting criticism from the right wing church <http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/cifamerica/poll/2011/oct/08/mitt-romney-mormonism>. It’s not especially surprising, given what happened during the Second Great Awakening. There’s no war like a war between brothers. Look at the schisms in the Disciples of Christ, a relatively moderate group <http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Christian_Church_(Disciples_of_Christ)>.

Venus has an ozone layer. Most people are unaware that the best evidence for life elsewhere in the Solar System is atmospheric data from Venus. <http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-15203281> <http://www.newscientist.com/article/dn21021-venus-has-an-ozone-layer-too.html>

The UK Government has been stealing from pensions for a decade. Now it’s beginning to bite.

<http://www.thisismoney.co.uk/money/news/article-2046634/SUNDERLAND-ON-SATURDAY-Pension-deficit-disorder-QEs-hidden-danger.html>

Harry Erwin PhD

If we knew what it was we were doing, it would not be called research, would it? (Albert Einstein)

Once you begin to rob pension funds, it’s hard to see where to stop.

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Dr Pournelle

Hayek’s The Road to Serfdom is available for Kindle. I downloaded the sample, but the entire sample is taken up with introductory comments. Thus, the comments defeat the purpose of the sample. I cannot tell if Hayek is worth my time.

Do you recommend this book?

Hayek’s Road to Serfdom is one of the books that everyone ought to read. On The List of One Hundred, for certain. More like the list of fifty. Yes, by all means read it.

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Rand Paul Supports Your Argument

You wrote — several times — that you would cut 1% of the budget as part of a comprehensive plan to get our act together.  Rand Paul supports this policy in an email he sent:

"One penny out of every dollar. That’s all that needs to be cut from our bloated federal government each year for the next seven years to balance the budget.

*   The Penny Plan allows Congress each year to decide which one percent to cut unless they fail to act. Then, one percent of EVERY program is cut, automatically, by law. No exceptions, no waivers, no escape clause.

*   The Penny Plan limits spending to 18% of GDP after the 7 years. That number is important because it is the historic revenues levels of the last 40 years. That means the Penny Plan will ensure our budget STAYS balanced.

*   The Penny Plan turns the liberals arguments inside out. It is easy to explain – how can anyone possibly be against balancing our budget if all it means is we cut ONE PENNY out of every dollar each year?"

Your will is done; the matter is a talking point in national discussion.  Social Security and Medicare are two, major concerns I see during my research. 

—–

Most Respectfully,

Joshua Jordan, KSC

Clearly I agree.

Occupy Wall Street Are Organizing A Nationwide Boycott Of Banks

http://www.businessinsider.com/occupy-wall-street-are-organizing-a-nationwide-boycott-against-banks-2011-10

—–

Most Respectfully,

Joshua Jordan, KSC

And inviting in the labor unions. It’s very odd out there.

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The FTL Opera Results

Jerry,

There is a good article in The Register about the Opera FTL results. Some of the reader comments are worthwhile too. You may find it at <http://www.theregister.co.uk/2011/10/06/opera_and_general_relativity/>.

John Edwards

Jerry

Can general relativity explain the OPERA neutrino result?

http://www.theregister.co.uk/2011/10/06/opera_and_general_relativity/

“CERN’s decision to release data about its “superluminal neutrino” experiments at an early stage is providing the world with a rare insight into the process of scientific peer review. Another small step in that process in relation to the fascinating OPERA results asks whether general relativity can be called in to help explain the results.”

The article draws attention to a letter. “Author Carlo Contaldi, a reader in Theoretical Physics at Imperial College, London, is particularly interested in how the OPERA setup accounts for correcting GPS timing to provide a universal time coordinate (UTC) that’s the same for CERN and Gran Sasso, where the neutrinos originated and were detected, respectively. . . .

“the OPERA experiment employed a travelling Time-Transfer Device (TTD) to calibrate the difference in time signals at each receiver. We assume this device to be a transportable atomic clock of sufficient accuracy [15]. The TTD constitutes a classic moving clock synchronisation conundrum in relativity,” the letter states.

“He notes that the experimental setup introduces three relativistic time distortions that need to be corrected in analyzing the apparent time-of-flight of the neutrinos: time dilation resulting from “moving the TTD through a non-uniform gravitational potential”; a “Doppler-type effect” resulting from the TTD’s velocity with respect to Earth’s “rotating frame of reference”; and finally, errors due to “the rotation of the Earth as the TTD travels to its destination”.

