Category Archives: View

View 746 Monday, October 15, 2012

In today’s Wall Street Journal, L. Gordon Crovitz tells us “In 1902, Jules Verne predicted novels ‘will be supplanted altogether by the daily newspaper,’ which would ‘color everyday events’ so that readers wouldn’t need well-crafted fiction to fire their imaginations.” http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10000872396390443294904578052991841553024.html Actually, the novel seems to have a better future than the newspapers; Crovitz also tells us that “A record more than 100,000 novels are now published in the U.S. and Britain each year.” He doesn’t say how many are print and how many are electronic.

The revolution in the publishing industry continues. And small computers continue to be the great equalizers…

The political strategy of the two major parties continues and will likely govern what happens in the debates. The Democrats can’t run on their record, and indeed would prefer that you didn’t look at the economic picture. They do not seem to have a program for the future that they want to sell. The attractiveness of Hope and Change carried the last presidential election, but apparently they don’t want to try that one again, nor is “We’re the ones you’ve been waiting for.”

That leaves scaring the voters away from Romney and Ryan. Don’t elect them, they’re horrible.

This pretty well dictates the Republican strategy: make no mistakes, and show that our candidates are worthy and display dignitas. We’re not scary people. We know what we are doing. We’ve given you a broad picture of what we’ll do. We’ve shown you that we care. We’re the good guys.

Given those strategies the rest of the campaign is pretty predictable. The Democrats win if the Republicans do something really frightening. Democrat strategists say they already did, with Romney’s remarks about the 47% who don’t pay income taxes, and they’ll continue to emphasize that remark as showing that Romney is not worthy to be President.

Of course the frightening thing is that we have come close to the point where more people get entitlements than pay taxes. That’s only frightening to old fashioned freedom advocates, of course. It has long been the goal of a large part of the political public, who don’t worry much about dependences and who do not believe that the Iron Law of bureaucracy dooms the best intentioned welfare state. But we’ve been through all that before. Freedom is not free. Free men are not equal. Equal men are not free. Liberty has its costs. This is a Republic, not a Democracy. And other such dull truisms, which just happen to be true, and alas are now treated as platitudes.

I can recommend the review of the Chester Finn and Jessica Hockett book Dazed and Gifted in today’s Wall Street Journal. http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10000872396390444032404578010662785531602.html?mod=googlenews_wsj

I haven’t read the book but I will order it. Finn is often worth reading.

The debate will be tonight. I expect there will be talk about “Who is the REAL Mitt Romney.”  Here is one view:

http://cnettv.cnet.com/doing-business-mormon-way/9742-1_53-50123283.html

View 745 Friday, October 12, 2012

The Wall Street Journal had an editorial entitled “The Bully vs. the Wonk”, which about summed up what happened last night. Nothing unexpected. And Benghazi was all the fault of the Intelligence Community, which appears to be an entity completely independent of the Office of the President of the United States. Does this mean we still don’t have Intelligence consolidated and we need another superagency?

Within minutes last night I got a dozen notes on how to update the iPad – I had to go to a computer that has iTunes on it, connect to that, and let it happen that way. I suppose that is obvious to Mac users but it wasn’t to me.

I still can’t get my mail. Attempts get a demand for a password for smtp.me.com for username, and I have that in my log book, but it won’t accept that, and does not offer me any alternatives than endlessly trying to retype a password that it rejects. It looks as if I’ll have to go to an Apple store anyway. This whole shift to ‘cloud’ has been handled badly. For those who use only Macs I suppose it all went smoothly enough, but during the critical period I was distracted and Apple apparently never thought there would be anyone who didn’t live and breathe with Apple only.

Anyway there has to be a procedure for forgetting a password, but I have no idea what it is, and Apple isn’t offering me anything. I don’t use or need Apple mail much, but I can’t think it was smart of them to put us through the mobile.me mess and then drop us on our heads when they decided to get out of it.

I’d appreciate advice from people who know what’s going on.

It’s time for our morning walk. Outside it’s gloomy but it’s not raining. Sable has decided that whatever was wrong with her, it’s cruel and unusual punishment not to take a Husky for at least a mile walk, and if we don’t do it we’ll regret it…  Back later.

