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Mail 467 May 21 - 27, 2007

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Monday  May 21, 2007

APOLOGIES: I haven't time to clean up the links. JEP

Subject: Letter from England

Sometimes an e-mail client inserts white space into a URL for formatting purposes, and cutting and pasting URLs into other programmes may have the same effect. According to RFC 2396 (URI Generic Syntax, <http://www.ietf.org/rfc/rfc2396.txt>), if the URL is enclosed in angle brackets (<>), it should still be parseable despite being spread over more than one line. As an experiment, the first news story below has the URL inserted four different ways, so that we can see which ones work after this letter is in the blog. The remaining URLs in this letter have been inserted using a single approach, so they should all work or all fail.

Gordon Brown has baggage:

http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/comment/columnists/matthew_parris/ article1811270.ece  <http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/comment/columnists/matthew_parris/ article1811270.ece>  <http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/comment/columnists/ matthew_parris/article1811270.ece>  http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/comment/columnists/matthew_parris/ article1811270.ece  

http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/comment/columnists/michael_portillo/ article1814153.ece  Vision of a nuclear future for the UK

http://observer.guardian.co.uk/politics/story/0,,2084016,00.html

Tax stories...

<http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/main.jhtml?xml=/news/2007/05/20/nbenef20.xml>   http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/main.jhtml?xml=/news/2007/05/20/ nbins20.xml http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/main.jhtml?xml=/news/2007/05/20/ nhips20.xml  http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/main.jhtml?xml=/news/2007/05/19/ nmotors19.xml

 Bureaucracy...

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/main.jhtml?xml=/news/2007/05/20/ nimm20.xml  http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/main.jhtml?xml=/news/2007/05/20/ npolice20.xml  http://news.independent.co.uk/uk/transport/article2562759.ece  http://news.independent.co.uk/uk/politics/article2562741.ece 

The past of the NHS

http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/story/0,,2083837,00.html 

The BAE scandal approaches the prime minister

http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/uk/article1813808.ece 

Blair under fire in Iraq

http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/uk/article1813807.ece 

Prince Harry and the Ministry of Defence.

http://observer.guardian.co.uk/uk_news/story/0,,2084036,00.html 

(Historically, the role of the upper class lieutenant in the UK is to die bloodily in front of his men, thus showing them that God truly has a sense of justice, or at least a sense of humour.)

MPs vote to remove themselves from the Freedom of Information Act requirements.

http://observer.guardian.co.uk/politics/story/0,,2084025,00.html 

Exams in UK schools

http://observer.guardian.co.uk/uk_news/story/0,,2083851,00.html  http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/main.jhtml?xml=/news/2007/05/19/ nedu19.xml  

Social mobility in the UK (cf. Lake Wobegon...)

http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/comment/columnists/minette_marrin/ article1813865.ece  http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/main.jhtml?xml=/news/2007/05/20/ nrclass20.xml  http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/comment/columnists/ guest_contributors/article1813866.ece  

 Return of the Cold Warriors

http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/europe/article1813562.ece

UK coverage of the latest Michael Moore story

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/entertainment/6672515.stm 

Mars bars to eliminate the recently added animal products

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/uk/6673549.stm 

CO2 risk factor--decreased absorption by the Polar Ocean

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/sci/tech/6665147.stm 

Bird flu back in China

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/asia-pacific/6672661.stm 

Contaminated blood story

http://observer.guardian.co.uk/uk_news/story/0,,2083842,00.html 

Speculation on a comet strike about 13000 years ago

http://observer.guardian.co.uk/world/story/0,,2083758,00.html 

Computing stories from Slashdot

http://yro.slashdot.org/article.pl?sid=07/05/19/0351234
 http://it.slashdot.org/article.pl?sid=07/05/19/1427240 

-- "If they do that with marks and grades, should they be trusted with experimental data?" Harry Erwin, PhD

The Prince Harry story has elements of tragedy as well as farce. Alas.

====================d

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Tuesday,  May 22, 2007

L.A. gang members go union.

http://www.latimes.com/news/local/
la-me-union21may21,0,3055017,full.story

--- Roland Dobbins

===============

Subject: Vanderbilt today

Jerry,

I did my undergraduate physics at Vanderbilt University, and it was a scholarship and merit based institution when I was there in the 60s. For the last few years I have been sending them a contribution for the A&S college (the science majors were found there). I stopped sending money in 2006 because the new Chancellor was busily hiring black faculty members because they were black -- not because of any academic merit.

Also programs such as diaspora studies and other voodoo sciences seem to be the rage now.

http://sitemason.vanderbilt.edu/aframst 

If Fred Thompson took a look around the campus today he would find more than military history missing.

Jim Dodd

LCDR Jim Dodd, USN (Ret.)

