Safe in Chattanooga

View 733 Thursday, July 19, 2012

It’s late and this will be brief. We’re here in Chattanooga after a fairly grueling day of travel and indifferent meals – reminds me when I was travelling for the Air Force lo these many years ago except that in the days of the Stratoliner and the 707 there were not people paid to make you miserable, and the seats were much larger and everyone was far more pleasant. But that was another era.

A TSA man decided my large tube of Crest was too big and confiscated it. I expect his kids need it. Otherwise no real incidents of note.

The Libertycon people were expectedly competent and pleasant and makes it all worth while.

I’m going to turn in but Niven and I are safe and all is well.

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You Didn’t Do That!

View 733 Wednesday, July 18, 2012

You didn’t get that on your own. You didn’t do that. This is the essence of the President Obama’s campaign.

Of course his handlers are now insisting that President Obama didn’t mean it that way. It was taken out of context. He was talking about the essential activities of government, and particularly education and public roads. He also mentioned the Internet which didn’t invent itself. What the President was trying to say is that government is necessary for prosperity. He didn’t say it very well, perhaps, but it’s an important thing to remember. You can’t just dismiss the importance of government.

But if that is what he meant, it is hardly a new concept. Most civilized people have known that for millennia. They have also known that government, while necessary for prosperity, can also be its enemy. Benjamin Franklin and George Washington both noted that government is force, and “like fire it is a dangerous servant and a fearful master.” We need government, but we must be ready to restrain it.

Thomas Jefferson summed it up in his first inaugural in 1801:

“Still one thing more, fellow citizens — a wise and frugal Government, which shall restrain men from injuring one another, shall leave them otherwise free to regulate their own pursuits of industry and improvement, and shall not take from the mouth of labor the bread it has earned. This is the sum of good government, and this is necessary to close the circle of our felicities. About to enter, fellow-citizens, on the exercise of duties which comprehend everything dear and valuable to you, it is proper you should understand what I deem the essential principles of our Government, and consequently those which ought to shape its Administration”

For a very long time that was the guiding philosophy of the American government.

I do not think that is what President Obama had in mind when he told us

Somebody helped to create this unbelievable American system that we have that allowed you to thrive. Somebody invested in roads and bridges. If you’ve got a business — you didn’t build that. Somebody else made that happen.

It is certainly possible to have too little government. That is not America’s problem. For more than half my life people have laughed at the suggestion that “Aren’t you glad you are not getting all the government you pay for?” Now Mr. Obama wants us to pay for more.

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Tomorrow before dawn Niven and I get on a Delta airplane for a long and grueling trip to Chattanooga. It will take all day and we will get there well after dinner time. I don’t expect to log in along the way, and I may well be too tired to do more than glance at my mail after I arrive. I have no idea what kind of Internet connection I will have.

We will be at Libertycon in Chattanooga until Monday, and we will be all day Monday getting back home, so if you don’t hear much from me for the next few days, it is nothing to be concerned about.

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I have this from a reader:

"US geoengineers to spray sun-reflecting chemicals from balloon"

http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2012/jul/17/us-geoengineers-spray-sun-balloon

I guess we will find out in a year or so if it works.

The story is more than interesting. Of course we have for years heard conspiracy theories about contrails. Few of them get beyond the Art Bell show, but now we have this.

I would think there is considerable to discuss before we do environmental engineering experiments – including real science about temperature trends, and a real debate about what is the ‘best’ climate for Earth.

Before spraying stuff into trhe atmosphere would it now make more sense simply to paint roofs white? Assuming we really want cooling.

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It is generally agreed that the one thing in US Education that is done fairly well is high tech higher education. When I used to lecture at Cal Tech there were generally no girls in the classes. At one dormitory hall where I was invited to have dinner there was one and only one woman student, and she wasn’t in a particularly technical program, although I make no doubt she could have been had she wanted to. That situation has changed now, and there are women in nearly every Cal Tech class, but there are far more men in high tech classes than women.

‘Since a college cannot force a woman to go into math or science, the only way for a college to satisfy a gender quota will be to cut the number of male math and science students, by turning male students away from their favorite subject.’

<http://www.openmarket.org/2012/07/10/quotas-limiting-male-science-enrollment-the-new-liberal-war-on-science/>

—-

Roland Dobbins

I suppose I should not be surprised.

