Category Archives: View

View 763 Saturday, February 23, 2013

The Cable Guy showed up this morning at 0820, looked at my TV, and went out and climbed the pole. Ten minutes later we had TV and high speed Internet connection. Someone had disconnected the cable to our house up high on the pole across the street. No clue as to who had done it, but presumably a Time Warner Cable Guy working on a neighbor system. No reason why it should have been disconnected. I pay my bills. Do they do this to make work for each other? I doubt that, but I have no other explanation as to why my cable TV should be disconnected.

We missed the game last night, which of course turned out to be The Second Best Lakers game yet, and Kobe’s best game of the season (40 points). It’s always interesting when Kobe goes mad. He says he intends to keep doing that so that the Lakers will make the playoffs. It looks to be an interesting season but the Lakers have to win a lot of games to get in the playoffs. We’ll see.

The President has excoriated the Republicans for not bailing us out of the sequestration which is going to end life as we know it. He says the only way out is to keep borrowing more money – the sequestration was his idea on how to insure that we did some spending cuts when we raised the debt ceiling, but he has forgotten that I guess.  Now the only hope for the nation is to raise taxes. Supposedly on the rich because there are plenty of tax rises that will affect us all coming inevitably.

The notion is to blame the coming Depression – and that looks to be inevitable – on the sequestration, although we will be spending more next year than we did last year, and more the year after that than we will this year: the sequestration will not be a “cut” in the budget, merely a diminution of the increase that is automatically built into the budgets we don’t pass any more. And Obamacare will cost a lot of money, the 2% increase in salary tax (as opposed to income tax which hits what’s left after the 12 to 20% salary tax), inflation, raise in minimum wage, and other economic disincentives will cost more, and the incentive to expand a business is lowered, fewer businesses start – maybe we won’t hit a full Depression, but the probability is there. We are doing it to ourselves.

Minimum wages of course hit those entering the work force; they don’t yet know how to make money for their employer, and as we make it harder and harder to fire incompetent people, the reluctance to hire them to earn more than they are worth in the hopes that they will learn to produce enough to earn their starting salaries — well, you get the idea. And the schools which ought to be teaching people to be worth at least minimum wages have not been doing that – it is unlikely they will get better at it so that graduates will be worth a higher minimum wage.

Ah. Well.

Not everyone is hurt by depressions. Some do well indeed. Others scrape by. But it’s really hard on those just entering the work force. Fortunately, Story Tellers always survive, and with the eBook revolution my backlist is worth something. Unlike physical books which sell out and have to be reordered, eBooks are always on the virtual shelf and the store is always open. And Young Adult books tend to do well in times of high youth unemployment; many of my books appeal to younger readers as well as to adults. They sell well in PX stores, too. I should get through the coming worse times. And thanks to all those who subscribed or renewed during the current pledge drive. That helps a lot.

It’s time for a walk. I have a lot of mail that has accumulated. I’ll try to get some of that up tonight.

And we have this for your amusement:

Great Moments in Contemporary Publishing

February 14, 2013

This is just too good to keep to myself.

An independent bookseller I know landed a major bestselling author for a rare in-store signing. He got the word out, took advance phone and internet orders for signed copies, and called his sales rep at the publisher to make sure the books would reach him in plenty of time.

“You’ve ordered 450 copies,” the rep told him. “I’m afraid we can only ship you 200.”

Why, for God’s sake? Hadn’t they printed enough?

“No, it’s policy,” he was told. “Two hundred books is our maximum order. We can’t take the chance of huge returns, or credit problems.”

http://lawrenceblock.wordpress.com/2013/02/14/great-moments-in-contemporary-publishing/

The rest of the story is worth your time. It’s one more reason that print publishing is being eaten by Amazon

(Sunday: I intended to do mail last night, but we went out to dinner, and things caught up. And today will be the Oscars and I have an odd desire to watch them, probably because my oldest granddaughter is interested in fashion and design and will undoubtedly be watching it…)

View 763 Friday, February 22, 2013

1200 Noon. Time Warner will send a truck sometime but probably not until tomorrow. Meanwhile I am cut off from the internet. Also my television isn’t working. At all. And the feeling of helplessness is building. I am contemplating using the modem and phone line. Pathetic. I’d have to transfer all the files over to the ThinkPad and connect that to the phone lines. And of course I don’t have an antenna set up to let me get broadcast TV, which has always been lousy at Chaos Manor anyway. But I don’t miss TV. I do worry about not being connected. I wasn’t for most of my life, and now the prospect of a few hours or even a day of not being wired is scary.