San Diego

alas

=========

Honorable Doctor J.,

In the reports I have read of the immigration bill passed this past week in the Senate, I noted that there is one rather glaring and obvious line item missing.

While there is provision for the hiring of up to 18,000 (eighteen-thousand) new Border Patrol officers, there is not, so far as I have been able to ascertain, any provision whatsoever for the several thousand Federal penitentiary cells that will be required.

Required, I mean to say, for the incarceration of that sadly inevitable percentage of those 18,000 (eighteen-thousand) new Border Patrol officers who will take their oath seriously and actually attempt to prevent illegal entry of these United States.

I think a modest proposal for such a line item is in order when the bill goes into those joint committees for revision, don't you?

Petronius

==========

Some comments in support of JDow (as she used to be called on BIX)

Dear Jerry,

I've seen her comments as referenced in your page, I've always have had great respect for her since BIX days as everything she says and I've been able to check is supported by fact, at least to the degree I was able to check it.

Of course this goes for most of your correspondents so this would seem to show that people that send their mail to you are unusually well informed and smart in their choice of subject matter.

However this article throws additional light on points she has already made on the moslem religious education process, how can we ever be certain of what they are really saying? Well these people seem to be working on that and as far as I'm able to ascertain what they say makes sense. I use the qualifier because my knowledge of arabic is minimal, but I do know the region and I do know for a fact that many arabs are trying to move into israeli controlled territories due to the simple fact that life is better (and more predictable) there than in any of the palestinian controlled areas, much might be said for a kleptocracy that at least keeps the roads open and hospitals working (besides maintaining some semblance of law and order, if only to skim the top) but it seems that in their internal civil war the palestinians have lost even the power to do that, assuming they ever had it.

In any event here is the post's reference:

 http://www.jpost.com/servlet/Satellite?apage=1&cid=
1178708655773&pagename=JPost%2FJPArticle%2FShowFull 

 

Thanks and keep up the good work

Ariel

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Wednesday, May 23, 2007

Mercenaries in Al Anbar Province

Mr. Pournelle-

You've mentioned mercenaries several times when you expound on your ideas for stabilizing Iraq. This article: http://fightin6thmarines.vox.com/ (it was up on 22 May '07) about the new PSF forces being put together seems to indicate a step being taken toward just that. The central Iraqi government is starting to pay and train locals to defend themselves. I would be interested to know what you think about the matter.

-Ethan Skarstedt

I don't have enough information to know. It certainly sounds like a good idea, but the details are always important.

========

Predicting Horse Race Outcomes

Jerry,

Bud Goode, who did significant work analyzing NFL statistics using multiple regression analysis, attempted to use the same techniques on Horse Racing. He discovered that he could not explain enough of the variance to overcome the amounts taken out of the pari-mutual pool by the Track and the State. If there were no money removed from the pool it would be possible to develop a betting strategy that would be profitable. This would NOT predict individual races with any reliability.

Essentially, attempting to provide weather forecasts or forecasts of weather producing events is similar to attempting to predict the outcome of an individual horse race. If there were no random events affecting the weather then it might be possible to provide reliable long term weather and climate forecasts. However, there are many random events that affect weather and climate. In this case any unknown or unaccounted for phenomenon could be considered a random event.

Bob Holmes

And we cannot predict solar variability and undersea volcanic activity. We can't even predict El Nino events. A high tech reporter from Physics Today wanted to interview us and probably will tomorrow; but it was a bit depressing because he spent the day talking to Global Warming people. The attack is relentless.

=========

Black Holes Merge

http://www.usatoday.com/tech/science/space/
2007-05-17-merging-black-holes_N.htm   

"Scientists have pinpointed the precise locations of a pair of supermassive black holes at the centers of two colliding galaxies 300 million light-years away."

Charles Brumbelow

Wow

=========

subscription fraud

Found a pretty good breakdown of this activity in a past AutoWeek editorial. However, it doesn't answer your question about criminality. Several decades ago there were nomadic operators who "hired" (I'm not certain they ever actually paid them) young adults to pretend to be college students and hawk bogus and/or overpriced subscriptions door to door. I wonder if these can be the very same...

http://tinyurl.com/2xvl8u

http://www.autoweek.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=
/20061124/FREE/61120018&SearchID=73274450409955   

Dan

No the "subscription service" that sends me bills seems unrelated to the others. I recall sending them money a couple of years ago. Now I just toss their stuff. The are not silly enough to send postage paid envelopes, alas.