Incidentally, the iPad still won’t access Safari. It brings up a big red sign telling me that mobile.me is dead, please go away. Very user friendly, these Apple people.  I suppose I’ll have to do something through the iMac but I have no clue as to what that should be. I suspect I need something new to replace mobile.me which went away – I can’t say without warning, but I didn’t realize that if I didn’t act fast I’d be stranded without recourse. Simplest thing to do is wait until Tuesday or so when things would be slow and go to the Apple Store. I’m hoping to revive Chaos Manor Reviews and that’s a good place to start.

I still haven’t looked under the bandages; that happens tomorrow. It’s pretty clear that it won’t look like much. I still have my nose, and it looks as if what was skin which will grow back. It’s a little painful, but nothing to worry about. Now to catch up.

Eris was over just after lunch and we set up Swan, the newest machine at Chaos Manor. I intend to revive Chaos Manor Reviews – it has been long enough – and the two new machines, Alien Artifact and Swan will be featured. Both use Thermaltake cases and power supplies. Thermaltake is expensive compared to Anrec and some other rivals, but they are also elegant; and I am coming to the conclusion that if you’re going to go to the trouble of building your own computer, you should have elegance. Our newest has a ‘toaster’ type external drive port on top – take any old hard drive and push it in, and lo! you are connected and can see what’s on it. It’s also quiet and runs cool. Swan and Alien Artifact will replace a couple of the older machines here.  And Swan runs Windows 8. I like it. Much more coming up.  I really am trying to catch up. But that of course means working on fiction too. But there’s nothing like finding that you’ve got cancer beat to get you moving again.

View 745 Wednesday, October 10, 2012

Back from my second MOHS job with some other errands like getting a blood and urine sample taken and stopping on the way home for the ingredients of a chicken salad dinner tonight. As usual, my experience with Kaiser was about as pleasant as something like that could be. They seem well organized and competent and the staff is almost invariably cheerful. I wish I could say the same for their pharmacy paperwork: when that works it works fine, but this was the month for the rollover of my credit card, and I have three times informed them on-line to use the “new” credit card – same old one, but different expiration date – and they have three times on line accepted that, only to then generate an automated telephone message, delivered in a soft voice that cannot be heard by people my age, which makes me jump through hoops to prove who I am before the inaudible voice tells me that there is a problem with my credit card. So I go back on line and it is as if I had never told them to roll over the credit card, and we go through all this again; meanwhile, the pharmacy at Kaiser won’t fill the prescription because the system says it was already mailed. One presumes that when it “accepts” the new credit card it also marks the subscription as filled – then when the system loses the credit card update it stops the shipment, but meanwhile it is shown as already shipped. And since it’s sleeping pills they are extremely cautious about it all. Thank God this didn’t happen when I was getting the radiation therapy and needed Vikodin. I’d probably still be ordering that.

Attempting to telephone them gets a round robin of automated systems each one imploring you to listen carefully as the options have changed, each one demanding numbers and other information to be sure that it’s you before putting you through to another layer that wants the same thing.

At some point I’m going to call and keep insisting on a human being who speaks loud enough that someone my age can understand. I figure that will take a couple of hours. Once I get to explain the problem to someone who can fix things I suspect it won’t take five minutes.

Kaiser is wonderful if you can get to a human, but they work pretty hard at protecting the human employees from the patients. I can understand why, I suppose, but it’s still maddening.

Or, I could take up one of the starving attorneys who bombard me with offers to sue people for me. Do I have Bubonic Plague? There’s a suit for that. Or food poisoning? Which kind? There are suits for salmonella, e coli, and at least three other forms of food poisoning, and one firm offers to sue for my dog in case she got sick from some kind of dog food. One firm of attorneys has sent me 28 offers in the last two days. I have no idea whether they are real live attorneys of course, because I am not about to visit their web site or answer their lawyerspam, but barring a couple of grammatical errors these are the works of, well, if not educated people, then at least people with some exposure to higher education. They might be lawyers. And my computer bombards me with advertisements from more lawyers who want to sue someone – nearly anyone – in my name. And there are radio advertisements for law firms. And California has some new propositions making it easier for the plaintiff bar to sue farmers and farmer markets that don’t properly label what they’re selling. I presume the big produce markets are financing the initiative, since it’s clearly designed to put any small competition out of business and confine the food service industry to those who can afford to keep lawyers on retainer.