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And Fast and Furious won’t go away, although both candidates seem to wish it would:

‘Precisely because this is such a jaw-dropping accusation — criminality at the highest level of government to score a political point — Republicans refuse to make it.’

<http://www.anncoulter.com/columns/2012-07-11.html>

Roland Dobbins

Congress is the Grand Inquest of the Nation, Constitutionally and by tradition; but everything seems to have become political now. I am seldom in favor of special prosecutors, but I would think a situation involving the Attorney General would be the case in which one might be appropriate.

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If that weren’t enough, we have

Jerry,

Did YOU know that we’re in a state of national emergency?

http://www.americanthinker.com/2012/07/do_obamas_executive_orders_reveal_a_pattern.html

<snip>

In EO 13617, entitled "Blocking Property of the Government of the Russian Federation Relating to the Disposition of Highly Enriched Uranium Extracted From Nuclear Weapons," Obama says (among other things)that"the risk of nuclear proliferation created by the accumulation of a large volume of weapons-usable fissile material in the territory of the Russian Federation continues to constitute an unusual and extraordinary threat to the national security and foreign policy of the United States, and hereby declare a national emergency to deal with that threat.”

Obama, by signing this EO, actually declared a national emergency. I guess that President Theodore Roosevelt’s famous saying, "Speak softly and carry a big stick," can’t apply in this case because we don’t want to offend the Russians by having them honor treaties they signed (the "HEU" Agreement). But what’s more important is that Obama can now "justify" any action he wants to take by citing EO 13617 since it declares a national emergency.<snip>

Read more: http://www.americanthinker.com/2012/07/do_obamas_executive_orders_reveal_a_pattern.html#ixzz20to19bIx

I suspect we have not heard the end of this, either. Certainly Axelrod understands the implications. It is probably time to revise the War Powers Act as well as the Patriot Act.

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Just remember, if you’ve got a business, you didn’t build that.

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A Mixed Mailbag including cocktail party theories and other interesting matters

Mail 733 Monday, July 16, 2012

I have mail on the San Bernardino eminent domain proposal; more than I have time to deal with tonight. I am attempting to catch up.

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H Clinton

Jerry,

Am I the only person to think that sending a woman to deal with Muslim nations is not only futile but maybe even insulting to their cultural beliefs?

Sure, I don’t like some aspects of certain other cultures but I don’t think we should be forcing our ways on people that have other lifestyles.

Hope Sable is faring better.

Take care

Alan

There is considerable controversy about this. Many realists have said that it is better to conform as far as possible to the customs of foreign relations, as for example, not sending Jewish ambassadors to Muslim states. Others have said that if some foreign power doesn’t want an American citizen as ambassador they can make do with someone of lesser rank as well as the indifference of the United States. The Cold War changed much of that, of course.

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What exactly is the ATF and how did they get here?

An interesting short article on the history of the ATF. How they went from 3 Detectives in the Civil War to where they are today. A classic case of bureaucratic empire building.

http://cheaperthandirt.com/blog/?p=21028

John from Waterford

An interesting article. I had thought the ‘revenoors’ had been around in the earliest days of the whiskey taxes, which were well before the Civil War. Recall the folk song, with the line “we ain’t paid no whiskey tax since seventeen ninety two”.

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"Damn It Jim, it is a Planet!"

Jerry,

Five moons for Pluto!

If that ain’t a planet, I don’t know what is. I am an unrepentantly a 9+ planet Solar System guy, although I can accept a Pluto demotion if you go to a 6 planet solar system where the planets are those objects easily visible with the unaided eye. (Ignoring Uranus and Vesta, but I could accept those too to make the Solar System 8 planets without Neptune or Pluto)

A nice picture of Pluto and its moons including P5 is at the website. I look forward to the New Horizons encounter with Pluto.

Regards, Charles Adams, Bellevue, NE

<http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2012/07/120711123038.htm>

"Hubble Discovers a Fifth Moon Orbiting Pluto

ScienceDaily (July 11, 2012) – A team of astronomers using NASA’s Hubble Space Telescope is reporting the discovery of another moon orbiting the icy dwarf planet Pluto.

The moon is estimated to be irregular in shape and 6 to 15 miles across. It is in a 58,000-mile-diameter circular orbit around Pluto that is assumed to be co-planar with the other satellites in the system…."