=========

Subject: Prince Harry

Since Harry was supposed to be a ground troop, I don't imagine it would have taken the various unfriendlies in Iraq much time to learn where he was stationed. As soon as this information was learned, I imagine that everyone stationed with Harry would have been at significantly higher risk. This could have been avoided if there had not been a huge hullabaloo when Harry was originally scheduled to deploy. If the U.K. treats Harry differently (huge press release), it's no surprise that the enemy also would treat Harry differently (hoping for huge press release). Lesson to future serving notables -- serve quietly.

Rene Daley

Possibly. The troops I have known would be proud to have a prince in their regiment.

========

Waldo...Or Outsourcing Surgery

Since Nashville is home to Vanderbilt University Medical School and Hospital, it has fairly frequent medically-related conferences, Dr. Pournelle.

Here is a report on one held recently, where remote surgery and remote diagnostics were demonstrated.

http://www.tennessean.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=
/20070515/BUSINESS01/705150333/1003  

"In a hotel exhibit hall, an engineer from SRI International, a nonprofit research group based in Menlo Park, Calif., controlled a remote-controlled surgical robot under 65 feet of water off the Florida Keys to operate on simulated blood vessels.

"Each time he moved a robotic arm in Nashville, it triggered a similar action in a robotic arm underwater off Key Largo, Fla., where six researchers are stationed.

"The mission marks the first time an ultrasound or imaging tool has been manipulated from a distant site, said Doarn, principal investigator and project manager.

"The technology demonstrated Monday, however, won't be commercially available for another five to 10 years, Doarn [Charles R. Doarn, associate professor of surgery and biomedical engineering at the University of Cincinnati] said."

"BlueCross BlueShield of Tennessee, the state's largest health plan, for instance, considers telemedicine "investigational," meaning there's not enough scientific evidence that supports effects of the technology on health-care outcomes, said Mary Thompson, a spokeswoman.

"The health plan, however, pays for X-rays read in another location by radiologists, for transmissions of heart beat signals to a recorder that produces a visual record, and for recording and transmission of electronic brain activity, she said."

"Before physicians can begin treating large numbers of patients from distant cities, more doctors will have to switch from old-fashioned paper files to electronic medical records that can be viewed online anywhere in the world..."

There are a couple of pictures currently on this site.

Charles Brumbelow

========

The ash heap of history?

http://www.economist.com/books/
displaystory.cfm?story_id=9142406

- Roland Dobbins

Indeed.

=========

Immigration

I do not thing the solution is enforcement or border fences. The solution is enforcement of employment laws so major corporations cannot benefit from extreme low cost labor. If you have been to a construction site in Southern California, commercial or high rise, it is hard to find anyone below foreman level who speaks English.

Tyson Foods, Wal Mart and others’ business model require low labor costs that only the undocumented can provide. That coupled with not having to pay benefits is a real boost to the ‘ol bottom line.

Remember the summer job you and I had as kids? Ever worked at a car wash? Small town grocery as a box boy? Delivered papers? Those entry level jobs are gone to undocumented workers. Inner city young adults have no entry level employment opportunities. Undocumented do not take jobs that Americans do not want; they take jobs at wages that Americans find is not a living wage.

Big Business and their PACS equals major campaign contributions’ to both political parties. Neither party can bite the hand that feeds them.

I am not a fuzzy headed liberal by any means, I just am amazed at the hypocrisy over immigration.

RobertG

I was astonished at Burbank airport: there was not one single black porter. Last time I flew out of there all the Skycaps were American blacks. They were efficient, too.

=========

Monroe Doctrine?

Dr Pournelle, I see the media has once again discovered that Hezballah is active in South America. This has been open source information for between ten and fifteen years now, so I'm not quite sure why it warrants rediscovery, but perhaps they simply didn't notice.

It is the operations in North and South America, Europe, Africa, Asia and the Pacific Islands that make some believe this conflict warrants the name of WWIV. I don't think we are there yet, but considering the power of demography, it could go that far. As I've said before, population is the oldest, and most powerful, weapon of mass destruction known.

I'd have been more impressed if they'd noted the attempts to build bridges between the Islamic world and Latin America over the last five years or so, but that would require the news media to actually care about news instead of the more important task of molding public opinion.

Liberalism is a philosophy of consolation...

=========

Anne Bromley: Dumbing it down http://oscar.virginia.edu/x10658.xml  Anne Bromley: Dumbing it down 7.5.9

Gifted students hide how smart they are from their peers. By Anne Bromley (Anthropology '80, MFA, Creative Writing '85)

They sacrifice sleep. They eschew social acceptance and extracurricular activities. They hide how smart they are from their peers.

Top students who are gifted and take Advanced Placement courses or enroll in an International Baccalaureate Program get many academic advantages, but at what price in other parts of their young lives?

The students interviewed agreed that they love their challenging academic program and believe they can "have it all," including a social life along with academic success. Unfortunately, they are wrong. One alarming finding: students in both groups, but particularly in the IB program, commented about chronic fatigue but regularly shortchange sleeping time.