Of course I could transfer all mail and other necessary files to the ThinkPad, and carry that down to the local Starbucks which happens to be next to the – now my memory fails me. The telephone network that isn’t AT&T or Verizon. I’d use the Internet to figure it out but my iPhone doesn’t work too well at connectivity because it wants to use the wireless network rather than the phone to connect to the Internet. Turn off the net connection on the iPhone. Google phone networks. Sprint. The Starbucks is next to the Sprint store and I have a Sprint data account which I ought to have given up long ago but I keep largely because it doesn’t cost much and it is an alternate way to maintain this place. So if I move everything over to the ThinkPad, then go down to the Starbucks and have a coffee as I connect to my Sprint account, I can check my mail and post this. Seems a big use of time.

The reason I have a Sprint account is that American Airlines had Sprint in all their airline lounges back in the days when I travelled a lot, and there are Sprint wireless stations along the highway to Las Vegas which I used when I went to Las Vegas for computer conventions, and other places, and I got in early enough that the rate is low so long as I keep it. So I do.

{Later. Not to spoil the fun of catching me in a glitch, it was T-Mobile I was trying to remember. I don’t have a Sprint account it’s a T-mobile account. Absent mindedness strikes again. at least I generally remember if I’ve had lunch yet.}

So if you see this today that’s probably what I did, although it’s just barely possible that Time Warner will get here today and fix everything. It’s clear the fault is theirs, and there is nothing I can do.

I probably mentioned this before, but it’s not easy to check – unlike Front Page, which I liked a lot even if all my advisors thought it was hokey and out of date, the Windows Live Writer system I use for this journal doesn’t keep local copies of everything so it’s hard to see whether I have or not. Anyway the Forbes for March 4, 2013 has a High Science column on zero gravity research that describes pretty well what my son Richard’s company NanoRacks does: it sells space on the International Space Shuttle. If you can pretty well automate your experiment in a cubic foot or two, they can get it up there and back down. For a price, of course, but they can tell you about grants available for universities and even high schools. And NanoRacks can tell you cheaper ways to do what you want. I’d give the link but I can’t because I can’t connect to the Internet yet. Astonishing how dependent we get on being wired up.

There’s talk of doom and gloom as the sequestration approaches, and the Administration is running in circles flapping their arms like a local school board telling the district that any cut in the budget will end football and college prep courses and everything else so that the students will have to sit hungry in classrooms without a teacher unless taxes are raised. The truth is that under the sequestration the US will spend more this year than last, and next year than this. The “cut” is in the amount of budget increase, not in actual spending. It seems to me that the whole government would be better off for an across the board 2% cut – actual cut, spend 2% less money next year than last. There’s 2% waste and monkey motion in every department. I note that the Department of Agriculture is threatening to lay off food inspectors, but there’s no talk of firing bunny inspectors. Every department has people doing things we don’t need done, particularly since we have to borrow the money in order to do them.

Bunny inspectors, for those who don’t know, look for people keeping rabbits as pets and offering them for sale – or using them in a stage performance. Bunny inspectors go to stage magic shows and if the performance employs a pet rabbit they demand to see the federal license the magician must have, and no, I am not making this up. By the way, if the rabbit is killed in the act, say eaten alive, you don’t need a federal license. You may be in trouble with the ASPCA but not with the Department of Agriculture. And the bunny inspectors won’t be laid off under the sequestration. I bet if there were a 2% cut in the DOA’s budget they’d go. If not, a bigger cut would be in order…

It is 1600. I have not heard from Time Warner. I will transfer files to the ThinkPad and go down to the Starbucks to get this posted. I won’t be dealing with mail until Time Warner fixes things. It went out at 1012 this morning and I had called them before 1100.