There are at least nine planets in the solar system, and Pluto is one of them. Sister Elizabeth Ann told me that in second grade, and I have had no reason to doubt it.

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Hi,

Alton Brown of Good Eats on the Food Network says that tomatoes should not be refrigerated. The low temperature shuts down some enzyme, IIRC, that turns off the tomato’s flavor. Warming up the tomato does not bring back the flavor.

No need to publish my name, just thought you’d like to know.

Darrell

I agree, and indeed the reason the tomatoes were on a counter is that we recently became converted to that view. But if you share your house with a wolf, you may find that it may be better to have bad tasting tomatoes than to pay the vet bills. Husky dogs are not precisely obedient. They are cooperative, and pretty well accept direct orders even if they think they don’t make sense, but their obedience tends to fade when there is no one around – and Sable is capable of reashing almost any place in the kitchen that we can reach.

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Jobs, incentives, and used production equipment…

First, Dr Pournelle, let me share your hope that Sable is back to normal when you go to the vet for her. Absence or unusual behavior of my cat(s) also makes me dysfunctional.

I suggest that American businesses need certainty concerning government rules and regulations at least as much as they need relaxation of those rules and regulations. One is unwilling to make long term investments absent reasonable expectation that the investments can be well utilized long enough to repay their costs and provide profits sufficient to justify the risks taken. Before he took up fountain dancing, Wilber Mills of the Ways and Means Committee was greatly appreciated for insisting that revisions in tax law, once made, must stay in place at least five years.

As a current example of investments made excessively risky by ever changing government rules and regulations I offer the "roll your own cigarettes" machines.

http://www.lvrj.com/opinion/vin-suprynowicz-161707065.html

‘… a stroke of the pen on Friday, President Barack Obama put thousands of small "roll-your-own" tobacco shops out of business, throwing tens of thousands more full- and part-time workers on the streets.’

‘They thought they could rely on the law staying the same. It gives some definition to all that loose talk about "uncertainty."’

Charles Brumbelow=

As noted elsewhere Sable is back to normal. Thanks to you and all who inquired.

As to certainty and consistency in rules, of course. But we all know this, just as we all know that the Iron Law always prevails. Our masters no longer seem to care.

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I’m thinking that it should be very possible to test whether your 2X suggestion on regulations would help. A simple question to someone who knows the stats, or is competent to find them: What is the distribution of American businesses, by number of employees? Is there a strikingly obvious spike and cliff, just short of 50 employees? Of 10?

Any regulation that is holding back growth should be causing such a pile-up on the graph.

I am assuming that the clowns in Washington don’t have regulations for every single number of employees between 1 and a thousand. Hopefully they like tens as much as the rest of us.

Best wishes, mkr

I don’t know the US statistics, but I am told that in Spain 99% of all business have 49 or fewer employees. It’s apparently cheaper to start a new company than to hire a 50th worker…

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An Increasingly Bad Deal

I’m sure this will make our children want to run out and join the workforce:

<.>

This year, Americans have to work until July 15 to pay for the burden of government, more than six months.

In a new report,  Americans for Tax Reform (ATR) has calculated that Americans will spend a total of 197 days toiling to pay for the cost of government.

"Cost of Government Day is the date of the calendar year on which the average American worker has earned enough gross income to pay off his or her share of the spending and regulatory burden imposed by government at the federal, state and local levels," reads the report.

The report, Cost of Government Day, shows that Americans will work 88 days to pay for federal spending; 40 days for state and local spending; and 69 days for total regulatory costs.

</>

http://cnsnews.com/news/article/americans-will-work-more-6-months-pay-cost-govt-2012

—–

Most Respectfully,

Joshua Jordan, KSC

Percussa Resurgo

It will get worse.

