THE VIEW FROM CHAOS MANOR View 162 July 16 - 22, 2001 |
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This week: | Monday
July 16, 2001
In another discussion group the topic of reassessment of Viet Nam came up. I wrote this for it, and decided it belongs here also: About 10 years ago I did a lecture to the Air War College at Maxwell where I said that Viet Nam was a successful campaign of attrition in the Seventy Years War, and was in fact one of the decisive campaigns of that war -- and a mighty US Victory. The cream of the jest was that the USSR believed the US Left and convinced itself that Viet Nam was a Soviet victory. This encouraged them to believe they could project national power in our despite, and to go into Afghanistan, where they managed to be on the wrong end of yet another war of attrition. Viet Nam was a US success because a great part of Soviet transport production including trucks and such was built in the USSR, transported at great expense to Viet Nam and destroyed by USAF. When North Viet Nam invaded the South in 1975 they had more armor than the Wehrmacht had at Kursk, and more trucks than Patton ever had in the Red Ball Express. This was all replacements for similar amounts of materiel destroyed in 1973 when the US at a cost of 663 US casualties aided ARVN in repulsing a 150,000 troop invasion -- fewer than 40,000 ever got back home -- bringing with it more tanks than the Wehrmacht had at Kursk and more trucks than Patton ever had -- none of which ever got home. Viet Nam helped convert the USSR into Bulgaria with missiles. They neglected their own infrastructure to send materiel to Viet Nam for us to destroy. In the 60's I had a 3-way TV debate with Allard Lowenstein and McGeorge Bundy. Allard finally looked at me and said "Jerry, you want to win it and get out." I nodded. "I just want to get out. But your friends there " -- he pointed to Bundy -- "want to lose it and stay in." I was I think for the only time in my life in a nationally televised debate -- or indeed any debate -- silenced, because he was right. Of course that was the right strategy: to appear to be losing and stay in. I doubt Bundy or Johnson or any of the generals understood that. I think Possony did. At the time I did not; it was only later that I realized that a war of attrition was precisely what would bring the USSR low, after which the threat to negate the missiles and turn them into just another 3rd world country brought them down.
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This week: | Tuesday, July
17, 2001
Today is our 42nd Anniversary. That answers all questions... Roland calls attention to:
Subject: Windows XP Activation Cracked: Will these folks be the next ones hauled off in chains? It seems they have the story on XP Activation, and it's simpler to defeat than you might suppose... As to hauled off in chains, see Mail.
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This week: |
Wednesday, July
18, 2001
I am home. The implications of the Adobe-forced criminal law enforcement of the Millennium Copyright Act are severe and profound. Some readers are calling for a boycott on Adobe. I would think the Constitutional implications are severe. I have here a piece of software which I or you claim will decrypt some other piece of software. I have not used it. I am arrested for distributing it. Now how is this different from my having a sledge hammer, which can be used for house breaking, or a pistol, neither of which I have used in any criminal act? This looks serious. See Thoughtcrime and Thoughtcrime 2.
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This week: |
Thursday,
July 19, 2001 Went hiking with Niven today. He can bend his knee a certain amount, so we were able to have a good walk. Alas, I seem to run out of energy easily and I think we are coming down with something. I hope nothing serious. There is an important worm alert in mail. It is not likely to have an impact on your home system but it can be serious for system operators. See Mail.