“The most important of these, Contaldi writes, is the first – the effect of non-uniformity of gravity on the TTD. Since “the time differences the result hinges on are extremely small”, even trivial details such as whether the TTD was transported by car or by air could potentially change the synchronization between the two ends of the experiment.”

“Usually, peer-review looks opaque to non-scientists. The general public often learns of a research result after a paper has been accepted by a journal – and therefore after the peer-review process is completed (and most often, only because the journal decides to throw some bones at the general media). As examination and analysis of the OPERA experiment proceeds, however, the public is getting a fly-on-the-wall view of peer-review at work. Condaldi may be right or wrong; OPERA may survive this examination, but fall at some other hurdle; a new physics might emerge, or not. Whatever the result, giving the public a ringside seat as academics rake over the OPERA results is already looking like a win for science. By the time OPERA is either settled or falsified, we’ll have had our most detailed demonstration of why science works.”

Ed

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Harry Reid Nukes the Senate

<http://takeaction.pollingprecinct.com/emk/open.php?M=4873015&L=75&N=2090&F=H>

<http://takeaction.pollingprecinct.com/emk/link.php?M=4873015&N=2090&L=2229&F=H>

Fellow Conservatives:

Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-NV) fundamentally weakened the United States Senate yesterday in a desperate attempt to block a vote on the President’s stimulus bill.

Using a simple majority vote, Reid used the "Nuclear Option" to change the rules of the Senate so senators cannot offer amendments. In the future, senators will only be able to modify legislation if Harry Reid agrees to it.

Harry Reid changed the rules of the Senate because Republicans planned to force a vote on President Obama’s stimulus plan. The plan is so unpopular that it was going to be defeated by Republicans and Democrats when it came up for a vote. This would have embarrassed the president so Reid and the Democrats just changed the longstanding rules of the Senate to block it. You can learn more at RedState.com <http://takeaction.pollingprecinct.com/emk/link.php?M=4873015&N=2090&L=2230&F=H> .

The Senate is supposed to be the "World’s Greatest Deliberative Body". That means debating, amending, and voting on legislation — all things Harry Reid has sought to avoid during his tenure as Senate Majority Leader.

Folks, we’re teetering on tyranny. We must elect a conservative majority in 2012 to stop this madness. <http://takeaction.pollingprecinct.com/emk/link.php?M=4873015&N=2090&L=2229&F=H>

This latest attempt to ignore the rules and force bad legislation on the American people is alarming, but it’s not that surprising. Democrats have been ignoring the U.S. Constitution and blowing through its stop signs for years.

Republicans can protect their rights in the Senate but it requires 41 Republican votes to keep the Democrats from cutting off debate. Unfortunately, too many Republicans lack the courage to stand together for the principles of freedom.

The only way to take our country back is to elect true conservatives to the U.S. Senate. We need principled leaders who care more about defending our freedoms than their own political careers.

Respectfully,

Jim DeMint

United States Senator

A political letter, but the incident it refers to may be important.

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Spengler’s take: Wall Street Protestors Have Met the Enemy and It Is They:

http://pajamasmedia.com/spengler/2011/10/06/wall-street-protesters-have-met-the-enemy-and-it-is-they/?singlepage=true

He begins the essay: “America is the land of opportunity, and never before the great housing bubble has a Ponzi scheme drawn such a wide base of support and benefited so many people. This was the most democratic scam in history, and if you got in on the first half of it, you’re still better off. The big losers were not homeowners, but the bankers. A quick look at the numbers shows how misinformed are the protesters running around Wall Street. Instead of picketing the bankers, they should pair off and picket each other. I ran through the numbers recently in an Asia Times Online essay. Here’s the story of the People’s Ponzi scheme in a nutshell:”

And on. It’s choice.