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Subject: UN arms treaty could put U.S. gun owners in foreign sights, say critic

UNITED NATIONS – A treaty being hammered out this month at the United Nations — with Iran playing a key role — could expose the records of America’s gun owners to foreign governments — and, critics warn, eventually put the Second Amendment on global trial

Read more: http://www.foxnews.com/world/2012/07/11/un-arms-treaty-could-put-us-gun-owners-in-foreign-sights-say-critics/?test=latestnews#ixzz20QRaHcqw <http://www.foxnews.com/world/2012/07/11/un-arms-treaty-could-put-us-gun-owners-in-foreign-sights-say-critics/?test=latestnews#ixzz20QRaHcqw>

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Troubling Educational Trends At The Top

Jerry,

I came across this article (http://sunlightfoundation.com/blog/2012/05/21/congressional-speech/) the other day and I thought I would share it with you. I know you have many issues with how the public school system is funded and operated (or more like mis-funded and not operated), but I believe we all agree that education is important to the successful operation of a representative democracy. I have often said that the downward trend in budgets for public schools is a reflection of a downward trend in the educational quality exhibited by our elected representatives. Perhaps I am not far from the truth.

Kevin L. Keegan

The purpose of the US Education system is to pay union teachers and to assure full employment to professors of education without regard to the accomplishments or capabilities of either. All other goals are subordinate to this. When there was local control of schools there were some that were unfair to teachers, but many which actually put the students first. None do now. We all pretty well know this, or should, but it is more important to protect incompetent teachers than to assure students of a competent teacher. Far more effort goes into protecting the income of the incompetent, and almost none goes to removing properly credentialed incompetents. What else can we conclude?

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UAVs Tracking Civilian Cars

Since jihadis rarely have APCs, the Air Force would have to be stupid to not practice tracking SUVs.

And the New York Times continues its death spiral.

Nathan Raye

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Samsung and Universal Search Question

I just read where Samsung must deprecate their product because if their use of universal search. I am curious as to why this is even patentable. Aside from its obviousness, I was on the team that implemented this idea back in the old MS-DOS days at Microsoft.

I was one of a team that implemented the on-line strategies for QuickC, QuickBASIC, QuickPASCAL, etc. for Microsoft. For my efforts I was awarded a Microsoft Innovation Award.

Back in those old days, we implemented a QuickHelp for the C language and libraries and for the product itself so that every context, every dialog box, every keyword, etc. was acccessible via on-line help instantly.

Our success led to the eventual common-place phenomenon today of only providing help files and on-line docs in lieu of printed manuals.

We further implemented the search in such a way that is proceeded from file to file to readme.doc in a universal fashion that was even extensible to user-supplied files.

In those innocent days of yore , no patents were applied for (if I receall correctly); or perhaps it was just too obvious to even consider patents.

Thought you’d like to know this brief bit of somewhat obscure "Universal Search" history and precedent.

(Mr.) Terry A. Ward

Microsoft (retired)

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SMOE

It’s just a Simple Matter of Engineering but the pictures are pretty!

http://www.forbes.com/sites/parmyolson/2012/07/11/airbus-explores-a-future-where-planes-are-built-with-giant-3d-printers/

http://www.forbes.com/sites/alexknapp/2012/07/11/asteroid-mining-startup-planetary-resources-teams-with-virgin-galactic/

Peter Wityk

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regarding the universe – epicycles and dark matter

Jerry,

You may be right that modern physics may be based on an incorrect theory. Last year I spent a few weeks listening to the Open Yale Course online for Astronomy 160: Frontiers and Controversies in Astrophysics. You can listen to the entire 26 one hour lectures plus download the course materials. Sadly, the class is a bit out of date (it was recorded in 2007), Professor Charles Bailyn makes some very complex material quite approachable. There is a lot of math in the class, but it is all algebra and trigonometry; I don’t think there was any calculus involved.

http://oyc.yale.edu/astronomy/astr-160

In the first lecture, Professor Bailyn discusses the time when people believed that the Earth was the center of the universe and how astronomers had to come up with explanations for the eccentricities in the movements of the planets across the sky. They used motions called "epicycles" to explain these eccentricities. Then came the theory that the Earth orbited the sun and the need for epicycles disappeared.

As Professor Bailyn was discussing dark matter and dark energy, it occurred to me that perhaps these concepts were modern versions of epicycles…that there was a problem with our basic theory for understanding the universe (in this case, general relativity theory) and that we were making more and more adjustments to keep the theory working. In the very last lecture, Professor Bailyn makes that very same point….that dark matter and dark energy may be modern versions of epicycles.

I hope that you will encourage your readers to check out Professor Bailyn’s course. I also hope that someday Yale will put an updated version of the class online.