I wonder if the people of California are stupid enough to fall for this one? They fell for a proposition putting up $6 Billion in bonds to build a high speed rail from Los Angeles up the San Andreas Fault and over the Temblor mountains and through other mountains to the San Joaquin Valley and on to San Francisco. So far the studies have cost a billion or so, the price is now above $100 Billion, and not a foot of track has been laid; and the first track to be constructed will be out in the San Joaquin from someplace no one want to be to another place no one can find. High speed rail from Bakersfield to Corcoran comes after that. And nothing can kill it. So long as there is a dime left of the bond money, there will be engineers and architects and cubicle workers to spend it until they retire. And there are other propositions for California to raise taxes so that we can pay the pensions, since pension funding commitments now amount to about half the unfunded debt for the state – and soon enough pensions will account for something like 40% of the annual budget. Since that can’t actually be sustained, it does look like interesting times ahead, what with California having top bracket sales and income taxes already, and even with our ‘stabilized’ property taxes we’re in the top half on that too. Next will be the pressure to raise property taxes.

And they never catch wise.

And Greece hates Germany because Germany won’t give Greece more money for pensions and holidays and insists that if the Germans are going to bail out Greece, Greece has to cut its profligate spending. Austerity programs, the Greeks shout, as they dress up in Nazi uniforms to denounce the Germans for not giving them more without making them spend less.

We do live in interesting times. But of course it’s a rank calumny to note that there is this tendency for democracies to vote themselves largesse from the public treasury. The Tytler Calumny, one prominent science fiction writer has called it. Since the notion comes from the time of Aristotle and almost no one has heard of Tytler this is rather odd. If you care at all about this, http://www.lorencollins.net/tytler.html has just about everything known about the subject. I warn you, it’s long and fairly dull, and I for one don’t understand why it’s important to know who said what on the subject: it was clear to the Framers of the US Constitution that a national democracy would literally vote itself everything it could get, which is why so much was left to the states; the notion of a federal republic seemed one way to allow competition in the size of taxes. Then the Feds discovered Federal Taxation with Block Grants and we got things like “Federal aid to education” with all the great benefits from that including rising illiteracy rates and high school dropout rates and the other obvious improvements brought about by federal education policies, and I think I’d better stop. That’s probably the anesthetics wearing off.

Anyway my MOHS Nose is done for the day and they’ll call tomorrow to tell me is they have to scrape off any more. But they think they got it all this time.

I understand that the President is mocking Mr. Romney for wanting to shoot Big Bird or something of the sort. Instead we should continue to borrow money so that we can spend it to keep Big Bird. Of course Big Bird doesn’t need the money: his outfit gets less than 10% of its income from public subsidies, and it’s a $200 million dollar outfit, flush with cash. Big Bird is doing just fine. So are the bankers who are loaning money to the US to spend on Big Bird.

But it hardly matters. The point is that nothing ever gets actually cut. The Bunny Inspectors got raises this year (and increases their pensions, too). All that will have to be paid with borrowed money. Of course the costs of Bunny Inspectors – paid adult civil service inspectors who go to magic acts to see if the magician uses a rabbit in the act, and if so, if the magician has a federal license for that rabbit. (If the magician feeds the rabbit to a snake as part of the act, then he doesn’t need a license; it’s only if he keeps the rabbit as a pet that puts him in license jeopardy. Or if you have rabbit hutches in your back yard and you sell pet rabbits: then you need a federal license. If you raise rabbits as pet food you may not, but the inspector needs to know about it so that —

I wish I were making all that up, but I am not, and we borrow money to pay people to do this. And yes it’s a trivial part of the budget, but we can’t stop doing it.

I seem to recall a man named Obama promising to take a laser like view of federal spending and eliminate everything that we don’t really need to be doing. I suppose that will happen during his second term?

Today’s Wall Street Journal has a review of Flynn’s new book Are We Getting Smarter http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10000872396390444180004578018480061824600.html about the Flynn Effect. The Flynn Effect is the name given to the phenomenon that average IQ scores seem to be rising, although it’s not at all clear that populations are necessarily smarter. Of course in the US the courts have prevented the use of intelligence tests for any practical purpose like hiring – I exaggerate but not by much – and the hatred express toward The Bell Curve has made it difficult to get funding for IQ studies as well as professionally dangerous to get into that field, so we know less than you might think about all this.