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This week: |
Friday,
July 20, 2001
A Code Red announcement from Cisco. Cisco Systems users take heed. I sent a mailed alert message to subscribers last night. I have mail this morning from several subscribers whose logs show attempts to attack their systems. This thing is out there and wild and it's well to know about it. Air Conditioning wallah supposed to be here shortly. Otherwise nothing to stop me from getting a real day's work done. I hope. And indeed the air conditioner is fixed at last. Not that it is needed today, but it's done. I wrote this for a discussion in the SFWA forum, but perhaps it belongs here as well. The context was the Adobe/FBI incident at DefCon, and a reply to some heavy remarks I made to a colleague who suggested that intellectual property thieves ought to be punished severely: The proper remedy here is not simple, but it is certainly not rigorous enforcement of the existing law with the possibility of locking a hacker in a cell with an amorous and probably diseased rapist. One need not be ironical to say this is not a good thing to do, and may create mortal enemies, not only of the abused individual, but also of his friends, many of whom are pretty smart cookies capable of doing some really bad things as revenge. I know. They write to me for advice. As to making this a practical discussion, first we have to agree that the law needs changing. I have not seen that conceded yet, and my, to you too heavy handed, remarks were addressed to that task. Once it is agreed that the law needs changing then perhaps we can work on what changes make sense. As for instance: there is a vast difference between my working in your company and stealing information and then publishing it; or my working in a government lab (which I have done) and taking classified information which I have agreed I will not reveal under pains and penalties I agreed to, and publishing it. I give an example: In 1964 during the Goldwater election Goldwater said we ought to bomb the Ho Chi Minh Trail wherever it was including in Laos. Lyndon Baines Johnson, President of these United States, said "That is the most triggerhappy suggestion I ever heard, and shows that Goldwater is too dangerous to be President." I had on my desk STRIKE PHOTOS of our bombing efforts on the Ho Chi Minh Trail IN LAOS. We were already doing it, and I knew for a fact that McNamara and Johnson knew it because they approved the targets. I thought seriously of going public with the photos, but I did not, because I had sworn I would not do that. I wasn't terribly worried about consequences after the Ellsworth case. I did think it probably would not have affected the election. Had I thought it would be crucial to the election I don't know what I would have done. But my point is that my action would and should have been illegal. Now suppose I did not work for the government, and I took some LandSat photos published by the government and enhanced them in ways that showed we were bombing the Ho Chi Minh Trail in Laos. Should I be jailed for publishing the algorithm I used? I don't work for the government and I have stolen NOTHING. I have cracked someone else's codes and enhanced his data. Is that criminal? Should it be criminal? I could add considerably more. Note that this was for an author's forum. Authors by definition want intellectual property protection. But surely there is a difference between my cracking your code, doing so from my own resources, and my stealing your property? If your code is stupid then why should I be jailed for publishing the algorithm for cracking a stupid code. But almost by definition a cipher that can be cracked is a stupid one...
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This week: | Saturday,
July 21, 2001 Saw the film A.I. tonight. Can't say I much cared for it. The theatre was nearly empty -- but there were were a number of small children at the 7:00 PM showing. I do NOT recommend this film for children. I would think it far more frightening than a standard horror flick. While the creatures destroyed by nighmarish violence in some of the scenes are "mecca" or robots, they are very human-like robots, and one is a "Nanny" robot, very motherly. It's clear she's a robot and not a human but her end is quite gruesome. I would seriously advise against taking young children to this film, particularly if there is any kind of separation anxiety to be anticipated. The ending isn't going to make them happy either.
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This week: | Sunday,
July 22, 2001 I have a short trip next week, so in preparation I have been making up kits of the pills I take daily. Ye gods. But it's better to make up Baggies of them than to take the entire chemistry lab. I expect I am making some fairly expensive urine, but I do seem to be considerably better in health and alertness than people my age were when I was younger. I am old enough to be considered "old" now, but I don't feel that way. At least not always. But it is sure one big bag of pills every morning, and not all that small a bunch at night... I have posted an FPRI summary of the China situation that I think worth your attention. I will by evening have some summaries on the Condition Red worm: it was indeed nasty. Subscribers were warned by email as soon as I knew about it. I also posted the warning, of course. I cannot resist posting this: Catherine doing a mug shot. She cracks us up. For a more traditional shot of grandmother and granddaughter,
I do not usually post press releases, much less give them a special page all their own, but this one is different: To see what is going on, see the report.
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