Ed

All true. My house is still worth considerably more than ten times what I paid for it in 1968. But when the government injects money into the housing market it drives up the prices. Comes the bubble. One big Ponzi scheme. And of course in most places that means an enormous increase in the “value” meaning the taxes, driving fixed income people out of their houses. Fortunately we have Proposition 13 in California or I could never afford the taxes on this house…

But do note that the Goldman Sachs didn’t do too badly out of all this. And somehow the Toxic Asset fund didn’t retire the toxic assets…

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Devil’s Mountain: NSA’s Abandoned Cold-War Listening Post,

Jerry

So here we are – a Russian transmitter and an American listening post – Devil’s Mountain: NSA’s Abandoned Cold-War Listening Post.

http://www.wired.com/threatlevel/2011/10/teufelsberg/?viewall=true

Ed

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Einstein vs the ‘kooks’

Hello Jerry,

"Without that observation all the speculations about relativity are fairly idle talk: as Russell Seitz reminds me, most physics professors have a peach crate full of well reasoned refutations of Einstein’s theory of relativity sent by smart people, and there’s not a lot of point in reading them because there’s no need for a new theory: what we have works to cover the data we have."

The first thing to remember is that I am in no way qualified to judge the arguments of relativity vs ‘Alternative Theories 1 through N, where N is large’.

That said, I did do a bit of reading on the ‘Einstein Plus Two’ link that you provided. It was noted that a large number of experiments that confirm a theory does not prove that the theory is correct but a single data set that contradicts a theory is sufficient to falsify it.

One set of experimental data that supposedly contradicts relativity is the aberration of binary stars. Specifically, binary stars of roughly equal mass rotating about a common center of gravity with relatively short orbital periods. Relativity (supposedly–remember I am not qualified to pass judgement) predicts about an order of magnitude more aberration than that actually measured by astronomers. The measured aberration is that predicted by Beckman ( http://www.k1man.com/f39.pdf ).

There are a few other examples, which I am equally unqualified to judge. Other people are however and at least a few PhD professors have commented favorably on Beckman, who himself was a PhD college professor.

I also note that it is apparently routine in the physics community to refute a theory questioning relativity on the grounds that it was proposed by a ‘kook’, whether or not it successfully accounts for known experimental data. How do we know that the individual questioning relativity is a kook? Because his theory questions relativity. It has become a bit like the ‘Catastrophic Anthropogenic Global Warming Caused By CO2 Emitted By Civilization’ theory in the climate science community. Alternate climate theories are dismissed because they are proposed by individuals who are not bona fide climate scientists. What does it take to establish your climate scientist creds? Unquestioning support for the CAGWCBCEBC theory of climate change.

Bob Ludwick

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‘A former official said one of the reasons for making senior officials principally responsible for nominating Americans for the target list was to "protect" the president.’

<http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/10/05/us-cia-killlist-idUSTRE79475C20111005>

Roland Dobbins

al-Awlaki

Jerry,

I must be slow. I’m not exactly clear about what the difference what happened to al-Awlaki and if a Union sharpshooter had shot a Confederate soldier dead during the Civil War. They or I might say we (my father claimed one our ancestors died of wounds he received at Chickamauga), were engaged in armed insurrection against the U.S. government. If what President Lincoln did was legal, why isn’t what President Obama did also legal?

Joel Upchurch

I take it that you would have had no objection to the Union sending a hit man to London to take out the Confederate ambassador, then? Or had we had drones, firing one at Tom Hayden when he and Fonda visited Hanoi? Do understand, had I been able to get out of our blackbirds from South Viet Nam to Hanoi at the time, I would have been pleased to order a strike with the 105 (accurate to cep 10 feet at 10,000 yards slant range) on Hayden and Fonda. But who should have had the authority to order the strike? That’s the question worth debating.

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Subj: Current FEMA director not quite as clueless as you seem to think

Craig Fugate came up from local disaster-handling. He knows full well

that the initial response to a disaster can only be local. He’s trying

to manage down the widely prevalent unrealistic expectations that FEMA

can and should respond instantly and effectively.

Of course, he cannot unilaterally reverse the entire institutional

inclination of his agency.

http://www.c-spanvideo.org/program/CraigF

Rod Montgomery==monty@starfief.com

Perhaps so, but he has an impossible job.

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taxes & philanthropy

Perhaps some readers will consider reading the information at http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2010-08-04/rockefeller-ellison-weill-turner-allen-join-buffett-s-charity-pledge.html

chris klow

A soft sell.

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How stakeholders see each other

As usual, it funny because it has at least a ring of truth to it…

http://mthruf.files.wordpress.com/2011/08/workplace-subjectivity-chart1.jpg

Regards,

Bill Wilkinson

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Occupy Wall Street?

View 695 Sunday, October 09, 2011

I can’t say I really blame the “Occupy Wall Street” groups. If I were their age I’d be thinking of joining them. They don’t really know what they want, but they really don’t want more of what they’re getting.