I just called TW and they tell me that there is a repairman scheduled to come between 8 and 9 tomorrow.  We’ll be waiting. I am now off to where I can see the Sprint wireless connection.

1800: It wasn’t sprint it was the other,  T-mobile, I have an account with and maintains wireless stuff, but they did not have theirs up when I drove down to Starbucks so I came home and activated the little AT&T thingy that is a sort of cell phone for 3G data.  It is not cheap, but not that expensive, and it is what I used to use on the road.  The procedures for buying more time on it have been improved. It turned out to be pretty easy, and that’s what I am using, with the ThinkPad on a table and all the other big powerful machines looking on jealously.  I usually use the ThinkPad up in the monk’s cell so they don’t see. Anyway it works, and that’s what I am using here.

I very much thank Mike Johns. The first Nook posting of Legend of Black Ship Island by Niven, Pournelle, and Barnes had some glaring errors which must have irritated the heck out of readers.  Mike Johns called it to my attention last December, and we pulled it down and checked the formatting.  Authors ought always to do their own proof reading of eBooks. Like galley slavery. It’s just necessary. We put the new version up on Nook and Kindle. Amazon has posted the new one (did at once when we fixed it) and all is well now. If you have not read it, it’s a novelette set in the Legacy of Heorot series, and takes place after Legacy but before Beowulf’s Children: the youngsters have a secret that the adults are never to know.  It was tricky to work in the story since it is never mentioned in Children,but we explain why, and also shed a bit more light on how the teenagers are developing.

Those Avalon stories have been fun. We show you new forms of life, but it’s still a tiny human presence on a new planet, with limited resources, and a generation gap like you wouldn’t believe except of course we want you to believe it…  If you haven’t read it, I think you’ll like it.

View 763 Wednesday, February 20, 2013

I’ve been busy, but I have heard something on the radio that is infuriating.

The soldiers wounded at Fort Hood by the terrorist are not eligible for the Purple Heart, and their injuries have been rated as “workplace accidents” rather than combat wounds. They are thus denied the benefits of those wounded in combat. The shooting is an industrial accident not combat in the war on terror.  So has it been ruled and so the President decrees.

This is to save money.

Beware the fury of the Legions

We had been told, on leaving our native soil, that we were going to defend the sacred rights conferred on us by so many of our citizens settled overseas, so many years of our presence, so many benefits brought by us to populations in need of our assistance and our civilization.

We were able to verify that all this was true, and, because it was true, we did not hesitate to shed our quota of blood, to sacrifice our youth and our hopes. We regretted nothing, but whereas we over here are inspired by this frame of mind, I am told that in Rome factions and conspiracies are rife, that treachery flourishes, and that many people in their uncertainty and confusion lend a ready ear to the dire temptations of relinquishment and vilify our action.

I cannot believe that all this is true and yet recent wars have shown how pernicious such a state of mind could be and to where it could lead.

Make haste to reassure me, I beg you, and tell me that our fellow-citizens understand us, support us and protect us as we ourselves are protecting the glory of the Empire.

If it should be otherwise, if we should have to leave our bleached bones on these desert sands in vain, then beware of the anger of the Legions!

Marcus Flavinius,
Centurion in the 2nd Cohort of the Augusta Legion,

The above appears as epigraph for Lartegy’s The Centurions. The Fort Hood horror brings it to mind. It may not be authentic, or it may have been rewritten; but it rings true.

Purple Heart

If what you are saying is true about Fort Hood killings is true, there should be a lynch mob outside of the Capitol and Pentagon tomorrow and we should both be joining it…..