Sincerely,

Hugh Greentree

I have always thought that the Special Theory of Relativity has needed epicycles upon epicycles to keep it viable. If you assume that there is an arther and that it is associated with gravity, and that the speed of light varies with the density of the aether, you get an entirely different expectation for the expansion of the universe, and a first cut suggests there may be no need for all that dark matter and dark energy. But do understand this is a cocktail party theory on my part. I no longer have the math skills to develop it – indeed, I have worked on one tensor in my life, and I would never want to do that again. Ever. Of course it may be my distrust in tensors that drives me toward trying to retain something of Newtonian physics…

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It’s not just the Daily Mail

Jerry:

I admit The Daily Mail can make it difficult to separate good science from reports of Tom Cruise’s ability to teleport.

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/tvshowbiz/article-2171741/Tom-Cruise-believed-telekinetic-telepathic-powers-according-Scientologists.html

But the Daily Mail’s report of the tree ring study you mentioned on July 11 is reported more reliably at http://www.uni-mainz.de/eng/15491.php

and

http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/vaop/ncurrent/full/nclimate1589.html

A good source for following climate reports is

http://www.climatedepot.com/

Best regards,

–Harry M.

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The silly season continues

View 733 Monday, July 16, 2012

We spent the weekend worrying about Sable, but actually since about 1100 Saturday night she has been fine. By Sunday morning she was eager to eat breakfast. I made the mistake of letting her know I was trying to give her a pill, and that didn’t work out too well, but if I throw her a treat and then a pill she joyfully catches them. And her other pills go in her food dish. She’s pretty well her old self. We presume it was the tomatoes, but the vet gave her some antibiotics which we have to continue until they run out. That’s another couple of days.

But all’s well here, and today we had a normal morning complete with our daily walk.

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Some commentators say the political campaign will depend on each candidate blackguarding the other. The President seems to believe so. Most of his recent campaign consists of saying that Governor Romney has too much business experience all of the wrong kind, and various other such allegations. Mr. Romney hasn’t exactly responded in kind, but after the primary campaign it’s clear he knows how. I wouldn’t advise him to do that. He will be far better off if he continues to try to focus on just what has happened in the past three years, and asking if the country wants – or can even endure – more of that. And of course debating Obamacare.

My political management experience is from a far different time, but I would not think it wise to respond to negative attacks. In general they aren’t even worth mentioning. Mr. Romney has been in the public spotlight for a long time now, and there aren’t going to be bimbo eruptions, family scandals, or other such surprises. Those who take new charges seriously aren’t likely to vote for Mr. Romney anyway. The intellectual part of this campaign is likely over: it now comes down to the ground game. If all those who prefer Mr. Romney to Mr. Obama actually get to the polls, the result is likely to be a heavy Republican victory.

The negative campaign we can now expect will be designed to induce despair, weariness, ennui, and any emotion to discourage those who might otherwise get out at vote against the President. There will a a lot of that.

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“There is not a man in the country can’t make a living for himself and his family. But he can’t make a living for them and his government too, the way the government is living. What government has got to do is live as cheap as the people.” Will Rogers

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I had to go to the bank today. I had a check from Amazon for my German eBook sales. You’d think that it might be in Euros, but it was drawn on an English bank in pounds. It didn’t take long for the manager to figure out what to do. It wasn’t a great amount of money, but I have to say that it was for more than I got for my German sales of print books last year. Moreover it was for the first quarter of this year, which is astonishing. Most publishers pay royalties in summer current for the half a year ending last fall – indeed, I think I have not yet got the royalties for German print book sales from the first half of 2011 (they’d come through my agent), and here’s the eBook sales for first quarter of 2012.

Amazon is revolutionizing the publishing industry. They have made author backlists valuable again, and they are paying on time, not just after a credible threat of lawsuit. The publishing industry may never recover form an innovation like that.

I also had to go to the bank to get a bank officer to sign and stamp in the appropriate box a three-page form from the French government related to my taxes on anything I earn in France. This went to my agent. I suspect the result won’t be much – for some reason I don’t sell too well in France – but the complexity of the form was revealing. Considering that we are only looking at a few hundred dollars at most, this is an awful lot of paper work. Will Rogers comment comes to mind. But the trend seems to be for America to get more government like France. Ah well.

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