One radio commentator says “They want the damned bailout money back.”

When I was young I was the first in my family to go to a real college; my mother had a two year normal school degree and had been a first grade teacher. My father had matriculated in a Baptist College and was thrown out for reading James Harvey Robinson’s Mind In The Making, which was a pretty radical book back in those days. It actually accepted evolution… Anyway, in my time you could go to a state college without going into debt. My wife was the first in her family ever to get to college, and she worked her way through at the University of Washington; she graduated without debts. So did I. In my case I had the Korean GI Bill to help through most of it. I also worked at Reich’s Café in Iowa City, where I had a “board job”: an hour’s work as a waiter earned me a meal off the menu, and I kept any tips. With the GI Bill to pay tuition and rent, and at least one meal a day guaranteed by Reich’s, I was set.

Neither Roberta nor I even considered borrowing money to go to college, and neither of us had any problem finding a job when we got out. When I met Roberta she was a school teacher, and I was a Boeing aerospace engineer.

It’s different now. The US has poured so much money into the universities and colleges that it has built an education bubble. The costs of college degrees soared. Now you either start rich or you borrow money; very few can work their way through college, and that gets harder all the time. Indeed it’s very hard to get into a state college now: they want to bring in out of state students who will pay full price in order to support the insane cost structure. There’s no room for outsiders with reasonable but not outstanding records. Neither Roberta nor I would be able to get into the University of Washington now.

The first thing they teach in economics is that when too much money chases goods, the price of those goods goes up. Inject more money into a system, make it easier for more people to buy the product, the demand rises, the prices rise. It doesn’t take an economics degree to understand that; so when you make it possible for more people to buy a house, the price of a house will go up. And when you inject more and more money into the higher education market, then the costs will go up. We keep running that experiment in the hopes that this time it will come out different. And here we are. It costs an increasing amount to go to college, it’s increasingly easier to get loans, and the costs keep going up. Meanwhile the supply of people with college credentials goes up. Increase the supply of something and what happens to the demand? Particularly the demand for those with degrees in social sciences and the like. But maybe next year it will be different?

So they’re out protesting. The government spends enormous sums on – well, on anything. Bailouts. Bunny inspectors. Higher and higher pay pensions and benefits for government employees including college staff, administrators, and faculty. Money pours out of Washington every minute, but somehow after four years of education one has a lifetime of debt and no job.

Every person in the United States owes $47,000 that will have to be paid by someone. Add to that another $50,000 to $100,000 in college loans. Neither of those debts can be escaped by bankruptcy or anything short of disability and perhaps poverty. To get out of paying you have to get out of having much of an income. At least that’s how many see the situation.

Three years ago we were promised that things would be different. Hope and Change. We’re the one’s you have been waiting for. And now – well, now it’s worse. The spending goes on. Our masters – government employees – continue to get more and more. Pension costs go up and up (that’s part of that $47,000 each of us owes). Spending costs go up. And now those who would be the middle class find they are bondsmen. A few come out of college without debts – mostly those from rich families. We can be sure that Steve Jobs’ children will not be lifelong bondsmen – but that much of the prospective middle class will indeed enter life as debtors. Bondsmen. Not free.

I hear on the radio that the Occupy Wall Street people are moving toward Washington Square Park. I recall that one very well: I was once wanted on a misdemeanor charge of inciting civil disruption for a speech I made in Washington Square back about 1952. But that’s another story.

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Of course protesting in the public parks is no way out of this mess. Neither is soak the rich taxation. I understand the temptation to denounce “greed” as the cause of America’s problems. I understand the strong temptation to respond by punishing the greedy. I am willing to discuss taxation schemes that have the intent of leveling the society. I am certainly willing to discuss resumption of the anti-cartel trust busting activities to prevent enormous concentrations of wealth. There are serious economic costs involved in doing that sort of thing, and if you confiscate all the wealth you will seriously distort the allocation of resources. If you succumb to the temptations of envy – they have this money, and we want it. You don’t need that much money – it’s not fair – you may find that covetousness has no boundary.

There really isn’t enough money to pay our debts by soaking the rich. As the Brits found out long ago, the problem with insisting on near equal divisions of the economic pie is that the pie stops growing, and after a while gets smaller and smaller. Envy and covetousness, such as I am hearing from Lisa Ann Walter on KFI as I write this, are powerful temptations, and succumbing to them can make you feel good. How dare you have that big party when I can’t find anything on sale at K-Mart! How dare you take ten million dollars for that movie performance. You don’t need that much! Take a million and be grateful! The list of things we can resent will never end.

