Climate, and a few other matters

Mail 742 Saturday, September 22, 2012

I have a great deal of mail, but it is late and this short list will have to do.

Polar sea ice could set ANOTHER record this year

Jerry

As the arctic icecap shrinks, the Antarctic icecap grows:

http://www.theregister.co.uk/2012/09/21/arctic_antarctic_sea_ice_record/print.html

You’d think it was homeostasis or something.

Ed

Be of good cheer. Even if it is hot outside…

New E-Book: Who Turned on the Heat? The Unsuspected Global Warming Culprit — El Niño-Southern Oscillation -buffy willow-

Dr. Pournelle,

Mr. Bob Tisdale, amateur scientist and avid student of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), has recently published in an e-book results from his studies. Its currently available as a downloadable .pdf and costs a measly $8.00. Quoting his web site, "Who Turned on the Heat? weighs in at a whopping 550+ pages, about 110,000+ words. It contains somewhere in the neighborhood of 380 color illustrations. In pdf form, it’s about 23MB. It includes links to more than a dozen animations, which allow the reader to view ENSO processes and the interactions between variables."

Also from his web site, he states, "this book clearly illustrates and describes the following:

1. Sea surface temperature data for the past 30 years show the global oceans have warmed. There is, however, no evidence the warming was caused by anthropogenic greenhouse gases in part or in whole; that is, the warming can be explained by natural ocean-atmosphere processes, primarily ENSO.

2. The global oceans have not warmed as hindcast and projected by the climate models maintained in the CMIP3 and CMIP5 archives, which were used, and are being used, by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) for their 4th and upcoming 5thAssessment Reports; in other words, the models cannot and do not simulate the warming rates or spatial patterns of the warming of the global oceans—even after decades of modeling efforts.

3. Based on the preceding two points, the climate models in the CMIP3 and CMIP5 archives show no skill at being able to simulate how and why global surface temperatures warmed; that is, the climate models presented in the IPCC’s 4th and upcoming 5thAssessment Reports would provide little to no value as tools for projecting future climate change on global and regional levels."

The book is written for an educated layman to understand.

There is a preview of the book available here: http://bobtisdale.files.wordpress.com/2012/09/preview-of-who-turned-on-the-heat-v2.pdf

You can order the book here: http://bobtisdale.wordpress.com/2012/09/03/everything-you-every-wanted-to-know-about-el-nino-and-la-nina-2/. Once there, scroll down a page to find the actual transaction link and an explanation of the transaction process.

For those who saw the description "amateur scientist" and thought "What can Tisdale possibly know?", I refer you to the "Climate Science" blog run by Dr. Roger Pielke, Sr., retired professor of meteorology, where he writes, "Bob has contributed very important information on the documentation of ocean temperature patterns and trends, and this new book is a significant new addition to the climate science discussion." Here is the link: http://pielkeclimatesci.wordpress.com/2012/09/04/announcement-bob-tisdales-new-book-who-turned-on-the-heat-the-unsuspected-global-warming-culprit-el-nino-southern-oscillation/.

I knew Dr. Pielke nearly 20 years ago when I was obtaining my M.S. in Atmospheric Science from Colorado State University. He was on the staff then. I can’t recall if I took any courses from him, but I do recall him being a cordial person as well as being well grounded and fair minded. He’s probably forgotten more meteorology than I ever learned. 🙂

Jay Smith

I have been familiar with that hypothesis for a long time. It seems reasonable to me. I repeat, we know that there were dairy farms in Greenland in Viking times, and we also know that in that era growing seasons were longer across the entire Northern Hemisphere wherever we have records, from China to Sweden to Scotland to Naples. We also know that the Earth was much colder from the 15^th to the 19^th Centuries. Until climate theory accommodates those data points — Ah, well.

Jerry,

This is a dust ring around the star Fomalhaut, but it sure looks like something Larry dreamed up. (NASA-ESA Herschel photo)

John DeChancie

The Coldest Journey

Perhaps the last great challenge to human endeavor on Earth. Sir Ranulph Fiennes’ expedition will attempt to transit the 2,000 mile Antarctic continent on foot. In Winter.

Let brave men everywhere be heartened by their deed.

In the state-enforced mediocrity that is today’s socialist Britain, some still aspire to the exceptional. Perhaps among the last of their kind on the Foggy Island Off The Coast Of France.

http://www.thecoldestjourney.org/home/expedition/

Brings to mind . . .

"What a piece of work is a man!" Shakespeare _Hamlet_

"It is the incidence of heroes that matters, not the pattern of the

zeroes." – Rufo, _Glory Road_, Robert A. Heinlein

John Nichols

Made for each other: liquid nitrogen and 1,500 ping-pong balls

Jerry

The Brits really know how to do LN2 + warm water + 1500 ping pong balls:

http://www.theregister.co.uk/2012/09/22/liquid_nitrogen_and_ping_pong_balls/print.html

Enjoy.

Ed