Bill

Tar and feathers, perhaps.  It seems to be true enough.  The survivors of the Fort Hood massacre were not wounded in combat, those killed were not killed in action, and the Major was not a terrorist. It was officially an incidence of workplace violence, not an act of war against the United States. By that logic so was the attack on the World Trade Center.

http://www.examiner.com/article/president-s-policy-denies-purple-heart-to-fort-hood-terrorist-attack-victims

http://www.twincities.com/localnews/ci_21917280/ruben-rosario-widow-fort-hood-massacre-feels-wounded

View 763 Tuesday, February 19, 2013

I thought I had posted something yesterday just before leaving Boston, but apparently I did not or it didn’t come through or something. Tuesday I left the hotel early with a view to having breakfast in the airport and spending the time waiting for my airplane in United’s Red Carpet lounge. That worked, but I wasn’t in any rush to break out my ThinkPad and connect it to the Internet. I did use the MacBook Air to make some notes and get a little work done, but I don’t use it for eMail or publishing my journal. Mostly I read 1491 on my Kindle Fire. The Fire fits in my pocket, can be read in the dark or in a well lighted room, and the battery lasts about 12 hours. I know this because I had charged it overnight before I left Boston, and it ran out of power while I was in the Prime Time Shuttle on the way to USC before we went to Glendale on the way to Studio City, and no, no one in his right mind would go to Studio City by way of USC and then Glendale; but we’ll get to that later. Anyway I estimate I had been running the Fire pretty continuously for 12 hours without recharging by that time.

Memo to myself and anyone else using a Kindle Fire: it runs longer than an iPad but it’s not the old Kindle. This has an active screen and you need to recharge every now and then. Fortunately the rechargeable is small and will fit in your briefcase or flight bag> I could have recharged mine in the Red Carpet club at any time, and I’ve never really had a problem finding a source of electrons even in general airport waiting areas. It doesn’t take long to top up the Kindle Fire. And it really does work for 12 hours, and warns you when you are down to 15%, and again at about 3%. When it runs out it turns off without further warnings.

My scheme seemed to be working. The Red Carpet Club is pleasant enough offering all kinds of facilities for getting some work done. As with most airlines United has some of their best employees in the Club lounge, and they can straighten out any ticket problems. I didn’t really have any. Well, I did, in that I was supposed to have had an uninterrupted flight from Boston to LA, but due to the snowstorms I was routed to change planes in Dulles, adding a couple of hours to the travel time. Ah well. In due time I got on the airplane – at my age I get automatic preboarding meaning I get to get in there and sit down before the charging hordes come. I had an aisle seat, which works just fine for me.

In the glory days of BYTE I generally traveled business class or first class. Of course Convention Committees and the NESFA Press don’t pay first class fares for their guests but in the old days I flew often enough to computer shows and publicity events that I could always upgrade a ticket. But I have also found that regular tourist class isn’t unpleasant in an aisle seat where I can stretch out my legs. I can read, and while there is generally nothing like enough room to work with the ThinkPad, I used to work well with my wonderful old Compaq tablet, and even the MacBook Air can sort of be used unless the guy in front of me puts his seat all the way back. I’d been comfortable enough on the way to Boston.

This plane, though, was a B757-200 and it was uncomfortable enough even in an aisle seat that I made a note that it was a torture seat, but it would have to do. And I could stretch my feet out into the aisles.

The flight to Dulles was uneventful. We got all our possessions out. I headed for the connecting flight. Not enough time to make it worth while to stop at the club. Got to the gate in time for pre-boarding, got aboard. All was well.

So there I was, settled in, possessions distributed properly. I called Roberta to tell her I was on the way home – when the Captain announced they were testing an engine. That went on for a while. Then there was another test. And another.

After a bit more than an hour of tests, we were told that as soon as the gate agents arrived we would deplane. Someone would tell us what to do next.

I don’t know what the other passengers did. I went to the United Club and put myself in their hands, and a pleasant young lady arranged to get me on a flight leaving at 8 PM – but was unable to get me an aisle seat. She could get me a window seat. I figured that would have to do. Now to find dinner. I stood in line at the Wendy’s but a gaggle of teen age girls bound for somewhere had reached that line just before me, and the line was moving very slowly. I was afraid I would miss pre-boarding and prepared to graze off a pocketful of cheese and crackers available from the Club – which was just next to the gate I was to depart from – but discovered a thing called Pretzel Dog, which makes hot dogs with a pretzel wrapping. It sounded intriguing so I got a big one, and I can recommend Pretzel Dogs with Mango Lemonade as an emergency dinner.