FAUSTUS. Thou art a proud knave, indeed.–What art thou, the second?

COVETOUSNESS. I am Covetousness, begotten of an old churl, in a leather bag: and, might I now obtain my wish, this house, you, and all, should turn to gold, that I might lock you safe into my chest: O my sweet gold!

FAUSTUS. And what art thou, the third?

ENVY. I am Envy, begotten of a chimney-sweeper and an oyster-wife. I cannot read, and therefore wish all books burned. I am lean with seeing others eat. O, that there would come a famine over all the world, that all might die, and I live alone! then thou shouldst see how fat I’d be. But must thou sit, and I stand? come down, with a vengeance!

FAUSTUS. Out, envious wretch!–But what art thou, the fourth?

WRATH. I am Wrath. I had neither father nor mother: I leapt out of a lion’s mouth when I was scarce an hour old; and ever since have run up and down the world with this case of rapiers, wounding myself when I could get none to fight withal. I was born in hell; and look to it, for some of you shall be my father.

FAUSTUS. And what art thou, the fifth?

GLUTTONY. I am Gluttony. My parents are all dead, and the devil a penny they have left me, but a small pension, and that buys me thirty meals a-day and ten bevers,–a small trifle to suffice nature. I come of a royal pedigree: my father was a Gammon of Bacon, my mother was a Hogshead of Claret-wine; my godfathers were these, Peter Pickled-herring and Martin Martlemas-beef; but my godmother, O, she was an ancient gentlewoman; her name was Margery March-beer. Now, Faustus, thou hast heard all my progeny; wilt thou bid me to supper?

Thou shalt not covet thy neighbor’s (goods)
house or fields, nor his male or female slaves, nor his ox or ass, or anything that belongs to him.

Which turns out to be fairly good advice; spending your time in envious covetousness is not any way to be happy. Of course “what is my neighbors’ goods” is a fair question. Where did the wealth come from? Robbery? Theft? But then if property is theft, it’s easy to justify any action you like. If I am to be enriched by despoiling you, it’s easy enough to think of good reasons why I ought to get out the axe.

Taking someone else’s property to settle your own debts is a powerful temptation and it leads to powerful feelings of self-justification. But we all know that. If we wish to restructure the distribution of wealth, it is important to think carefully, not merely seize in anger out of jealousy. There really are optimum limits on fortunes, and organizations too big to fail are probably too big to be allowed to exist; but confiscation out of envy is not the remedy to that. Yes there are institutions that ought to be broken up. But not to enrich me or you. Not to pay my college tuition. Or yours.

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The real objection to soak the rich taxation is that it feeds the beast. There is no way to sustain the 7% exponential growth in government spending that we presently enjoy, and any soak the rich taxation scheme that gives us the illusion that this spending growth can continue is far more dangerous and will do far more harm than any good we can gain from taking the money.

There may come a time when we need to debate the distribution of income – but not while we continue a 7% exponential growth in spending.

Cut the spending. Stop the exponential. Once that is done we can debate income structures. But not until then. Every week that goes by adds to that $47,000 each of us owes. There isn’t enough money to be taken from the rich to pay that. The only way out of this hole is to stop spending, then cut back the regulations until we have economic growth again. We can grow our way out of this. We can’t solve our problems with envy.

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Edmund Burke noted:

As long as our Sovereign Lord the King, and his faithful subjects, the Lords and Commons of this Realm— the triple cord which no man can break—the solemn, sworn, constitutional frank-pledge of this nation—the firm guarantees of each other’s being and each other’s rights—the joint and several securities, each in its place and order, for every kind and every quality of property and of dignity—as long as these endure, so long the Duke of Bedford is safe, and we are all safe together—the high from the blights of envy and the spoliations of rapacity, the low from the iron hand of oppression and the insolent spurn of contempt. Amen! and so be it! and so it will be—

Have we come to a time when the insolence of the rich is too much to endure? Or is it from the rich that our troubles rise? Would despoiling the rich make us safer?

For those interested, I recommend Russell Kirk’s essay on the subject.

I don’t blame the Occupy Wall Street people. I do caution them to think about what they are doing. What is it you want? And be careful what you wish for.

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