In a trio of papers delivered at the 2007 American Educational Research Association conference -- two on April 10 and one on April 12 -- members from the National Research Center on the Gifted and Talented at the University of Virginia's Curry School of Education talked about their research on the self concepts and social coping of these groups of students in middle and high schools. Together, these studies address a lack of research aimed at understanding non-academic dimensions for advanced students.<snip>

If we cannot educate the bright kids, then we will not  be able to sustain a first world economy. Period.

==========

To see this story with its related links on the The Observer site, go to http://www.observer.co.uk 

Diamonds tell tale of comet that killed off the cavemen Fireballs set half the planet ablaze, wiping out the mammoth and America's Stone Age hunters Robin McKie, science editor Sunday May 20 2007 The Observer

Scientists will outline dramatic evidence this week that suggests a comet exploded over the Earth nearly 13,000 years ago, creating a hail of fireballs that set fire to most of the northern hemisphere.

Primitive Stone Age cultures were destroyed and populations of mammoths and other large land animals, such as the mastodon, were wiped out. The blast also caused a major bout of climatic cooling that lasted 1,000 years and seriously disrupted the development of the early human civilisations that were emerging in Europe and Asia.

'This comet set off a shock wave that changed Earth profoundly,' said Arizona geophysicist Allen West. 'It was about 2km-3km in diameter and broke up just before impact, setting off a series of explosions, each the equivalent of an atomic bomb blast. The result would have been hell on Earth. Most of the northern hemisphere would have been left on fire.'<snip>

 

 

 

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Thursday, May 24, 2007

Outsourcing Surgery

Jerry,

I have to wonder what the malpractice/liability considerations are for a surgeon overseas doing an operation in the US via robotics. When something goes wrong, who gets sued (and who can you reasonably expect to collect from)? Will any commercial internet carrier want to be part of the process, when dropped packets might kill a patient?

CP, Connecticut

========

SpaceX article.

http://www.wired.com/science/space/magazine/15-06/ff_space_musk

-- Roland Dobbins

=========

One immigration lawyer's view.

This is important:

http://www.beliefnet.com/blogs/crunchycon/
2007/05/one-immigration-lawyers-view.html

--- Roland Dobbins

Well, he may be smart but that line wasn't Iago's

==========

Digital Books

Dear Jerry,

I am a frequent traveler who usually takes at least two plane-routes every week. Even thou some times I do take out my laptop to work on email or some presentations, I usually try to relax on the plane by listening to music on my iPod and reading a book.

For many years I hauled with me those thick paperbacks which are impractical to carry or, even worse, a hard-cover book which is heavier and can get badly damaged in the process.

Well, the last 40+ books I have read on airplanes I have read them on my Palm PDA, using their eReader program with books I bought from the eReader.com site. I have a 256MB SD card on the Palm which easily can hold more than 300+ standard books. I don't have to carry a heavy book with me and still I can readily access all my collection at any time. I don't have to throw away my books or send them to boxes where I will never find them again until I move. I can even write notes and have an infinite amount of bookmarks in each book.

While in my house I still read the hard-cover books which I buy not only for me but for future reference for my kids; but I have not bought a paperback in more than two years.

So, I agree with you, the paperback business is going to change dramatically if more and more people start carrying PDA's or ultra-portable computers.

Just my two cents.

Regards,

GC

 

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FridayMay 25, 2007

Subject: Remote Viewing

Deepak Chopra and David Morehouse offer a couple of training classes in Remote Viewing:

http://www.remoteviewingseminars.com/page/page/742088.htm

Or you can buy the home study program for $249:

http://store.soundstrue.com/af00840d.html 

 Regards

RS

I am certain that many will sell you the secret. I do not know if there is a money-back guarantee. I have not met anyone who can DO it, although I know people who know people who know someone who can

I would suppose that reliable repeatable evidence of psychic power would be worth a Nobel prize.

 

 

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Sunday,  May 27, 2007     

Black Bart.

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/pages/live/femail/
article.html?in_article_id=457724&in_page_id=1879 

- Roland Dobbins

Jack Sparrow...

=========

Pryce-Jones: The Distance from Seven to Ten.

http://pryce-jones.nationalreview.com/post/?q
=YmM1ZGE0Zjk0NjgwODEzMWMxMzljOTFkMGU2MzA0NzY=

-- Roland Dobbins

==========

“We don’t know how he survived so long, but his body was preserved in ice for nearly a month and now he is back to normal."

http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/uk/science/article1845294.ece

- Roland Dobbins

Cold sleep. With they have ice on their minds?

===========

 

g

 

 

 

 

 

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