I made full use of pre-boarding to get myself established in the window seat with my possessions distributed properly. The output of the sound system left something to be desired and when I fished out the earphones and plugged them in I found that the output jack for the English channel was monaural. I could jiggle it a bit and hear a burst of sound in both ears, but it was steady only in monaural. I wrote that up with the seat number in my little pocket notebook and tore out the page to give to the steward, but whether he actually wrote up a trouble ticket I don’t know.

The flight was uneventful if uncomfortable. Windows seats are not comfortable in a B-757. The “movie” screen is a tiny thing out of the overhead every three seats. In my case there was one directly above me and thus invisible meaning I was at maximum distance from the screen ahead. The movie was Wreckit Ralph, which doesn’t seem to require close inspection for subtle scenes and is good enough in monaural although the volume control had only two settings, too soft for me to hear and uncomfortably loud, so I spent the movie switching the headphone to put the working can on one ear and then the other. Fortunately there I didn’t miss any subtle lines. Actually despite seeing it in about the worst conditions possible, it was amusing enough to take my mind off the long and uncomfortable trip.

I also read on my Kindle from time to time, finished 1491 and made a few notes, and started a police procedural which was pretty good. So all told I had something to do on the flight.

We got in about midnight. I had previously engaged Prime Time Shuttle and prepaid as well. Of course the plane that it thought I would come in on didn’t arrive, but the dispatcher knew who I was and said that another would be along shortly. After a frustrating hour watching Super Shuttles come and go at a rate of perhaps three SS shuttles to one Prime Time, one arrived and I was told it would go to USC and Studio City. Those places aren’t even remotely connected neither being on the way to the other, but at that hour I wasn’t going to complain. We got to USC and delivered three young female students to three different places – no one was going to complain about making sure they got to their front door safely in that neighborhood – and headed for the Harbor Freeway.

It didn’t take the interchange to the Hollywood Freeway but continued up to the little tunnels and the turnoff to I5. That’s not the usual way to get from the Convention Center to Studio City, but it’s not all that much further than way, and perhaps, I thought, he had some information I didn’t have. Then he turned east on the Ventura Freeway. To Glendale. I had thought I was the last passenger but apparently there was one left in back.

What with one thing and another it was 4 AM when I got home. Actually, that was 0100 local time but it felt like 4 AM. But I was home, all was well, my Kindle was out of power but everything worked. I took the time to let the ThinkPad update Outlook on my main machine (this one) then went to bed.

And all is well. I suppose Prime Time did the best it could given the hour and the terminal, so I can’t really get that unhappy about it taking longer to get from LAX to Studio City than it had taken to get from Boston to Dulles, but I did note that Super Shuttle seems to have more vehicles in service, and left the airport with fewer passengers than Prime Time.

In future I think I am going to insist on flying out of Burbank airport. It’s a lot easier to get to and get out of. But then I don’t expect to do all that much travelling.

A few observations. The TSA people seemed determined to be seen as nice people. They worked hard at it. Given that it’s Kabuki Security Theater that can’t be easy, and of course I only saw LAX, Logan, and Dulles TSA in action; but I have to say they no longer seem on a mission to be as unpleasant at possible. Airline people are thinner on the ground than they used to be, but the overworked gate agents and flight crews seem also to be working at being pleasant, and the staff in the United Club especially so. I have life memberships in almost all the major airlines but I never did with United, but my Continental Airlines life memberhip was good enough and indeed on the spot they made up a new United life member card for me. I still have the President’s Club card from Continental.

In the BYTE days I went to a lot of conventions in New York, Chicago, Atlanta, and I had to get to Peterborough once or twice a year. It was hectic, but less wearying than travel seems to be now. Of course at my age almost anything is more wearying than it used to be.