I’ve ordered Flynn’s book and I’ll do a review of it in due time. It’s actually a matter of importance. But I do not think we are getting smarter, exactly.

Bill Powers, President of the University of Texas at Austin, presents hie defense of using race as an admissions factor. An Admissions Policy That Prizes Diversity” http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10000872396390444004704578032164147209262.html It’s about as good a defense of the policy as I have seen. Mind you, I am still of the opinion that the law ought to be color blind, but at least he presents his reasons for his view.

The Congress is the Grand inquest of the Nation, and it is fitting that it hold an inquiry on just what went wrong at Benghazi. I look forward to the results. I can think of a dozen simple answers, but I doubt any of them is sufficient.

View 745 Monday, October 8, 2012

Things have been a bit hectic here, and I’ve fallen well behind.  Today was eaten by locusts, including taking Sable to the vet: she went Thursday last week. She’s been favoring her right front leg. We start out for a walk and she begins limping. Wednesday, the first day, this was alarming but we thought perhaps she had picked up a splinter or something, although we couldn’t find anything. Then last Thursday after a half block we brought her back home and fortunately the vet could see her later that morning.

He couldn’t find anything, and said, as you’d expect, that it was either a sprain or developing arthritis, and the only real way to find out was to wait and see. Of course being a Husky she has been driving us mad with her insistence that we go for walks. Today we did two blocks and it doesn’t look as if she’s limping, and probably not favoring that leg although that’s a bit hard to tell. So today after her show walk she got another examination, and as expected, we found nothing. But clearly things aren’t getting worse, and the decision was to wait two weeks and see if there is any reason to do xrays and other such stuff; by then it will have gone away or it won’t. For those who wonder why we’re paying so much attention to this, a couple of years ago she had a hind leg problem that started with favoring the leg end ended with the kind of operation that basketball players get. That is completely fixed, and she has no problems with that leg, and except for this latest thing she’s in very good shape for a ten year old dog, and at 55 pounds she’s just about her optimum weight. And like most Huskies she’s – well, active. Very.

And of course last Thursday I got my nose chopped on with the Mohs procedure. Today they tell me that everything is fine but they need to chop some more next Wednesday. They didn’t get it all. Apparently this is fairly common, and I can see why, since they don’t want to slice out too much. Not to worry, everyone says.

All of which has been distracting, and I haven’t got much done, and fell behind with administrivia leaving even less time for reflection on current events.

CBS 60  Minutes last night had the disturbing story of a singer named Sixto “Sugar Man” Rodriguez whose career began about the same time as that of Bob Dylan. Rodrigues was from Detroit and was ‘discovered’ by a Motown official, who arranged for the release of two albums by Rodriguez. Neither was a success and he disappeared from view for forty years. In South Africa, though, he became a huge favorite, selling more than half a million records, and becoming ‘the conscience of a generation’ among a certain segment of the population (young whites of British origin, mostly).

The disturbing thing is that Rodriguez didn’t know this. The rumor went around in South Africa that he was dead. He wasn’t. He lived in obscurity in Detroit as the city deteriorated, making a living as a handyman and sometimes performer in local venues.

There’s considerably more to the story, but the appalling fact is that Motown must have collected money from the sales in South Africa – but Rodriguez didn’t get a dime of it. If he’d got even a penny a sale from half a million records that would have been $5,000, not much, but something; but in fact he never even knew he was selling in South Africa.

If you ever wonder why recording artists tend to hate their publishers, think on that.

Authors have justified concerns about book publishers, but I don’t think of many publishing stories like that one. There was a time when publishers pretended that there was little profit in paperback sales, and the hardbound publisher insisted on taking half of the paperback royalties if a book got a paperback sale; and for a long time paperback royalties were tiny, and to this day royalty statements can be very creative; but I don’t know of any cases in which an author was a breakaway best-seller and not only got nothing for it but wasn’t even told he was selling.

There are authors of the ‘information wants to be free” school who say that there shouldn’t be intellectual property rights, and authors ought to look at the performing arts and the record industry as their model for publishing. Fortunately things haven’t worked that way in print rights, and t he electronics rights market has developed in a different way – Amazon has made backlists valuable again. Perhaps they can be so for song writers as well.

I have a new Kindle Fire HD but I haven’t had a chance to get it set up yet; the day keeps being devoured by other stuff. And I sure have a pile of interesting mail. I’m dancing as fast as I can…