I find on reflection that I ought to have stayed in Boston for a few more days to go to the AAAS meeting, but now that I am home I have to say I am glad I didn’t. Perhaps something interesting will happen at AAAS.

Many years ago at the arrangement of my friend Rolf Sinclair I had dinner with Chris Chyba, who first proposed the details of how the Tunguska event could have been a stony asteroid that exploded in mid air converting all its kinetic energy into a heat blast without anything of any significance hitting the ground. I listened in fascination, and it seemed very reasonable. The pressure in front of the stony asteroid builds up until it is greater than the force that holds the rock together. The result is that the asteroid bursts into powder, and all the energy of motion is released all at once in a mighty blast. When I first heard that I marveled and didn’t quite believe it but play with the numbers and you’ll see it works.

And indeed the Siberia event last week makes it pretty clear that Chyba was right. If you Google Tunguska Meteor Theory you will find several web sites that say they don’t understand how you can get a blast without anything actually hitting the ground, and I sympathize; it doesn’t seem very intuitive that a 200 kiloton event can happen without physical impact.

But that’s how it happens, and the Siberia Event pretty well confirms it. Some estimates are that events with energy released from 1 to 30 kilotons happen a dozen times a year. After all 80% of the Earth is water and more is uninhabited or at least not inhabited by people wired in, and depending on the entry angle many to most of the events happen at very high altitudes. A 20 kiloton explosion with no radiation going off at very high altitude won’t have much effect on the ground, and if it happens at sea or over areas of sparse population it will be seen as a flash of light and heard as thunder – if anyone sees or hears it at all. Megaton events like Tunguska are more rare. Gene Shoemaker estimated once in 300 years. That’s still scary.

And we do have the Biblical account of a blast that destroyed an army about to take Jerusalem, and a sixth century bishop describes a blast that destroyed a village in France. And there are probably other stories of the like that were not taken seriously.

Note that by definition a meteorite hits the ground. Tunguska like the recent Siberian event was a meteor.

I will miss talking about stuff like this with the science press corps at AAAS. It sure would have been more fun than what I did yesterday. Ah well.

I found some interesting time lines in the book by Charles Mann, 1491. The thesis of the book is that the New World had as large and possibly larger populations than the Old World in 1491 before Columbus brought in smallpox. By the time the explorers got into the interiors the populations were small. The ecology was a mess. He makes his case persuasively but of course it remains controversial. More on that another time, but I did find the book very interesting, and some of the timelines fascinating.

As it happens I am publishing in a week or so the California Sixth Grade Reader used from 1914 well into the 1920’s. I have added a few items that would have been encountered in earlier readers, such as Hiawatha. Interestingly, 1491 estimates that maize, what we call corn, appears in the Five Nation area around the Great Lakes about the year 1000 AD, changing some of the various confederated nations to adopt ways more like cultivators than hunter/gatherers. It is from them that the first Old World settlers learned the cultivation of corn.

And I have a lot more to do. Mail when I can get to it. I’m back from Boston…

Roland informs me that his iPad runs about as long as the Kindle Fire, 12-14 hours.  I did use the fire to make a number of notes while I was reading the book, and I am sure that writing notes uses more power than just displaying text.  I also did some highlighting. I started reading on the Fire about 1100, and it turned itself off in the Prime Time van at something like 0200 (I didn’t reset my watch to LA time until I got home). The Fire was off some of the time, so 12-14 hours is about right.  I never tried reading that long on the iPad, but I would suppose it was interesting. One of my colleagues on a panel at Boskone had an iPad mini and I was greatly impressed. It looks carryable.  The regular iPad is just too large for most safari suit pockets.  Niven carries his Fire in a travel vest he habitually wears. And everything gets better with each new issue. Ain’t Moore’s Law great?

http://blogs.forbes.com/alexknapp/page/2/

High Science   Forbes March 4, 2013

Has an article on NanoRacks, at one point quoting my son Richard Pournelle who is senior vice president for business development. The article is on biological research in space.